Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - October 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (12/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/11/3)-(12/11/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/11/3)-(12/11/8/7/3)-(12/11/8/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (12/11/3)-(6/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (12/11/3)-(6/2/4)-(9/5/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(9/5/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(9/5/7/8)-(1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-3   WIN (9/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/7/8)-(9/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/7/8)-(9/5/7/8)-(9/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/7/8)-(1/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7/8)-(1/3)-(1/6/8/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/6/8/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/6/8/3)-(1/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-5   WIN (1/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/4/3)-(1/6/8/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/8/3)-(1/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/3)-(1/2)-(3/6/2/1) 32 $0.50 $96.00 
SA-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(3/6/2/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/6/2/1)-(5/10/2/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-7   WIN (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1)-(3/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/1)-(5/10/2/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/1)-(5/10/2/8)-(5/2/11/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/10/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/2/8)-(5/10/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/2/8)-(5/10/2/8)-(5/10/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/2/8)-(5/2/11/1/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
SA-9   WIN (5/2/11/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/11/1/6)-(5/2/11/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/11/1/6)-(5/2/11/1/6)-(5/2/11/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANOLA Aug24 Aug11       (mathis and)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of VOCAL ARTS by GOOD JOURNEY)
SCR  DARK MARCUS Aug31 Jul28 Jul01 Nov04 Oct09 (miller pete)HERRERA A 124 2.50    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of MARALAGO by THUNDER GULCH)
3  GRANNY'S IPA Jul28 Jun17       (cassidy james)SMITH E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of CAYTON by TRIBAL RULE)
4  SILENT HEAT Aug31 Jul28 Jun02 May12 Apr21 (saavedra anth)FRESU ANTONIO 124 6.00    
  (by UNUSUAL HEATWAVE out of SILENT DEPOSITION by SILIC (FR))
5  BIG GEORGE Aug31         (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 120 12.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of MINUTE MILE by TAMAYUZ)
6  SURE PROSPECT Aug05 Sep04       (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 120 20.00    
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of ASSURE by VANLANDINGHAM)
7  MAXVILLE Aug31 Aug05 Jul28 Jun10 May19 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00 ★    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of MARGOT MACHANCE by CREACHADOIR)
8  GHOSTLY ACT Sep03 Aug11 Jun02 May12 Apr01 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 120 6.00 ★    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
9  TORQUEWRENCH Aug24 Aug06       (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DIVA'S TRIBUTE by HENNY HUGHES)
10  VENOM Aug26 Nov27       (dunham daniel)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 30.00    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of HARLAN EXPRESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
11  BLACK AS MY HEART Aug11 Jun10       (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 113 5.00 12% 7.50    
  (by HE BE FIRE N ICE out of SUNDAY PROPHET by HAT TRICK)
12  BIGOFROMFRESNO Sep09 Aug06       (blacker daniel)BRAVO J 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
  (by VRONSKY out of ALWAYS IN STYLE by LUCAYAN PRINCE)
SCR  CHROME TO RICHES Sep10 Aug05 Mar25 Jan07   (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of HEAT TRAP by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
SA-2   10/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WHERE'S MY RING Aug13         (brinkerhoff val)MALDONADO E 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MAPIT by TAPIT)
3  ESPRIT ENCHANTE Sep10         (miller peter)SMITH E 120 5.00    
  (by TAPIT out of ENCHANTED GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  UR IN TROUBLE Sep10 Aug12 Jul22     (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of BRITTNEY BRAT by PIKEPASS)
5  SUGAR FISH Sep03         (barocio libra)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of MADEIRA PARK by LANGFUHR)
6  ELEGANT Aug13         (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LOVELY by PULPIT)
7  NOTHING LIKE YOU Sep10 Aug06       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MISS DEREK by BROTHER DEREK)
SCR  PACIFIC ROSE Sep10 Aug06       ( )TBA null      
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NAPLES ROSE by BERNARDINI)
 
SA-3   10/01/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA OF CORTEZ (IRE)         (d'amato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 121 4.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  NEON LIGHTS (IRE) Aug19 Jul28 Jun03 May13 Apr22 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 6.00    
  (by PROFITABLE out of PONTY ROYALE by ROYAL APPLAUSE (GB))
SCR  DISTORTED MATH Jan13 Dec18       (valenzuela ma)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 5.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of KIDDARI by SMARTY JONES)
4  LIVING LIFE Aug26         (ellis rona)VAN DRAYDEN 121 30.00    
  (by FLATTER out of WELCOME ADDITION by THEATRICAL (IRE))
5  BAD UNCLE BARRY Aug26         (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MABSOTA by SHAMARDAL)
6  CLASSICAL May04         (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 121 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FLAUTIST by FIRST DEFENCE)
7  PETCOFF Sep10 Aug26 Jun03 Feb19   (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 114 6.00 8% 12.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
8  VEGAS BURNER Apr22 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Dec26 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLACK VALENTINE by CINDAGO)
9  DR. SOULFIRE Aug28 Sep30 Sep03 Aug06   (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by WEST COAST out of MIDST by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
10  JOHNNY DRAMA Aug26 Jun18       (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HIT THE LIMIT by UNCLE MO)
 
SA-4   10/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC13 GOOD Zenyatta Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADARE MANOR Aug05 Jun10 Apr29 Mar31 Feb18 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 0.40 43% 1.30    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BROOKLYNSWAY by GIANT GIZMO)
2  MICRO SHARE Sep04 Aug06 Jun24 May06 Feb18 (mandella richard )SMITH E 122 5.00    
  (by UPSTART out of WHO'SBEENINMYBED by THE DADDY)
3  DESERT DAWN Aug05 Jun10 May05 Mar11 Sep04 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by CUPID out of ASHLEY'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
4  WINDOW SHOPPING Aug19 Jun03 Apr08 Mar17 Nov13 (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of DELIGHTFUL JOY by TAPIT)
 
SA-5   10/01/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Unzip Me Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTIQUE Sep02 Aug05 Mar05 Jan28 Nov19 (shirreffs john)SMITH E 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GRAZIE MILLE by BERNARDINI)
2  LUNAR IMPACT (GB) Sep02 Jul23 Mar18 Jan22   (blacker daniel)BRAVO J 120 20.00    
  (by ZOUSTAR out of BUTTON MOON by COMPTON PLACE (GB))
3  FREE AND HUMBLE Sep09 Aug12 Jul22 Jun02 Apr30 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of HELP THE CHILDREN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  ALTERNATE ROCK Aug12 Jul09 Jun10 Apr20 Mar01 (o'neil)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00 ★    
  (by ALTERNATION out of KITZYS ROCKET by PARADING)
5  HAVANA ANGEL (IRE) Aug12 Jun18 Mar18 Feb11 Nov12 (powell leon)HERRERA A 120 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of CLARAMARA by EPAULETTE (AUS))
6  RUBY NELL Aug19 Jul22 May20 Apr23 Mar18 (mandella richar)MALDONADO E 120 2.50 27% 2.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of RICH LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  WED (FR) Jul22         (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00    
  (by PROFITABLE out of EATON STREET by DISCREET CAT)
8  WIDE WEST (IRE) Jul28 May20 Apr22 Mar25 Oct08 (d'amato phili)VELAZQUEZ R 124 5.00 6% 16.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DEER VALLEY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  FAST AND SHINY Jul22 Jun10 May06 Mar26 Feb19 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SPOTTED HEART by LION HEARTED)
10  MAKE IT SNOW Aug17 Jul23 Mar17 Feb12   (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 120 20.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SNOW KID by LEMON DROP KID)
 
SA-6   10/01/2023 7920ft DIRT RC12 FAST Tokyo City Cup Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSED THE CUT (IRE) Sep02 Jul29 Jun11     (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 1.60 61% 0.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BEAULY by SEA THE STARS)
2  KISS TODAY GOODBYE Jul23 May29 Apr22 Feb04 Dec31 (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 4.00 9% 10.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SAVVY HESTER by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
SCR  DONNER LAKE Sep02 Jan07 Nov04 Oct09 Aug28 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PURE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  ORDER AND LAW Sep02 Jul23 Jun06 Apr23 Mar03 (hess b)MALDONADO E 126 2.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of POETIC KID by SHAKESPEARE)
5  AZUL COAST Sep02 Jul23 Nov27 Nov06 Oct01 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SKY TREASURE by SKY MESA)
 
SA-7   10/01/2023 6600ft TURF RC13 FIRM John Henry Turf Championship Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS Jul30 Apr08 Mar04 Feb05 Dec26 (d'amato philip)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 12% 7.60    
  (by WAR FRONT out of OUTSTANDING by GALILEO)
2  OFFLEE NAUGHTY Sep02 Jun18 May13 Apr08 Dec11 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 5.00 13% 6.60    
  (by FLASHBACK out of ACTING NAUGHTY by OFFLEE WILD)
3  PLANETARIO (BRZ) Sep02 Jul22 Jun18 May13 Jun18 (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by IL DOGE out of AEROSFERA by CRIMSON TIDE (IRE))
4  BALLADEER Sep09 Aug19 Jul21 Jun03 May07 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 122 15.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GOLDEN BALLAD by GALILEO (ARG))
5  YES THIS TIME Aug31 Jul21 May29 May06 Apr08 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
6  SPEAKING SCOUT Aug31 Aug05 Jun17 May20 Apr14 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISS SCOUT by PLEASANT TAP)
7  GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) Sep02 Jul30 May29 Apr08 Mar04 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50    
  (by BELARDO out of MAGNIFICA by MOUNTAIN CAT)
8  CASH EQUITY (FR) Sep02 Jul23 Jun04 Apr08 Mar04 (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00    
  (by TORONADO out of FUNNY CRAZY by CHICHICASTENANGO (FR))
 
SA-8   10/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT IVES Aug26 Jul04 Jun04 May13 Apr23 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
2  WILL BE Aug17 Jun25       (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 119 4.00 15% 5.90    
3  FATHER DELAY Sep09 Apr15 Mar17 Aug13   (hess b)SMITH E 119 12.00    
4  HARD TO FIGURE Jul21 Jun04 May06 Mar26 Feb04 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
5  BUS BUZZ Sep02 Aug04 May28 Apr08 Mar04 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  NAVY MAN Sep02 Jul03 May06 Apr08 Jan22 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
7  HOT ROD RUMBLE Sep02 Jul21 Jul30 Apr24 Mar05 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 124 12.00    
8  THE BIG WAM Sep11 Aug12 Jul23 May05 Apr28 (mendez luis)ESPINOZA V 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REDLINE Aug12 Jul30 Jun25 Jun02 May06 (truman eddie)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
10  POSITIVITY Aug26 Jul22 Jun24 May27 Apr22 (mulhall krist)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
SA-9   10/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTERN OCEAN Sep09 Aug13 Aug03 Jun03 Mar11 (gla)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIO MAGICO Aug19 Jul22 Jan02 Nov26 Nov05 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
3  HURRICANE CLOUD (GB) Aug13 May21 Apr03 Feb05   (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 124 6.00    
4  WIN THE DAY Sep02 Feb19 Jan21 Dec29 Nov04 (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00    
5  SARWAR (FR) Jul22 Jun03 Feb11     (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
6  BALLY'S CHARM Aug05 Oct08 Sep05 May28 Apr17 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CASTLE LEOCH Aug19 Oct20 Sep14 Jul22 Jun18 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 12.00    
8  CROSBY BEACH Sep02 Jul21 Jun04 May06 Mar25 (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
9  VANTASTIC Jun02 Mar12 Jan20 Nov05 Oct08 (eurton peter)SMITH E 122 4.00    
10  KID AZTECA Sep03 Aug06 Jul21 May29 May06 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 118 20.00    
11  CARMELITA'S MAN Aug05 May28 Apr08 Mar04 Feb05 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 5.00 11% 8.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.