Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(4/2/3)-(5/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/2/1)-(1/4/10/7/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(1/4/10/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(1/4/10/7/9)-(1/6/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRM-7   WIN (1/4/10/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/10/7/9)-(1/4/10/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/10/7/9)-(1/4/10/7/9)-(1/4/10/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/10/7/9)-(1/6/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/10/7/9)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/5/2/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRM-8   WIN (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/7)-(1/5/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/7)-(1/5/2/8)-(1/7/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRM-9   WIN (1/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/8)-(1/7/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-10   WIN (1/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5)-(1/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S PARTY GIRL Jun30 Jun17 May19 Apr22 Apr07 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 121 4.50    
2  CHAMPAGNE BLING Jul01 Jun17 Jun10 May19 Nov26 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  JAVISTHA Jul14 Jun04 May22 Apr14 Mar17 (martinez )TRIANA JR 124 1.80    
4  JAZZ BRUNCH Jun30 Jun10 May21 Apr28 Apr01 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
5  GLAMOROUS LIFE Jun30 Jun10 Apr16 Sep23 Sep05 (martinez )DE CRUZ 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
6  REINA DEL SUR Jun02 May22 Apr08 Mar12 Feb17 (donlin larry )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00    
 
PRM-5   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYBERTOWN Jul08 Jun17 Apr22 Apr02 Mar03 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 2.00    
2  FREE MAKER Jun23 May21 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
3  AIR JOCK Jul02 May06 Apr25 Mar06 Feb14 (mcfarlane dan)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHIPS ON FIRE Jun23 Jun11 May21 Oct01 Aug27 (wellington tom)TOHILL S 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
5  WICKED PRINCE Jun17 Apr16 Apr02 Mar05 Feb25 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00    
6  BREAD WINNER Jul01 Jun04 May22 May05 Apr23 (flores oscar)EDWARDS JAVIS 115 3.00    
 
PRM-6   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD BOUT HILARY         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of WILD BOUT TIFFANY by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  MITOLE'S LEGACY Jul02         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.00 18% 4.40    
  (by MITOLE out of PHOENICIAN MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  RITA'S REVENGE         (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 119 5.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SARITTA by INDYGO SHINER)
4  SPANGLE Jul02         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of PRENUPTIAL VOW by BROKEN VOW)
5  LITTLE TAP DANCER Jul02         (murphy travi)SALAZAR TERESA 114 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of LIL RED COZETTE by HENNY HUGHES)
6  KANT RESIST IT         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SOUNDS DELICIOUS by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  CAN'T WANT THAT         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 4.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of JULIE FROM DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
 
PRM-7   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 2 F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAYDENSQUEENOHARTS Jun30         (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by STROLL out of DE QUEEN by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
2  SUPINE DUCHESS         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 8.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of LADY NOBLE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
3  BEAUTIFLY TROUBL'D         (jordan j)EDWARDS JAVIS 114 6.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEAUTIFUL LU by GONE WEST)
4  SHEZAWILDSTORM Jun19         (ashford h )ERAMIA E 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of A WILD NOTION by NOTIONAL)
5  CUPIDS SWEETY Jun19 Jun04       (martinez )TRIANA JR 119 5.00    
  (by CUPID out of MULTIFACETED by TIZNOW)
6  THAT'S OUR VISION Jul08         (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 4.00    
  (by WILBURN out of VISION'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
7  QUIET I'M NOT Jul08         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ELEGANTLY QUIET by QUIET AMERICAN)
8  LUCYS STROLL Jun30         (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 20.00    
  (by STROLL out of BLUEGRASS LUCY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
9  CLASSIC CASH Jun30         (clark r)CORBETT W 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of ANNIEBEAR by TALE OF THE CAT)
10  NATUSIA         (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BIG N LUCKY by POLLARD'S VISION)
 
PRM-8   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($36.429K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT ROSE Jul09 Jun04 May12 Sep29 Sep18 (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  DREAMINONTHENILE Jun19 May21 May12 Sep18 Sep02 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 120 3.00    
3  SHELBY TO Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 May20 Sep25 (martinez )TRIANA JR 122 6.00    
4  RISKY WHISKY Jul02 Jun11 May21 Sep30 Sep25 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 122 4.00    
5  KASA Jun19 Oct02 Sep25 Sep09 Aug14 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CONFETTI BETTY Jul09 Jun19 Jun11 May28 Oct02 (hargens bob)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
7  GARBO SPEAKS Jun25 Jun12 May22 Jan20 Dec23 (martinez )DE CRUZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-9   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Stallion Filly Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT WISH Jun18 May28 Apr22 Mar25 Feb18 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 116 3.00 43% 1.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAN YOU TALK by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  MY HAPPINESS Jul07 Jun02 Oct01 Aug26 Jul22 (hicklin christin)BIRZER E 118 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of MAYFIELD ROAD by YONAGUSKA)
3  TARA'S TIME (NZ) Jun02 May12 Apr22     (von hemel)DE CRUZ 116 8.00    
  (by DRUMS OF TIME out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  WITSEC Jun17 Apr10 Mar20 Feb19 Jan13 (young sco)TRIANA JR 116 12.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of RUN CARRIE RUN by ORIENTATE (GB))
5  LAVENDER LIL Jul02 Jun19 May21 Oct01 Sep12 (clark r)CORBETT W 116 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of PERFECTLY SMART by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  OUR DAVINA Jun10 May13 Apr26 Mar28 Dec14 (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 116 4.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CHERRYBLOSSOMMISS by LANGFUHR)
7  DIAL SUM IN Jun25 Jun02 May12     (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 10.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of SUMLIN by ESKENDEREYA)
8  REASON OVER RICHES Jun03 Apr21 Mar25 Feb26 Jan27 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
 
PRM-10   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50.45K) 4UP M/F PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT STORMIN Jul07 Jun23 May12 Oct01 Sep09 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  MISS PEACH Jun23 Oct01 Aug29 Jul22 Jun27 (von kelly)CORBETT W 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
3  BOSSY MOMENT Jun23 Jun09 May22 Apr25 Dec17 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.00    
4  JUST LIKE TRISTA Jun17 May22 Oct01 Aug29 Aug07 (anderson )DE CRUZ 116 5.00    
5  KELA'S TURN Jun23 May22 Jan06 Dec17 Nov26 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 117 12.00 10% 9.20    
6  ANGEL'S MELODY Jun23 May22 Oct01 Sep11 Aug12 (arnett g)BIRZER E 116 10.00    
7  KAYLA Jun18 May22 Oct01 Sep12 Aug26 (chleborad )ERAMIA E 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  INTERSTELLA Jun23 Jun12 Nov26 Nov05 Oct01 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 117 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.