Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/4/2)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(6/4/5)-(2/4/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
WO-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/4/5)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(2/4/7)-(2/8/7/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-3   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/4/7)-(2/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(2/8/7/3)-(7/5/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-4   WIN (2/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/8/7/3)-(7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/3)-(7/5/2)-(8/1/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-5   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (7/5/2)-(8/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(8/1/6)-(1/7/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
WO-6   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (8/1/6)-(1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6)-(1/7/2)-(1/8/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
WO-7   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/7/2)-(1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(1/8/4)-(2/1/12/3/8) 45 $0.20 $9.00 
WO-8   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/8/4)-(2/1/12/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
WO-9   WIN (2/1/12/3/8) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (2/1/12/3/8)-(2/1/12/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/12/3/8)-(2/1/12/3/8)-(2/1/12/3/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   09/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A GAL FOR T J Sep14 Aug05 Jul06 Jun15 May25 (mck)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 3.50    
2  FORESTERS PRINCESS Sep14 Aug10 Jul06 Jun11 May25 (black ian)MUNGER RYAN 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
3  PHIL IN ECHO Sep14 Sep01 Aug05 Jul14 Jun29 (yu dan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00    
4  TEXT ME UP Sep14 Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 May25 (armata v)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 17% 4.70    
5  ERASMO'S GIRL Aug10 Jun29 Jun17 May27 Dec10 (chircop stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
6  ABSOLUTE JEWEL Sep14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 (cole-simpson)WALCOTT W 122 6.00    
 
WO-2   09/28/2023 4620ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($61.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RETAIL THERAPIST Sep09 Aug18 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 2.50    
2  ASHBURY Aug18 Jul06 Jun22 Dec10 Oct20 (banach darwi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00    
3  CLOUD STORAGE Sep08 Aug18 Jul09 May21 Mar24 (mat)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 119 12.00    
4  WEEHAWKEN Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun17 (armata vito)CIVACI SAHIN 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
5  GOOGLY EYES Sep02 Jun10 May27 Jul23 Jul03 (charalambous jo)MUNGER RYAN 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  SOUPER SINCLAIR Sep12 Aug27 Jul30 Jul08 Jun10 (hall philip)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  ANAM CARA Sep12 Jul30 Jul08 Jun10 May12 (ritchie sarah)MUNGER RYAN 119 4.50    
 
WO-3   09/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLONDE DYNAMO Sep09 Aug25 Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 (ross a)SALLES LEO 120 8.00    
2  MISS BIKINI Sep14 Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jul01 (nosowenko ni)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
3  GOLD FORESTER Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 (paterson m)ANDERSON JODEIEN 121 20.00    
4  ONANDONANDON Sep14 Aug17 Jul29     (mattine michae)FLORES ESWAN 120 6.00 9% 10.50    
5  SPEEDY JOHNY Sep09 Jul29 Jul09 Jun22 May27 (buttigieg m)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00    
6  CHROME'S ANGEL Sep09 Aug17 Aug03 Jun22 May26 (tharrenos willi)VIVES SOFIA 115 1.40    
7  CELTIC REVIVAL Sep14 Aug18 Jul20 Jun22 May25 (chircop stev)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
WO-4   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIP TO YOUR TRICKS Sep08 Aug18 Jul29 Jul07 May26 (sadler ronal)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 6.00    
2  BILL NEEDLE Sep08 Aug06 Jul14 Jun18 May28 (day)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  MISTER MESEEKS Jul07 Jun09 May26 Dec10 Oct27 (banach darwi)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 12.00 11% 7.90    
4  ROCKLAND EXPRESS Sep08 Aug18 Aug01 Jul14 Jun24 (krczmar zelk)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 8.00    
SCR  RENEGADE SERENADE Sep11 Aug21 Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 (capi m)BYNOE DESEAN 115 10.00    
6  ROBITAILLE Sep08 Aug11 Jul14 Jul07 Jun09 (dipaola san)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
7  GROOM LAKE Jul30 Jul07 Jun09 May25 May06 (dixon patrick)MUNGER RYAN 123 3.00 15% 5.80    
8  PERFECT PLAY Sep21 Aug11 Dec09 Nov18 Oct30 (armata ross)SALLES LEO 121 5.00 15% 5.70    
9  QUIET REBEL Sep05 Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 Jun16 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 121 20.00    
 
WO-5   09/28/2023 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SHOOTER Sep17 Aug10 Jul22 May28   (nosowenko ni)WALCOTT W 120 10.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MIEN by NUREYEV)
2  JUNIPERO SERRA Aug19 Jun18 Dec10 Sep01 Jul15 (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 120 8.00 6% 14.70    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
3  BIG WICKS Nov06 Sep18       (clement chri)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LEIGH COURT by GRAND SLAM)
4  EXUDE Sep03 Aug10 Jul14 May20 Apr22 (minshall barbar)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00    
  (by TAPIT out of FAITHFULLY by SMART STRIKE)
5  FLYSOFREEASHLEEB Sep10 Aug20 Jul23 Jun15 May21 (dixon patrick)HUSBANDS P 117 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SINFUL by TOUCH GOLD)
6  HELIOCENTRIC Sep16 Aug20 Jul23     (fitzgerald shel)MUNGER RYAN 117 12.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of DIVINE PRESENCE by A.P. INDY)
7  RUNAWAY CHARLIE Sep03 Jul09 Jun18 Oct23   (doy)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DEVINE AIDA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
WO-6   09/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($111K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOW IS A BREEZE Sep02 Jul22 Jun17 May27 Dec10 (carroll josie)HUSBANDS P 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  PIONEER'S EDGE Jul01 May27 Apr23 Nov12 Aug14 (carroll josie)MUNGER RYAN 123 10.00    
3  SPIDER BELLE Aug12 Jul15 Jun10 May20 May05 (dunslow mi)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 15.00    
4  MY SUNNY VALENTINE Sep15 Aug05 Jul15 Mar03 Apr09 (drexler mart)WALCOTT W 123 8.00    
SCR  ENGLISH SHIRL Sep02 Jul08 Jun11 Dec10 Nov12 (fitzgerald she)CIVACI SAHIN 123 3.00    
6  JAB Sep02 Aug18 Jul20 Jun10 May27 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 125 10.00 13% 6.90    
7  MICHELE M. Sep16 Aug24 Jul07 Jun03 Nov05 (armata v)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00    
8  SOUPER FLASHY Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 May12 Oct21 (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
WO-7   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET JOE COPPER Sep02 Aug11 Jul16 Jun26 Jun15 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.00 57% 0.80    
2  HELL BENT Sep02 Aug03 Jun11 Dec04 Nov19 (ritchie sarah)FLORES ESWAN 122 6.00 5% 18.60    
3  FIRST SPRING Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 Dec11 Dec02 (crook alison)JOHNSON KIRK 122 20.00    
4  NATIVE PRINCE Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 Jun02 (leb)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 10.00    
5  RELIABILITY Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 May28 Dec11 (ladauceur harol)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00    
6  COLEYVILLE Sep02 Aug18 Jul13 Jun29 Jun17 (knight edwin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.50    
7  TIMESKIP Sep10 Aug11 Dec04 Nov25 Nov06 (kierans rene)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
 
WO-8   09/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WANNA PLAY Sep15 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Nov18 (desouza bancroft)SALLES LEO 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  ITS A BIRDIE Sep14 Sep07 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 (mcdonald michae)MORENO OMAR 121 20.00    
3  STOLE THE RING Sep09 Aug25 Aug06 Jul16 Jun22 (mattine john)MUNGER RYAN 123 3.00    
4  MENAGERIE Sep12 Aug17 Jul31 Jul24 Jul13 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 123 8.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  VIVIAN ANN Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 (sadler h)HOYTE JASON 121 3.50    
6  SHARP AZA RAINBOW Sep07 Jul09 Jun10 May27 Oct29 (mcknight norman)CRAWFORD J 118 20.00    
7  MOON POOL Sep07 Aug17 Dec08 Nov19 Oct13 (black ian)CONTRERAS LUIS 123 6.00    
8  HOT OMELET Aug24 Aug06 Jul20 Jul06 Jun10 (yu danny)VIVES SOFIA 116 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
WO-9   09/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T'PRING Sep07 Aug17 Jul29 Jun29 Jun15 (cole-simpson)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  TAYLORMOON Aug26 Aug18 Jul08 Jun11 May14 (kierans rene)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
3  ELECTRIC LIGHTNING         (armata jr)MUNOZ LARRY 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SMART IRENE Aug10 Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 (samulak j)SEECHARAN A 122 20.00    
SCR  MISS MOE Aug18         (mcclachrie denys)SALLES LEO 120 8.00    
6  BLACKMARSH May07         (burry lisa)WENC C 120 20.00    
7  EVA'S RECORD Aug24         (katryan abraham )CRAWFORD J 118 10.00    
8  HARD ROCK WARRIOR Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jul01 (marrocco jason)MORENO OMAR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRIDGE TO NOWHERE Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul08 May25 (coryat a)FLORES ESWAN 120 10.00    
10  FRAULEIN VICTORIA Sep07 Aug24 Jul13 Jun15   (dunslow a)BYNOE DESEAN 113 15.00    
11  ALCOM'SOUTINTHWASH Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 Jun15 May19 (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
12  CASTLETON Sep01 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 May26 (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.