Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-1   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-3   WIN (7/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/2)-(1/8/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CTM-4   WIN (7/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/2)-(1/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-5   WIN (1/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-6   WIN (5/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-7   WIN (1/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/6)-(1/3/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/6)-(1/3/9/6)-(1/3/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/6)-(7/1/8/2/9)-(8/7/11/6/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CTM-8   WIN (7/1/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/2/9)-(7/1/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/2/9)-(7/1/8/2/9)-(7/1/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/8/2/9)-(8/7/11/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CTM-9   WIN (8/7/11/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/11/6/5)-(8/7/11/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/11/6/5)-(8/7/11/6/5)-(8/7/11/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-1   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVER CONNECTION Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May13 Oct29 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 120 2.50    
MAMA'S PROUD JOKE Jul08 Jun23 Jun09 May26 May06 (gourde)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 12.00    
WIDE EYED WILEY Jul09 Jun23 Oct21 Oct01 Sep17 (w)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 2.00    
PUMP THE BRAKES Jun24 Jun02 May13 Oct29 Oct14 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00 16% 5.10    
AMEER Jul08 Jun23 May12 Oct28 Oct15 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
AGENT C Jul09 Jun23 Jun16 Jun02 May12 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 118 3.50 49% 1.10    
 
CTM-2   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALKTHELINE Jun30 Jun16 May26 May06 Oct15 (mcdonald rober)MARTIN ANDRE 125 10.00    
BORKAN Jun30 Jun17 Jun03 May12 Apr29 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00    
BON PRIX Jun30 Jun16 May26 May12 Oct29 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 5.00 12% 7.20    
SLEW'S BAK Jun16 May28 May14 Oct02 Sep10 (zie)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.00    
WAR GIANT Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 Oct22 Sep30 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
SHORTY THE SWEDE Jul01 Jun16 May26 May06 Oct28 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
CTM-3   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALBERTA Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 Oct01 Sep10 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 120 2.50    
SCR  JIG'S DESTINY Jul09 Jun09 Jun10 May21 May07 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 12.00    
BONNIE AND MOE         (petrowski joan)MARTIN ANDRE 120 10.00 35% 1.90    
LENT ME FIFTY Jun10 May27 Oct29 Oct15   (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUNDROP (JPN) May12 Oct15 Oct08 Sep10 Aug27 (mckenzie robe)FRASER MEAGAN 115 3.50    
LADY KALIPA Jul07 Jun09 May06     (nicholson david)BRYAN D 120 8.00    
DYLAN'S SAVE Jul01 Jun16 May27 May12 Jul15 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.80 38% 1.60    
VIOLET CITY Jul07 Jun09 Oct22     (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-4   07/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HERMANITA ALEX Jul07 May26 May06 Oct22   (frey )GASKIN ZAVIER 110 15.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of PLATINUM RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
COUNTY WINDS         (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 120 20.00 12% 7.00    
  (by COUNTY RUCKUS out of SONORA WINDS by BEST MINISTER)
SMART DECISION         (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 120 10.00 19% 4.40    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of SMILE AGAIN THETA by SMILE AGAIN)
OUR SUNSHINE Jun10 May27 May06 Oct22 Sep23 (russell m)ZENTENO JR 120 4.00    
  (by NO HESITATION out of COLOR ME GOLD by HARBOR THE GOLD)
CAROSWAY Jun30         (kettleson ali)LUNAN RICHARD 120 12.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of CARO'S SONG by JET WEST)
PACHECO Jun24 Jun10 May06     (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 4.50    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of SHE'S COPACETIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
H K RAPPER Jun30 Jun03 May06 Nov05 Oct22 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of MIMIPAOPONCHIS by BROKEN VOW)
KISS ME HELLO May27 May06 Oct29 Oct08 Sep24 (kingston rober)MARTIN ANDRE 120 2.00 19% 4.40    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of KISS ME GOODBYE by GULCH)
 
CTM-5   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISH ON A STAR May06         (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SURGING STAR by SKY MESA)
MILITARY SASS Jun09         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of BOOTLEGGERS WIFE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
STARLIGHT LANE         (brown r)NELSON DANE 120 10.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of CRYSTAL KRIS by KISSIN KRIS)
BRYNN'S DREAM Jun09 May26 May06 Oct22   (grieves ron)MARTIN ANDRE 120 6.00    
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
MIDNITRAINTOGEORJA Jul07 Jun09       (leech william)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 17.60    
  (by MIDNITE POPPA out of INSTANT STYLE by FORESTRY)
SPIRIT GIRL Aug19         (brown r)NATERA KEIHTON 120 15.00    
  (by VALUE PLUS out of GHOST GIRL by GHOSTZAPPER)
MISS MCBRIDE Jul09 Jan06 Dec09 Nov13 Sep23 (anderson)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ISLE OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
KEEPMEINPOWER Jul07 Jun09 May26 Mar07 Feb18 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of GENERALCBANDSALLIE by OFFICER)
 
CTM-6   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMASH FACTOR Apr08         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 123 6.00 30% 2.30    
DUNE D'ORO Jul08 Jun24 May26 May13 Nov04 (hawkes darcy)NELSON DANE 123 8.00    
BIG AL'S VISION Jun30 Jun23 Jun09 May27 May06 (frey carson)BRYAN D 125 2.50    
MAJESTIC CAFE Nov04 Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 (ananas e)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHARP DRESSED BEAU Jun30 Jun10 May26 Jun03 May21 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
REDNECK REMARK Jun30 Jun16       (mcdonald rober)MARTIN ANDRE 123 12.00    
ALONGTHEWATCHTOWER Jul08 Nov05 Oct21 Oct14 Oct01 (cone r)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
YORKTOWN Jun30 Jun09 May27 May12 Oct29 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 15.00    
 
CTM-7   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOC COPE Jul09 Jun17 May13 Nov04 Oct21 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  EL FANTASMA Jul31 Jul17 Jun29 Apr15 Mar26 (gregoire )FLETCHER SAMANTHA 123 15.00    
H K MELODY Jul09 Jun09 May26 May13 Sep23 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.00 21% 3.80    
DUKE OF DEWINTON Jul09 May26 Nov04 Oct21 Oct07 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 15.00    
SANSOME Mar18 Feb22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep09 (baker ta)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
SPOT ON DUDE Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 Oct29 Oct22 (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 10.00 8% 11.90    
SMART CAT Jul08 Jun17 May06 Oct08 Sep10 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 6.00    
FROSTEDBIRD Jun30 May27 May06 Mar23 Feb19 (frey carson)BRYAN D 118 20.00    
ANOTHERFORBROOKS Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 May13 Apr17 (humbke cheryl)MARTIN ANDRE 120 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
CTM-8   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZICATELA Jun30 Jun17 May26 Nov05 Oct15 (anderson g)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 2.50 18% 4.40    
BOSS MAN CAN Jun16 May27 May06 Sep30 Sep10 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 10.00 9% 10.00    
FLASHFORDANI Jun02 May12 Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 15.00    
IMPACTO Jun30 Jun09 May26 May13 Apr02 (smith craig )NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00    
MAGICAL LADY Jul09 Jun02 May13 Apr28 Apr16 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 120 20.00    
ESTIFRAAD Jun30 Jun03 Oct21 Oct07 Sep09 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 12.00    
BURNLEY Jun02 May13 Apr11 Mar04 Feb06 (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.00 28% 2.60    
DANCING WILLIE Jun24 Jun09 May26 Nov05 Oct22 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 5.00 11% 8.20    
LINCHPIN STORM Jun30 Jun09 May26 May06 Apr17 (bourn)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 12.00 8% 12.00    
10  BACKSTREET BOBBY Jun30 Jun09 May26 Nov05 Oct29 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 8.00    
 
CTM-9   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFINITE PLEASURE Jul09 Jun02 May12 Jul31 Jul16 (kingston rob)NATERA KEIHTON 123 12.00    
KISSABLE U Jul08 May26 May12 Oct28 Oct07 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 20.00    
ENTITLED STAR Jun23 Jun09 May12 May06 Nov05 (mckenzie robe)FRASER MEAGAN 120 25.00    
SMILIN EVIE Jul01 Jun17 Jun02 Mar26 Mar09 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 125 20.00    
EDGE OF OKOTOKS Jun23 Jun02 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 (mcdonald rober)MARTIN ANDRE 123 12.00 7% 13.20    
LITTLE HARPER Jul09 Jun23 May26 May13 Oct01 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 15% 5.60    
COUNT ON IT Jun30 Jun09 Sep30 Sep18 Aug13 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00 18% 4.40    
OUT FRONT Jul08 May12 Jun17 Jun04 May13 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Jun03 May12 Nov04 Oct08 Sep30 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00    
10  THERUFFSIDEOFEXHI Jul08 Jun23 May26 May13 Nov05 (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 15.00    
11  CAPA BELLA Jul08 Jun23 May27 May13 Oct28 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 6.00 17% 4.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.