Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Meadows
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FMT-1   WIN (7/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/5)-(7/3/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/5)-(7/3/6/5)-(7/3/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/5)-(5/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6/5)-(5/3)-(7/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FMT-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(7/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(7/5/2)-(4/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FMT-3   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(4/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/1/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FMT-4   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/1/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/1/8/6)-(5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FMT-5   WIN (4/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/6)-(5/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FMT-6   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(5/2/1)-(3/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FMT-7   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(2/9/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FMT-8   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/9/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(2/9/4)-(3/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FMT-9   WIN (2/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/4)-(2/9/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/4)-(2/9/4)-(2/9/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/9/4)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FMT-10   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FMT-1   07/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($7.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EUROBOUTTOGETIT Jul06 Jul11 Jun28 Jun06   (o'brien s)ERNST L 124 20.00    
2  SHE'S A PLAYER Jul06 Jun28 Jun15 Apr04 Mar20 (coffey chester )GOFF L 124 15.00    
3  MO ARETHA Jun15 May10 May03 Mar28 Dec10 (hartman alex)KIMES C 118 2.00 26% 2.90    
4  FLASHY GAIL Jul06 May17 May02 Apr24 Mar28 (davis steve )HEBERT LINDSEY 113 4.00    
5  HUSHED Jul13 Jun29 Sep23 Sep02 Jul11 (jimenez )BENN J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DEVINE CANDY Jul05 Jun28 May17 Apr10 Mar13 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
7  CAROLS KITTEN Jul06 Jun28 May17 Apr05   (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
8  BOUJEE BRITT Jun28 Jun08 May19 Apr26 Apr10 (dunlap m)CRUZ ROMAN 124 12.00    
 
FMT-2   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($4.95K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BURTNJOE Jul05 May01 Apr12 Nov08 Sep28 (hale james )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 2.00    
2  REMEMBER ME TONY Jul05 Jun15 May16 May01 Apr12 (dunlap)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 2.50    
3  RECKLESSNESS Jul06 May20 May06 Apr28 Apr15 (dunlap m)CRUZ ROMAN 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  HUNTER'S LEGACY Jul06 Jun15 May16 Mar20 Dec08 (david ro)BENN J 124 4.00    
5  CATALE STORM Jul06 Jun15 May16 Apr24 Apr03 (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 5.00 46% 1.20    
 
FMT-3   07/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JACKS SPRING BREAK Jul06 Jun14 May16 May02 Apr24 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00    
2  MONET'S DEVIL Jun29 Jun15 May10 Apr25 Apr03 (martin)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 3.00 13% 6.70    
3  SAZON Jul05 Jun28 May15 May08 Apr25 (moreno carlos)LANDEROS C 118 12.00    
4  BRICKTOWN BROWN Jun29 Jun08 Apr21 Apr08 Apr19 (black marissa)CRUZ ROMAN 124 8.00    
5  SWEET BAKER Jun28 Jun15 May16 May01 Apr04 (davidson brent)KIMES C 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  ROBERT WHO Jun28 Jun08 May09 Apr25 Mar27 (hartman alex)MORA GERARDO 124 5.00    
7  YANKEE INDIAN Jun05 May21 May06 Apr21 Apr01 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
FMT-4   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR FUN Jul05 Jun14 May16 May01 Apr03 (david )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 5.00    
2  LARCH Jun15 May20 May13 Apr29 Apr01 (mitzner r)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
3  SHANGHAI SKIPPER Jul12 May17 May09     (david ro)BENN J 124 12.00    
4  HE'S MUNNIE Jun15 May10 Apr12 Mar14 Oct07 (hartman alex)KIMES C 124 1.40 37% 1.70    
5  BROTHER AARON Jun15 May01 Apr05 Mar20 Mar07 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.60 20% 3.90    
 
FMT-5   07/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($19.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINKY RING BLING Jun11 May27 May13 Apr01 Feb18 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  DRIFTING WEST May09 Feb17 Jan07 Nov21 Jun16 (offolter s)KIMES C 118 8.00    
3  ROYALLY Jun29 May16 Apr26 Apr05 Mar13 (buehrer mark)HEBERT LINDSEY 118 8.00    
4  ABSAROKA Jul05 Jun14 May09 Apr24 Mar28 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
5  HOOVES YOUR DADDY Jun29 Apr15 Mar19 Feb10 Dec16 (snodgrass eric)CRUZ ROMAN 116 20.00    
6  UNRESTRICTED Jul05 Jun14 Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 (black )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 119 6.00 11% 8.30    
7  BOX SEAT Jun14 May09 Apr05 Nov08 Aug19 (caster bo)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 8.00    
8  PALATIAL TIMES Jun17 Jun04 May06 Apr13 Apr01 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
FMT-6   07/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPANISH HOMBRE Jul05 Jun28 May16 Apr05 Mar20 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 1.80    
2  EXCITING Jun28 Jun15 May16 Apr24 Apr12 (luneack theres)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.50    
3  LIMBO'S PROMISE Jun28 Jun15 May17 May02 Apr24 (david ron)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 12.00    
4  NOMOREMRNICEGUY Jul05 Jun14 May16 May02 Apr24 (alexande)BENN J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ELECTORAL Jul05 Jun14 May01 Dec16 Nov18 (ferrell jory)KIMES C 124 3.00 70% 0.40    
6  STEPPIN SHEP Jun28 Jun08 May16 May01 Apr11 (williams ala)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
FMT-7   07/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR GRIFFIN Jul06 Jun28 Jun15 Jun08 May09 (camillo ange)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MEGA BOND Jul06 Jun15 May16 Apr24 Apr12 (davidson brent)KIMES C 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  DEL MOON Jul06 Jun08 May09 Apr24 Apr12 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 12.00    
4  MOROLICIOUS Jul02 Jun10 May28 May07 Apr22 (davidson sarah)LANDEROS C 124 3.50    
5  NEEDABETTERJOCK Jul06 Jun15 May16 Apr03 Mar20 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.60 57% 0.70    
6  HUNTER QUICK Jun28 May16 May03 Apr04 Mar20 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 4.00    
 
FMT-8   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LENA'S SHADOW Jun29 May15 Apr25 Mar27 Mar13 (pogue bob)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
2  SMOKING GUITAR Jun29 Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb26 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  EXCETERA Jun29 Jun08 May10 May02 Apr03 (ferrell jory)KIMES C 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  HARPERS VISION Jul05 May17 Apr12 Mar28 Sep16 (morales arnold)CRUZ ROMAN 124 15.00    
5  SECRET PASS Jun29 Jun08 May08 Apr24 Mar25 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 3.50    
SCR  SPLITSECONDECISION Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 May16 Apr11 (davis steve )HEBERT LINDSEY 113 4.00    
7  LOVELY LOLITA Jun14 May15 Apr26 Apr03 Mar13 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00    
 
FMT-9   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Muscogee (Creek) Nation Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MRSG'S LIL DREAMER Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 May20 Apr16 (george wayn)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00    
  (by HEZA DREAMER out of RARESEAN by WILD BILL)
2  RAGAN'S JET Apr24 Mar27 Oct21 Sep29 Jul18 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 1.20 59% 0.70    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of SHE'SGOTHEROWNJET by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  STORMIEIS BLUE Jun17 May07 Feb24 Jan22 Oct21 (davidson nico)KIMES C 124 6.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BORREGO'S TREASURE by BORREGO)
4  GENUINE DRAFT Jun29 Jun15 May10 Apr24 Mar28 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 20.00 8% 10.80    
  (by PALACE out of IT'S SCHILLER TIME by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  JUSTABOUTRIGHT Jul13 Jun29 Oct05 Sep14 Aug20 (corderman scott)CRUZ ROMAN 124 15.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of JULIARD by DIXIELAND BAND)
6  STORMY BISONETTE Jun29 Jun08 May10 Apr26 Apr05 (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 10.00    
  (by BACKSTABBER out of LADY BISON by BURBANK (IRE))
SCR  OKIE FRONT Jun29 Jun08 May15 May01 Mar27 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MISS MANCHESTER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
8  LA MORENA Jun17 May20 Apr29 Mar24 Mar05 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 124 6.00    
  (by KIPLING out of MOUNT STEPNEY by STRONG HOPE)
9  YAK ATTACK Jun27 May23       (leddy )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 5.00 11% 8.50    
  (by ORATORY out of MUDLAFF CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
FMT-10   07/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17.05K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE MAD MAX Jul05 Jun28 May17 May10 May03 (morales a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SILVER MAX out of LOVE GAME by FRIENDLY LOVER)
2  BIG BUDDS BROWN         (black marissa)GOFF L 118 8.00 34% 2.00    
  (by DAAREB out of GOSPEL GAIL by BANDINI)
3  SPIN TO WIN Jul05 Jun04 May08 Sep01   (snodgr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 1.60 39% 1.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PAYING OFF by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  GOSPEL GRAYSTONE Jul12 Jun28 May17 May02 Sep30 (williams steve)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of FORESTSTONE by BIRDSTONE)
5  POWER PROJECTION Jul05         (moreno carlos)CRUZ ROMAN 118 15.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of POWER EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  LANGMEAD Jul13 Jun28 May10 Apr24 Jul05 (thomas dena)LANDEROS C 124 2.00    
  (by RISKY TRICK out of CHERUBINO by VISION AND VERSE)
7  BINDING HEART Jun22 Jun04 Jul09     (offolter s)KIMES C 124 4.00    
  (by BIND out of CASSIENGRACIE by ZANJERO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.