Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(3/7/8/2)-(9/8/6/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-6   WIN (3/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/2)-(9/8/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-7   WIN (9/8/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/10)-(9/8/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/10)-(9/8/6/10)-(9/8/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-4   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET HAVEN Jul15 Jul02 May21 May07 Mar28 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 10.00    
2  SASSY CINDERELLA Jul30 Jul16 Jun17 Jun03 Oct22 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 24% 3.10    
3  THRILL OF THE NITE Jul21 Jul01 Jun02 May12 Oct22 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  MOHAYMEN DAY Jul21 Jul01 Jun17 Jun02 May12 (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00    
5  SWIFT SWALLOW Jul21 May27 Oct21 Sep30 Sep17 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 5.00 12% 7.40    
6  PAULINA'S STAR Jul21 Jun17 Jun02 Apr18 Mar27 (cone rodney)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.00    
 
CTM-5   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY KALIPA Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 May06   (nicholson david)BRYAN D 120 10.00    
SCR  TAPULOUS Jul29 Jun09 May06 Sep23   (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 3.50    
3  GIMME THAT GIRL Jul01 Jun16 Jun10     (stockwell b)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 4.50 55% 0.80    
4  GHOSTLY RUNNER Jul29 Aug13 May27 May14   (davies deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 5.00 11% 8.20    
5  BONNIE AND MOE Jul23         (petrow)STEADMAN LEON 120 20.00    
SCR  LITTLE CHATTIE         (m)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 15.00    
7  ALBERTA Jul23 Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 Oct01 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 120 3.00 8% 11.20    
8  PUNCH PERFECT Jul29 Jul16 Jun23 Jun02 Jul01 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50    
 
CTM-6   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACEFUL SPIRIT Jul28 Sep23 Sep10 Aug12 Jul29 (pozzo jack)NATERA KEIHTON 123 15.00    
2  I SAID QUIET Jul28 Jul09       (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  AFTER A FEW Jul09 Jun09 May26 May06 Apr08 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 3.00 66% 0.50    
4  MISS MCBRIDE Jul23 Jul09 Jan06 Dec09 Nov13 (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 5.00    
5  BUNNY NOREEN Jul29 Jul01 Jun09     (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 120 10.00    
6  GOLDEN FORTYNINE Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 May26 May06 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 120 4.00    
7  QUICK DIAL Jul16 Jul09 May26 May13 Nov05 (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 2.00 8% 10.90    
8  NO MORE JO KING Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 May06 Oct08 (rob)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-7   08/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May06 Apr26 (kingston ka)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 20.00    
2  ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Jul30 Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 Apr28 (frey carson)BRYAN D 120 15.00    
3  BACKSTREET BOBBY Jul28 Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 6.00    
SCR  BODEMONSTER Apr05 Mar20 Feb28 Jan23 Jan07 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.50    
SCR  SMART PLAY Jul28 Jun30 Jun16 May27 Oct29 (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 123 25.00 5% 19.00    
6  WAR GIANT Jul23 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 Oct22 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00 20% 4.00    
7  TOOL TIME Jul22 Jun23 Jun03 Apr04 Mar05 (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00    
8  CREDIBILITY May06 Sep14 Aug26 Apr29 Apr08 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
9  LINCHPIN STORM Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 May26 May06 (bourn)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
10  FLASHFORDANI Jul23 Jun02 May12 Sep10 Aug20 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.