Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(2/3/1)-(5/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(5/1/4)-(5/8/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/8/2/3)-(5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-7   WIN (5/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/3)-(5/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/3)-(5/8/2/3)-(5/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/2/3)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/3)-(5/4)-(1/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-8   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/3/2)-(5/3/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-9   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(5/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-10   WIN (5/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/8)-(5/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/8)-(5/3/6/8)-(5/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.821K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARRAH FOWLER Jul14 Jun25 May27 Sep29 Sep16 (martin e)BIRZER E 119 1.60 28% 2.50    
LARNED         (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 12.00 12% 7.10    
SMACKIN GOOD TIME Jun25 Sep29 Sep18 Sep02   (schutz pam)TOHILL S 119 5.00    
BLITZED Jul16 Jun19 Sep30 Aug06 Jul01 (leapley duane)EDWARDS JAVIS 119 10.00    
GOOD N LUCKY Jul14 May29 May12 Sep29 Sep18 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00    
HAPPY STROLL Jul14 Jun25 Jun05 May26 Sep29 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
 
PRM-5   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($22K) Purse ($34.332K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISIN RAISIN Jul03 Jun12 May22 May12 Oct02 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 2.50 16% 5.20    
PEGGY RULES Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May19 Sep18 (flores oscar)EDWARDS JAVIS 115 1.80 26% 2.80    
DAMASCUS GATE Jul03 May22 Aug08 Jul16 Jun03 (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
BUG A BOO Jul07 Jun12 May19 Oct02 Sep25 (jacquot gene)ZIMMERMAN R 118 3.50    
BYE LOVE GOTTA GO Jun03 Sep30 Sep09 Aug20 Jul17 (martin e)TOHILL S 118 5.00    
 
PRM-6   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET LAURA Jul10 Jun26 Jun02 Jan28 Dec14 (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
NORTHERN GEM Dec16 Dec02 Oct21 Sep01 Jul29 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50    
SIERRA SUMMER Jul01 Jun18 May06 Feb04 Jan14 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 3.00    
DOLLY DIMPLE Jul09 May13 Apr30 Apr14 Mar24 (hardy ro)ZIMMERMAN R 122 8.00 8% 11.60    
GO GO GO Jul08 Jun25 Jun03 May20 May05 (flores oscar)EDWARDS JAVIS 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
MY DAMS ATITUDE Jul01 Jun02 Apr28 Apr15 Mar31 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 122 6.00    
 
PRM-7   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTOFQUEMADO         (rollins m)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of NO BABY by OH TANNER)
C P THREE         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 3.50 6% 15.40    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
WESTERN TOURIST Jul07         (martinez kel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOURIST out of GO WEST MARIE by WESTERN FAME)
SCR  TRIPP'S HIT         (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of NATURAL MIST by EMCEE)
MEDIA MOGUL (GB)         (caster boyd)JORDAN R 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MODELING by TEJANO RUN)
SMACKZILLA         (von donni)ROMAN KEVIN 119 10.00    
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of SMACK MADAM by VICTORY GALLOP)
BRAHMS IMAGE         (martin wi)TRIANA JR 119 8.00    
  (by BRAHMS out of ENGLISH SPRING by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
WAR RASCAL Jun23 Apr01 Feb23     (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of OH LOVELY by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
PRM-8   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. BEANS Jun11 May04 Apr23 Apr07 Mar17 (flores oscar)JORDAN R 122 2.00    
SCR  FAR FROM FINAL Jun22 May27 May09 Apr16 Mar11 (young sco)TRIANA JR 115 10.00    
BOLT FORTY FIVE Jul07 Jun02 Oct23 Sep23   (anderson )DE CRUZ 117 5.00    
DIAMOND RIM Jul24 Jul09 Jun11 May21 May03 (mcfarlane da)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.50 21% 3.80    
ULTIMATE Jul07 Jun09 May06 Apr23 Apr01 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 126 1.40 38% 1.60    
SCR  OIL MONEY Jul07 Jun11 Mar26 Feb26 Jul08 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
 
PRM-9   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($45.864K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMIDANU Jul03 Jun12 May19 Nov12 Oct19 (ashford tristan)TOHILL S 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
ADDABABY Jun25 May27 Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 (wellington)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 3.00 9% 10.40    
GIRLS IN CHARGE Jul03 Jun12 May19 Feb24 Feb03 (arnett g)BIRZER E 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
OLIVE OYL Jun03 May22 Oct01 Sep18 Aug29 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00    
RAINBOW DASH Jun18 Jun04 May12 Apr07 Mar24 (dieter dalton)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
SABRIA Jun10 May19 Oct02 Sep12 Aug28 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00    
 
PRM-10   07/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNAP'N TAP Jul01 Jun05 May19 Oct02 Sep04 (wellington tom)TOHILL S 123 5.00    
KENHEDOIT Jun03 May20 May12 Apr22 Apr16 (dieter dal)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 10.00    
SAVAGE (BRZ) Jul09 Jun04 May27 Apr22 Apr05 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 126 3.50 8% 11.50    
SCR  NAME THE PRICE Jun04 May20 May12 Apr15 Mar18 (dieter da)TRIANA JR 126 10.00    
CODETOWIN Jun12 May27 Jul29 Jun24 Jun13 (arnett g)BIRZER E 126 3.00 62% 0.60    
SECRET BLARNEY Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 May20 Mar20 (mcshane davi)JORDAN R 123 6.00 8% 12.30    
GRAND DESIGN Jul07 Jun10 May27 Apr29 Apr15 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 4.00    
JONATHAN WHO Jun04 Apr02 Mar25 Mar11 Feb16 (arceo salvado)EDWARDS JAVIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.