Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (6/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/9)-(6/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/9)-(6/5/9)-(6/5/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/9)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-2   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-3   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-5   WIN (2/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/3)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-8   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-9   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(8/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-10   WIN (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/7)-(8/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/7)-(8/4/7)-(8/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($37K) 2 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT SPARK         (plesa edw)CAMACHO JR 118 5.00    
SCR  MY SWEETHEART DANI Aug17 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 May13 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 118 15.00    
SCR  ISAYSO Sep22 Sep03 Aug20     (sano antonio)RIOS M 118 6.00    
CAJUN ANTHEM         (dobles)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
PARDY PLEASER Sep02 Aug20       (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
CROWN JAK Sep02 Aug05       (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 118 4.00 40% 1.50    
KAITIE KAIT Sep02 Jul23       (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 118 4.50    
PLEASANT EMBRACE         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 10.00    
CORINTH Sep07 Aug11 Jul20 Jun10 May25 (munoz carlo)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-2   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME DREAM WITH ME Sep03 Jul30       (spatz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 1.20 64% 0.60    
A FANCY SOLUTION         (cascallares ne)RIOS M 115 12.00    
SCR  CINZENTO Aug19         (palmer nichola)REYES LEONEL 118 3.00    
DIVO D'ORO Aug19         (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
SUPERFIGHT         (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00 10% 9.40    
FUNTASTIC THREE         (collazo henry)HERNANDEZ K 118 6.00    
 
GP-3   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACE THE MUSIC Sep01 Jul30 May26 Apr28 Mar16 (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 118 2.50 54% 0.90    
CHLOE'S TOY Sep01 Jul28 Jun18 May19 Apr28 (braddy david)JARAMILLO E 114 8.00    
ONE OF ONE Sep01 Aug19 Jun25 Apr22 Mar01 (braddy dav)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 8.00    
CHAINA Sep15 Jul28 Jun18 May05 Mar16 (sweezey kent)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.50    
OMO TEN GIRL Sep08 Apr06 Mar18 Mar01 Jan11 (perez l)GIL CIPRIANO 118 5.00 7% 14.00    
PRINCESS BLAKELY Sep01 Aug04 Jun17 May25 May07 (gambo)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 6.00    
MY LADY JAMES Sep01 Jul28 Jun18 May25 Apr20 (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 11% 7.80    
 
GP-4   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IL MALANDRINO Sep02 Aug05 Jul14 May27 May11 (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Sep16 Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 (yanez reynaldo)REYES LEONEL 125 3.50 44% 1.30    
DUKE SKYWALKER Sep16 Jul14 Jun30 May26 Apr29 (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 125 12.00    
NATURAL VIBES Sep02 Jul29 May26 May11 Apr21 (pinchin jose)MORALES ANGEL 115 1.80 8% 11.70    
TAPINTOYOURBEER Sep02 Aug05 Apr30 Apr23 Apr16 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 3.50    
ACTION DREAM Sep16 Jun30 Jun11 May26 Apr22 (dobber arnoud )CAMACHO SAMY 125 8.00    
 
GP-5   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE HOPE FAITH         (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of LUCKY OF COURSE by AWESOME OF COURSE)
PURE CLASS Sep02         (fawkes david)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of I'MCLASSYANDSASSY by MASTER COMMAND)
THEMANUPFRONT Sep16 Aug04       (yates michael)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of THELADYSAIDNO by CONCERTO)
STAR OF THE BEAST Sep02         (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 8.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of PUSHME PULLYOU by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SIR MASON Sep07 Aug17 Aug03     (munoz carlo)CASIQUE URBARDO 118 12.00    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of AZASECRET by DISCREET CAT)
SABIAN Sep16         (cordero enie)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MINE FOR LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
WHATEVERWILBEWILBE         (fawkes david)JARAMILLO E 118 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of SURPRISE WEDDING by HIGH COTTON)
RYE'S MY GUY Sep03         (gaffne)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.50 30% 2.40    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of LU LU LAURA by CIRCULAR QUAY)
 
GP-6   09/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLIFY (ARG) Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 May07 Apr23 (duco luis)RIVERA JON 110 6.00    
AWESOME ANNMARIE Aug12 Jul15 Jul02 May14 Mar22 (budhoo steve)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
SOPHIA'S STORM Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jun09 (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 120 1.40 35% 1.90    
KAEKO Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jun09 May26 (nunez eduardo)MORALES ANGEL 115 2.50 18% 4.70    
BLACK ICE Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 (dakin diley )THOMAS ANTHONY 117 8.00    
SHEZA HAPPY GIRL Sep10 Jul29 Jun09 May19 Apr02 (parbhoo shivan)GIL CIPRIANO 120 20.00    
 
GP-7   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLAZED GINGER Aug27 Aug04 Jul08     (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 6.00    
MOANAS POWER Sep06 Aug18 Jul27 Jul15 Jun03 (munoz carlo)CASIQUE URBARDO 122 5.00 10% 8.60    
SHEZA SPITFIRE Sep01 Aug04 Jul15 Feb10 Dec17 (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00    
MILES OF SMILES Aug26 Jul16 Jun16 May14 Dec09 (orseno f)PANICI LUCA 122 6.00    
DEFENDED Jan25 Jan04 Dec02 Oct21 Aug21 (cordero enie)MORELOS E 118 8.00 14% 6.10    
GITANA Sep15 Sep02 Aug12 Aug04 Jul02 (abreu fernand)MORALES ANGEL 119 4.00 45% 1.20    
BOTH SIDES Sep09 Apr15 Feb23 Jan18   (vinson)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.50    
 
GP-8   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESTOFTHESTORY Aug19 May28 Mar11 Feb19 Dec31 (plesa jr)PEREZ EDGAR 117 12.00    
DAVID'S ROSE Sep17 Aug20 Jul14 Jun17 May19 (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 119 4.50 42% 1.40    
LIGHTNIN RUNNER Aug25 Jul29 Jul11 Jun03 Apr29 (rodriguez ang)MORALES ANGEL 116 20.00    
SOL HOPE Aug18 Jul13 Feb10 Jan14 Oct02 (lightner mary)REYES LEONEL 116 6.00    
CHOOSE JOY Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar31 Mar02 (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 3.00    
BABY STEPS Sep08 Aug06 Jul09 May20 Apr09 (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
ALWAYZ LATE Oct22 Sep13 Aug04 Jul08 May01 (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 2.50 8% 11.70    
 
GP-9   09/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hollywood Beach Purse ($65K) 2 ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESPERON Aug25 Aug04       (braddy dav)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 6.00    
  (by CHITU out of SATAN'S MISTRESS by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  ROAR READY Sep16         (sierra ruben)RIOS M 118 8.00    
  (by DO THE ROAR out of CROWN READY by MORE THAN READY)
PREVENT Sep01 Aug12 May26 May05   (alvarado jua)ZAYAS J 120 2.00 18% 4.60    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of BOSSY GAL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
MATTINGLY Jul16 Jun24 May13     (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BATTINGSTAR by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  HERMOSO HOMBRE Sep03         (amado enrique)PEREZ EDGAR 118 15.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of MISS ADVENTURE by STREET SENSE)
EL PRINCIPITO Sep15         (laurato michae)BORACO DAVID 118 20.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of ROXIE FAST MOON by MALIBU MOON)
OKIRO Sep01 Jul28       (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 120 4.50    
  (by YOSHIDA out of SHE HUNG THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
GP-10   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLY BY GIRL         (cazares laura)JARAMILLO E 121 3.50    
UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Sep17 Aug20 Jul21 Jun04 Apr27 (gonzalez javie)RIOS M 121 15.00    
BLACK AND SILVER         (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 124 10.00    
SUPER SPIN         (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
LONGING FOR MINTS Sep03 Jul14 May12 Apr28   (baker r)MORALES ANGEL 116 20.00    
DREAMBIGORGOHOME Sep03 Aug05       (lee f)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
BRITISH EMPRESS         (robson lauren)REYES LEONEL 121 8.00 8% 11.70    
MISS BIA Sep03 Jul21 Feb15     (catanese )CAMACHO JR 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  MOONLIGHT VISION Jun18 May05 Apr22 Apr07 Mar26 (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.