Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Del Mar
Sunday - November 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DMR-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/1)-(1/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
DMR-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/2/6)-(6/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DMR-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(6/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(6/4/2)-(1/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(1/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(1/4/3)-(5/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/6/4)-(5/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-6   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(5/2/1)-(7/1/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-7   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(7/1/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(7/1/8)-(3/8/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-8   WIN (7/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/8)-(7/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/8)-(7/1/8)-(7/1/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/8)-(3/8/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
DMR-9   WIN (3/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DMR-1   11/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A TEMPEST         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00    
  (by CONNECT out of HURRICANE TIZ by TIZNOW)
2  AFFAIR         (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 14% 6.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SCANDAL by BLAME)
3  GIRL OF MY DREAMS Sep03 Aug06       (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of NAPLES DREAM by UNCLE MO)
4  AIR FORCE THUNDER         (shirreffs j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SASHAY by STROLL)
5  GRAZIA         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 44% 1.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TONASAH by MALIBU MOON)
 
DMR-2   11/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMMING EDDY Oct27 Sep29 Aug18 Jul30 Jul02 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 125 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  MO REWARDS Oct14 Jul01 Jun04 Apr29 Apr16 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 2.00    
3  RED CROSS KNIGHT Sep15 Jan27 Dec10 Sep18 Aug13 (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 122 15.00    
4  ZIMBA WARRIOR Oct21 Sep10 Jul01 Jun18 Apr30 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 125 3.00    
5  TABLE FOR TEN Oct29 Sep24 Sep10 Aug04 Jul04 (mclean bill)FRESU ANTONIO 125 1.80 52% 0.90    
 
DMR-3   11/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACIFIC ROSE Oct07 Sep10 Aug06     (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NAPLES ROSE by BERNARDINI)
2  ELEGANT Oct01 Aug13       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LOVELY by PULPIT)
3  FLYNN'S CHANCE Aug19         (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of VENETIAN SONATA by BERNARDINI)
4  GREAT FORTY EIGHT Oct14 Aug27 Aug06     (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 113 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ANGELO'S ASHES by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  GREER MY DEAR Aug27 Aug06       (mandella richar)MALDONADO E 120 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of RICH MOMMY by ALGORITHMS)
6  NAFISA         (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 120 2.50 10% 8.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ITHINKISAWAPUDYCAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
DMR-4   11/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICKLE MY FANCY Oct07 Aug25 Aug05 Jul07 Jun10 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 123 8.00    
2  MAHINA Oct20 Aug18 Jul01 Mar18 Dec30 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 9% 10.60    
3  DOLLY MAY (IRE) Oct14 Sep03 Aug11 Jul30 Jun16 (cerin vladimi)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 10.00    
4  RUGELACH Oct09 Sep01 Aug03 Jul13 Jun10 (ellis rona)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  FIRSTTIMEINFOREVER Oct09 Sep03 Aug12 Jul21 Jun11 (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00    
6  PRECOCIOUS TIMES Oct09 Sep03 Aug05 May27 Mar27 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 3.00 36% 1.70    
7  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Nov02 Sep09 Nov26 Nov09 Oct15 (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 123 20.00    
 
DMR-5   11/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIFF WITH JIMMY Oct22 Sep24 Aug18 Jul01 May21 (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
2  ALWAYS SMILING Oct07 Aug13       (callaghan simon)FREY KYLE 122 3.50    
3  GEEJAYTEE Sep22 Aug27 Apr19 Mar25 Mar05 (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 122 15.00 11% 7.90    
4  UNKEPT SECRET Oct22 Sep10 Aug27 Jun02 Nov02 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  MISS COMMANDER Oct22 Sep24 Aug13 Jan02 Dec11 (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00    
6  CHEVY GIRL Oct20 Jul02 Jun04 May13 Apr23 (wallace jerry)CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00    
7  TAKE CARAMIE Oct06 Aug24       (cassidy james)SMITH E 122 3.50    
 
DMR-6   11/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAULS CALL Oct14 Sep23 Aug11 Jul21 Jun11 (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
2  BAG'S GOLD Sep10 Aug12 Oct23 Oct02 Jun19 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 2.50    
3  AMIGO G A Feb11 Jan07 Dec18 Nov27 Sep09 (herrick joe)DONOE V 120 10.00    
4  MINISTER SHANE Apr29 Mar18 Feb17 Jun18 May28 (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  COLT FICTION Oct14 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 Jul03 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
6  BOOK SMART Oct07 Aug04 Jun17 May13 Apr29 (hes)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
 
DMR-7   11/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD FOOT Oct08 Aug24       (mccarthy sean)KIRRANE SEAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TIZ LADYS LEGS by TIZNOW)
2  EL REY REY Oct08         (mullins jeff)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.50 6% 14.60    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CH CH CHERRY BOMB by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  TRIBAL (IRE) Oct29 Oct07       (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.50    
  (by KINGMAN out of WILD AT HEART by SLEW THE KNIGHT)
4  BANDWAGON Sep17 Aug20       (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BEAUTIFUL WIFE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
5  AMERICAN HOPE Oct08         (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ROOM SERVICE by MORE THAN READY)
6  POTENTIAL SPAM Sep24 Jul30 Jun04     (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of INTIMACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  SHOT OF COURAGE         (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TEQUILA SUNRISE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  MR. LEASURE Oct15 Sep30 Aug11     (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of MYSTERIOUSLY by TIZNOW)
 
DMR-8   11/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Betty Grable Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANCERY WAY Aug25 Jul22 Jun11 Apr29 Feb19 (thomas jamey)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of THIS MEANS WAR by WAR CHANT)
2  BELLA D Oct06 Aug26 Aug05 Jan07 Jun18 (gai)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 15.00    
  (by DECARCHY out of BELLA VIAGGIA by GOOD JOURNEY)
3  GLORIOUS SPRING Oct15 Aug25 Jul02 Mar27 Feb10 (blacker daniel)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MAZIETTE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  POWER SURGE Jul28 Apr01 Apr09 Mar11 Feb06 (koriner brian)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00    
  (by STRAIGHT FIRE out of STRIKES OF THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
5  SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Oct28 Sep23 Sep04 Aug05 Jun24 (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of EIGHT DAUGHTERS by FIVE STAR DAY)
6  CHISMOSA Oct14 Sep23 Aug25 Jul27 Jul04 (deleon rafael)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 5.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of YOU CAN DREAM by CAT DREAMS)
7  CARMEN MIRANDA Oct06 Aug12 Apr29 Mar04 Feb04 (damato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by STANFORD out of MIRANDA ROSE by TRIBAL RULE)
8  ROSE DAWSON Oct14 Sep16 Aug31 Jan29 Jan07 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by GRAZEN out of SUDDEN SUNDAY by BERTRANDO)
 
DMR-9   11/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAISHAN Oct29 Sep04 Aug12 Aug03 Jun04 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00    
2  BUCK OWENS Oct27 Sep24 Sep10 Jul30 Jun23 (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 20.00    
3  CALI BAY (IRE) Oct14 Aug03 Jun17 May06 May30 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.60 40% 1.50    
4  JACKS OUTLAW Oct23 Oct14 Aug27 Jul23 Jun09 (ortiz manuel )AYUSO ARMANDO 121 10.00 15% 5.90    
5  SOULMATE Oct08 Sep04 Aug03 Jul08 Jun17 (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 2.00    
6  NAUVOO Oct06 Sep08 Aug10 May26 Apr29 (kruljac ian)BAZE C 116 15.00    
7  MY INDY Oct21 Sep22 Aug04 Jul21 Jun03 (belvoir van)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 20.00 6% 15.10    
8  SUBSIDIZE Oct27 Sep29 Aug27 Aug03 Jul03 (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 18% 4.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.