Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-3   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-4   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-5   WIN (8/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3)-(8/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-6   WIN (4/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/8)-(5/7/2/8/4)-(9/11/7/1/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CTM-7   WIN (5/7/2/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/8/4)-(5/7/2/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/8/4)-(5/7/2/8/4)-(5/7/2/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/2/8/4)-(9/11/7/1/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CTM-8   WIN (9/11/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/7/1/6)-(9/11/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/7/1/6)-(9/11/7/1/6)-(9/11/7/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-2   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMEER Jun23 May12 Oct28 Oct15 Oct07 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 10.00 21% 3.90    
SOMETHIN HAPPENIN Jun16 Jun02 May13 Oct29 Sep18 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 8.00    
CHRIS'S COMMAND Jun02 May13 Oct07 Sep09 Jul09 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 9% 9.80    
MAMA'S PROUD JOKE Jun23 Jun09 May26 May06 Oct29 (gourdeau br)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
BEAUGATTI Jun16 Nov05 Oct14 Sep24 Sep09 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 1.60    
CHARMING VINTAGE Jun02 May12 Oct22 Oct15 Oct07 (wyness james)NATERA KEIHTON 123 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
CTM-3   07/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL VELOCITY Jun24 May26 May06 Nov04 Oct07 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 1.60    
ALL THAT GOLD Jun09 May13 Oct28 Oct15 Sep18 (russell m)ZENTENO JR 123 2.00    
WYE CROSS Jul01 Jun09 May27 May06 Nov04 (smith k)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 6.00 20% 4.10    
IGNITE THE MOON Sep30 Aug19 Aug05     (buehler r)BRYAN D 123 15.00    
MAJOR SHEPARD Jun24 May06 Sep07 Aug23 Aug02 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 10.00 12% 7.50    
INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Jun24 Jun02 May13 Apr01 Jan31 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
 
CTM-4   07/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANADIAN AUTHORITY Jun20 May23 Apr26     (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 120 15.00 7% 14.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of KARAKORUM ELEKTRA by FREUD)
COOL DOMINION May27 Nov05 Oct08     (coney ja)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 120 12.00 7% 14.10    
  (by NUMAANY out of COOL COMMOTION by KAHUNA JACK)
LOLLIPOP KID Jun14         (brown shell)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 4.00 8% 11.30    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of DONNA GAIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
TRAPEZE         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 8.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
AL REICHERT Jun24 May13       (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of AMALGAMATION by LEMON DROP KID)
DADDY'S PEPPER Jun24 Jun03 Oct16 Sep24 Aug29 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 1.60 51% 0.90    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of CHILECITO by RAHY)
HANDSOME HENRY Jun24 Jun10 Nov04 Oct21 Oct08 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 10.00    
  (by ON BOARD AGAIN out of MISS HOTZY TOTZY by WELL INFORMED)
 
CTM-5   07/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLANCY'S PISTOL Jun17 May27 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 (bell ken)NATERA KEIHTON 123 15.00    
GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Jun24 Jun02 May06 Apr26 Apr11 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00    
KYSTONE Jun23 Jun10 Mar26     (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 118 8.00 5% 18.10    
MACHINE (ARG) Jun24 Jun02 May06 Oct01 Sep10 (tingl)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 10.00    
SIMMS Jun17 May27 Apr16 Apr02 Mar17 (smi)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 12.00    
THESHACK Jun16 Nov05 Oct29 Oct08 Sep10 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 6.00 11% 8.00    
SILVERFOOT Jun23 Jun09 May26 Sep02 Aug06 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Jun24 Jun10 May26 Apr25 Apr15 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
CTM-6   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAUAI DAN Jun17 May27 Mar31 Jan21   (smith crai)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
SHURAZ Jun24         (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
VANTASTICCANAVERAL Jun30 May06 Sep23     (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
SUNBIRD Oct22 Aug13       (jor)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
FOUR O SIX CREED Jun17 Nov22 Oct28 Oct06 Aug16 (kingston ka)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 6.00 10% 9.00    
BIG BAD INTAGLIO Jul01 Jun17 May27 May06 Sep23 (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 122 12.00    
SMART CAT Jun17 May06 Oct08 Sep10 Aug19 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 15.00    
READYTOTAPNSING Jun03 Oct14 Sep19 Aug19 Jul29 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 4.00 7% 13.70    
 
CTM-7   07/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT TO THE WIRE Jun24 Jun10 Mar17 Feb10 Jan21 (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00    
PRESS GANG Jun24 Jun09 May27 May13 Nov04 (humbke cheryl)NELSON DANE 123 3.50 11% 8.40    
DUNE D'ORO Jun24 May26 May13 Nov04 Oct14 (haw)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 12.00    
ALONGTHEWATCHTOWER Nov05 Oct21 Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 (cone r)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MUCHO MAGIC May26 May06 Nov04 Oct21 Sep30 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 41% 1.40    
FAST EH May12 May06 Oct29 Oct07 Sep30 (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 15.00    
KOVACS Jun24 May01 Apr18 Mar25 Jan23 (brown jim)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 125 5.00 18% 4.60    
JULIUS THE GREAT Jun24 Jun09 May27 May13 Aug13 (webster alfred)BRYAN D 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
WHERE'S THE GOLD Nov05 Oct07 Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 (gilkyson ash)NATERA KEIHTON 123 20.00    
 
CTM-8   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE ROSALYN Nov05 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
DAZZLING CHIC Jun23 May26 May12 Oct08 Sep02 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 12.00    
KISSABLE U May26 May12 Oct28 Oct07 Aug27 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 15.00    
THERUFFSIDEOFEXHI Jun23 May26 May13 Nov05 Oct08 (zielke madison)NELSON DANE 123 2.00    
SCR  FLASHY BIZ Jun23 Jun09 May26 Oct08 Sep18 (frey carso)RIZO ALEXIS 123 20.00    
KERIK Jun23 Jun09 Feb26 Jan27 Jan20 (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
OUT FRONT May12 Jun17 Jun04 May13 Apr30 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Jun30 Jun23 Aug12 Jul30 Jul22 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 12.00    
CARRIE'S SUCCESS Aug06 Jul16 Jun17 Jun04 May13 (griev)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
10  WAVESINTHEOCEAN Jun17         (calhoun kimber)MARTIN ANDRE 123 30.00    
11  CAPA BELLA Jun23 May27 May13 Oct28 Oct14 (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.