Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gillespie County Fair
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GIL-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
GIL-6   WIN (4/2/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/8/9)-(4/2/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GIL-7   WIN (7/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GIL-9   WIN (2/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/8)-(2/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GIL-5   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY TAP Jul02 Jun15 Nov04 Sep08   (triana alfred)GARCIA GASPAR 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  LITTLE AVENGER Apr01 Mar18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 (camacho jose)VERA T 128 6.00 25% 2.90    
3  BLUEGRASS DIXIE Jul03 May20 May05 Apr23 Mar26 (herrera a)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
4  WITT'S TAQUITO Jun03 Apr29 Apr20 Mar03 Feb10 (llo)URIETA MANUEL 128 4.00    
5  SIMPLY SPEAKING Jul17         (herrera arno)VIVANCO L 128 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAYAPRETTY Jun03 May05 Feb24 Feb04 Jan16 (ascencio j)MORALES X 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  TIZ ALLUPTOME NOW Mar24 Jul02 Jun18 May01 Mar25 (uriegas joe)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 128 20.00    
SCR  RANDELLO Jun23 May27 Apr13 Apr01 Mar03 (bryant ge)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 128 1.80    
9  SALACIOUSACUSATION Jun02 Apr22 Mar10 Feb04 Oct27 (m)ZUNIGA LANDEROS 123 20.00    
 
GIL-6   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPOTE'S GLITTER Mar24         (uriegas joe)VERA T 128 20.00    
  (by FLATTERING REPORT out of Z CAPOTE'S QUEEN by RIVER SQUALL)
2  EAGLEFORD Jun24 Jun16 May27 May18 Apr23 (bryant ge)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 125 2.00 15% 5.50    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of BRIGHT PERFECTION by GRAND SLAM)
3  RIG IT RIGHT Jun03 Mar21 Mar07 Feb26 Oct30 (honesto )MENDEZ A 125 20.00    
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of TRUELY TRICKY by TRICKY CREEK)
4  IRON MOON May30 Apr27 Mar25 Feb24 Feb02 (hernandez )MORALES X 125 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by IRON FIST out of DIXIE SUE by DIXIELAND BAND)
5  MORO BEARD Jun18 Jul22       (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 128 4.00 14% 6.30    
  (by MORO TAP out of SITHECHRISTMAS ELF by FOREFATHERS)
6  NELLIE DEE May12 Jul24 Jun26 Jun16 May27 (b)ZUNIGA LANDEROS 123 8.00    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of GEEBES by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
7  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD Jul04 May11       (schneider er)VIVANCO L 125 10.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of I'M JULIETTE by FIRST DEFENCE)
8  CHIQUITA CHANNEL         (llo)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 15.00 7% 14.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TOMICA'S SPIRIT by OFFICER)
9  BIG BROWN NOW Aug19         (ramirez paul)EDISON JOCELYN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of VOW ME OVER by BROKEN VOW)
10  GOLD CAPO Jun04 May07 Apr29 Apr13 Apr07 (ech)URIETA MANUEL 128 12.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of SATIN GOLD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
GIL-7   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Texas Thoroughbred Breeders' Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GOLDEN M Jul01 Jun16 May27 May05 Mar25 (ech)URIETA MANUEL 128 4.00 13% 6.60    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of EARLY M by EARLY FLYER)
2  PLAY RULE Jul01 Jun10 May20 Apr27 Apr02 (roubion st)MORALES X 128 15.00    
  (by INTIMIDATOR out of CATS RULE by SIR CAT)
3  FEARLESS PRINCE Jul01 Jun16 Jun04 May07 Apr14 (cravens ron)GILES FRANCISCO 128 2.50    
  (by FEARLESS EAGLE out of RAVIN IN THE HEAT by BRING THE HEAT)
4  I'M A COWBOY Jun15 May28 May13 Apr23 Mar25 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 125 5.00 18% 4.70    
  (by BRADESTER out of BENNY'S BOMBSHELL by BENNY THE BULL)
5  CHAMPAGNE STOOPER Jul01 Jun03 May13 May05 Mar25 (schneider er)VERA T 128 6.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of CHAMPAGNE SIPPER by MENHAL)
6  DON'T BLAME DEXTER Aug27 Jul17       (del olmo-rod)VIVANCO L 128 15.00 12% 7.40    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of DON'T BLAME WAYNE by WAYNE'S CRANE)
7  CARBON STRYKER Jun17 May21 Apr27 Apr01 Feb21 (bryant ge)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 128 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by CROSSBOW out of WHISKEY GIRL by SILVER TRAIN)
 
GIL-9   07/16/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCORKED HUMOR Jul02 May29 May06 Apr21 Mar24 (echeverria)MORALES X 128 15.00 21% 3.70    
2  JIBE May14 Apr30 Apr22 Apr02 Feb04 (triana alfred)GARCIA GASPAR 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  GET OUT TONIGHT Jun03 May13 Mar10 Feb05 Nov04 (jacks karen )VERA T 123 3.00    
4  HARRY Jul02 May27 May13 Apr21 Mar24 (roubion ste)RODRIGUEZ CELSO 128 20.00    
5  KRISYNSARASBOY         (uri)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 128 30.00    
6  OKLAHOMA STAR Jan14 Aug27 Apr16 Feb17 Feb02 (aguirre )MENDEZ A 123 10.00 12% 7.70    
7  KITCHEN MATCH Aug27 Apr02 Feb18     (uriegas joe)GILES FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
8  SCHOENHARDT Jun15 May06 Mar31 Feb03 Jan14 (c)ZUNIGA LANDEROS 128 20.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  GRAMI'S BOY Jul02 Jun08 May13 Feb12 Jan15 (gus)URIETA MANUEL 128 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.