Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - September 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-7   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(3/5/2)-(7/2/8/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTD-8   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(7/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-9   WIN (7/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/9)-(7/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/9)-(7/2/8/9)-(7/2/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-6   09/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY DESTINY Aug19 Aug12 Jul29 Jul09 Jun23 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00    
2  ADDYDIDIT Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jun30 Jun16 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 16% 5.30    
3  GO MAMA Aug12 Jul29 Jun02 May13 Nov05 (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 123 5.00 12% 7.40    
4  MAGICAL LADY Aug26 Aug04 Jul23 Jul09 Jun02 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 123 3.00    
5  HENRY'S GAMBLE Aug26 Aug12 Jul28 Jul09 Jun16 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
6  LITTLE HARPER Jul30 Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 May26 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00    
 
CTD-7   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOL TIME Aug11 Jul22 Jun23 Jun03 Apr04 (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50    
2  MUCHO MAGIC Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 May26 May06 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 12% 7.50    
3  ESTIFRAAD Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 Jun03 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 13% 6.70    
4  DAD'S LEGACY Jul30 Jul16 May06 Oct22 Sep17 (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00    
5  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Aug12 Jul16 Jun30 Jun10 May27 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.50    
6  BORKAN Aug12 Jul23 Jun30 Jun17 Jun03 (cone rodn)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 1.60 46% 1.20    
7  SCHOCHOH Aug26 Jul22 Jun30 Jun10 May26 (o'hagan )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 12.00    
 
CTD-8   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAZZLING CHIC Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun23 May26 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 125 20.00    
2  EDGE OF OKOTOKS Aug13 Jul23 Jun23 Jun02 Oct15 (mcdonald robert)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 8% 11.60    
3  WILD ARCH Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb16 Feb07 (brown jim )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 1.60 58% 0.70    
4  MISTY MATT Sep01 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul16 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00    
5  TAKE CHARGE GWEN Aug19 Aug13 Jul29 Jun30 Jun09 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 13% 6.40    
6  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Aug19 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun30 (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 125 6.00    
SCR  FOREVER LADY Jul28 Jul21 Jul01 Jun03 May13 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00    
8  KISSABLE U Jul23 Jul08 May26 May12 Oct28 (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00    
 
CTD-9   09/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBATE Aug26 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 (smith craig )NATERA KEIHTON 120 10.00    
2  DRAMATIC FLAIR Aug06 Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 May27 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
3  ANNA'S IMAGE Aug26 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 115 8.00    
4  LUCKY HALO Aug04 Sep24 Sep02 Aug13   (pozzo ja)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 30.00    
5  VALENTINO ROSSA Aug26 Aug06 Jul29 Jul09 Jun16 (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 20.00    
6  STARLIGHT LANE Aug19 Aug05 Jul23     (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 3.00    
7  SHAKINOFFTHERUST Aug04 Jul21 Jul09 Jun10 May27 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  STUBBORN LOVE Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Jul08 Jun17 (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 123 4.50 12% 7.60    
9  WICKED WIZZY Aug26 Aug05 Jul29 May27 Sep03 (ward )GASKIN ZAVIER 118 10.00 11% 8.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.