Handicappers' Racing Form

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Prairie Meadows
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PRM-4   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PRM-5   Win (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PRM-6   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PRM-7   Win (6/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PRM-8   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PRM-9   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PRM-10   Win (5/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PRM-4   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAISLEY'S VISION Jun19 Jun02 Apr19 Mar26 Feb15 (rollins scott)EDWARDS JAVIS 113 2.50    
LIL DITTY'S KITTY Jun19 Jun02 May15 May02 Apr12 (roe w)TOHILL S 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
YANKEE PRIDE Jun30 May19 Apr14 Mar12   (rhodes lester)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 10.00 9% 10.60    
LITTLE ROCKER Jul01 Jun12 May22 Apr14 Mar18 (johnston lane )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 4.00 13% 6.40    
GAME TO PLAY Jun17 Jun02 May19 Sep30 Sep25 (clark r)CORBETT W 119 6.00    
CAMCORDIA Jun03 Apr10 Mar27 Mar07 Dec27 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 5.00    
 
PRM-5   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTION DAY Jul03 Jun03 May22 Apr10 Apr01 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 118 2.00    
ONCE UPON A DREAM May21 Apr14 Feb04 Dec16 Oct23 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 3.00 50% 1.00    
BIG VANILLA Jun03 May05 Apr12 Jan24 Dec04 (rollins scott)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00    
SCRUGGS         (von do)ERAMIA E 118 8.00 8% 11.80    
SKYFLYER Jul03 May22       (chleborad lynn)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 6.00    
SPEEDBAYOU Jul03 Jun19 Jun03 May22   (chleborad lynn)EDWARDS JAVIS 113 3.50 12% 7.70    
 
PRM-6   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26.077K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LOVE ROCKNSTROLL Jun30 May29 May13 Oct01 Sep03 (wellington )TRIANA JR 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
DREADPIRATEROBERTS Jul03 Jun09 May19 Sep12 Aug27 (murphy swan)NOLL S 120 3.50    
ROWDY RAY Jun26 Jun09 May13 Jul04 Jun19 (hargens bob)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  AIN'T SO BAD Jun26 Jul30 Jul17     (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
NATIVE HELLRAISER Jun18 May26 Oct01 Sep16 Aug26 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 124 4.00    
TEMPLE CITY RUN Jul07 Jun18 Jun05 May26 Sep19 (guillory jr)ZIMMERMAN R 120 5.00    
JUSTASTROLLIN Jun19 Jun03 May13 Sep25   (compton jesse)BIRZER E 120 10.00 14% 6.30    
 
PRM-7   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN MOJO Jun25 Apr29 Apr15 Mar03 Feb25 (crabtree jason)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 12.00 20% 4.00    
MINE MY TIME Jun25 Aug19 Jul24 Jun19 Jun03 (martin timothy )EDWARDS JAVIS 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
ROCK CITY ROCKET May28 May12 Apr23 Mar02 Jan08 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 2.50    
HOLIDAY TICKET Jul03 Jun18 May22 Apr30 Apr15 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.50    
GETTINHOT'NHERE Jun25 Apr21 Apr02 Mar26 Feb17 (arceo salva)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
CHICAGO CHROME Jun25 Jun16 May22 Dec10 Dec01 (jacquot gen)DE CRUZ 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
LIBERTARIAN Jul01 Oct02 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 (bolinger d)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-8   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POKER PLAY Jun19 Jun04 May22 Apr24 Apr03 (johnston lane )GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 10.00    
BIG HEARTED FACTOR Jun30 Jun12 Apr29 Apr15 Mar25 (arceo salva)DE CRUZ 125 6.00    
FIRST LINE Jun25 Jun12 Mar16 Mar02 Feb11 (flores oscar)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
FLY FIRST CLASS Jul01 Jun10 May20 Apr22 Apr01 (arceo salvador)ROMAN KEVIN 123 12.00    
HANS GRUBER Jun15 Apr22 Mar11 Feb19 Jan29 (young scott)TRIANA JR 123 4.00 17% 4.70    
BILLY YANK Jun30 Jun12 May27 May14 Mar31 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  INCITATUS Jun12 May09 Apr21 Apr07 Mar11 (garcia amalio)ZIMMERMAN R 123 3.50    
 
PRM-9   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($36.429K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAPIN TY MAN Jun30 May29 May13 Sep03 Aug22 (martin e)BIRZER E 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
STAR OF MINE Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 May13 Oct01 (chleborad lynn)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 8.00    
AMERICAN POSSE Jun26 May29 Oct01 Sep18 Aug27 (anderson l)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
ELIOT NESS Jun19 May28 Dec28 Oct15   (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  HOOKED ON DREAMS Jun19 May29 Sep18 Aug15 Jul25 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50    
TAP THE BRAKES Jul03 Jun09 May26 May06 Apr18 (gleason tyr)DE CRUZ 122 4.00 12% 7.60    
 
PRM-10   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22.015K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACH SWEDE Jun25 Jun05 May26 May13 Jul29 (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 3.00    
TAP ON BY Jun18 May26 May13 Sep30 Sep19 (hemba br)FLETCHER D 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRIZED TAP Jun25 Jun10 May13 Jul23   (wellington tom)CORBETT W 118 10.00    
BABYS TIME TO SING Jun26 Jun05 May12 Sep25 Aug06 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 4.00    
HANDSOME STRANGER May28 Sep30 Aug15 Jul31   (clark r)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
DIXIE THREE G Oct01 Sep16       (houghton bryan)ROMAN KEVIN 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  LET'S ROCK N ROLL Jun17 May28 May13     (dieter dalton)EDWARDS JAVIS 113 20.00    
DAY MONEY Jun26 May26 Oct02 Sep23 Sep03 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 124 12.00    
ONE SOCK BILLY Jun26 May28 May13 Aug06 Jul11 (wellington tom)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 5.00 14% 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.