Handicappers' Racing Form

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Century Mile
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-2   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-3   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-4   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CTM-5   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CTM-6   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CTM-7   Win (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CTM-2   08/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXAMINER Aug04 Jul28 Jun16 Jun03 May06 (humbke chery)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.50    
PRESS GANG Aug04 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 (humbke cheryl)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
PERDITION Aug12 Jul22 Jun30 Jun09 May27 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00 8% 12.20    
GIVE EM HECK BECK Jul09 Jun03 Mar15 Mar06 Feb15 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 125 5.00    
AMUSING WAY Aug05 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 May12 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
CTM-3   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL BABE Jul21 Jul07 May13 Nov05 Oct28 (calhoun kimbe)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
LETS GO ALL THEWAY Aug05 Jun17 Jun09 May27 May13 (kingston rober)NATERA KEIHTON 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
SAYGE'S SPIRIT Aug13 Jul28 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 (gourdeau b)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
SASSY CINDERELLA Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 Jun17 Jun03 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.60 46% 1.20    
VIVIEN'S CHARM Jul28 Jul07 Jun02 May13 Nov04 (smith rober)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 29% 2.40    
 
CTM-4   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPMEINPOWER Aug05 Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 May26 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 123 6.00 45% 1.20    
SHAKEITFORMEGIRL Aug04 Jul16 Jul02 Jun10   (wal)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 3.50 19% 4.30    
FASTESTGIRLINTOWN Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May26 Oct29 (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 118 5.00    
SCR  SHAKINOFFTHERUST Aug04 Jul21 Jul09 Jun10 May27 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50    
QUEEN RHONDA Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 May27 (smith k)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.00    
 
CTM-5   08/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS Y GRACIAS Jul30 Jul16 Jun30 Jun10   (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 2.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  AL REICHERT Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 May13   (zielke madis)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00    
RYE TOAST         (petrowski joan)MARTIN ANDRE 122 8.00    
DADDY'S PEPPER Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 Oct16 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 1.80 57% 0.80    
TAPFERSURE Jul29 Jul16 May27 Oct28 Sep24 (kingston karline)NELSON DANE 122 4.00    
 
CTM-6   08/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOME HENRY Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 Nov04 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NICE GUY EDDIE Aug04 Jul16       (anderson gonz)MARTI ALEXANDER 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
CALI CONQUEST Aug04 Jul22 Jun23 Jun09 Apr30 (cone rodney)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 118 10.00    
BODEMONSTER Apr05 Mar20 Feb28 Jan23 Jan07 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.00    
ITSMYDAY Aug05 Jun23 Jun04 Oct08 Sep10 (vanov)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
PACHECO Aug04 Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 May06 (kettleso)ASENCIO MARIANO 118 6.00    
 
CTM-7   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Aug04 Jul23 Jun03 May12 Nov04 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 8.00    
CHARGE IT JENN Jul19 Jun14 May22 Apr26 Apr08 (brown shelley)NELSON DANE 125 12.00    
CAPA BELLA Aug05 Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 May27 (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 2.00 13% 6.90    
ENTITLED STAR Jul23 Jun23 Jun09 May12 May06 (mck)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 20.00    
OUT FRONT Jul23 Jul08 May12 Jun17 Jun04 (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
COUNTESS CAT Jul28 Jun17 Nov04 Oct21 Sep10 (baker)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00    
CARRIE'S SUCCESS Jul29 Jul08 Aug06 Jul16 Jun17 (grieves)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  NO BAKK TALK Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 (smith k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 6.00 9% 9.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.