Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(4/5/1)-(4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-2   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(4/2)-(5/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-3   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/4/3)-(2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/4)-(1/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-5   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(1/5/3)-(4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/1)-(5/2/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-7   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/2/7)-(1/2/7/8/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
LRC-8   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(1/2/7/8/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
LRC-9   WIN (1/2/7/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/8/6)-(1/2/7/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/8/6)-(1/2/7/8/6)-(1/2/7/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVA'S STORM Jun02 May12 Feb20     (sadler john )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 1.60 63% 0.60    
2  ACCELERINA Aug20         (sadler j)ELLINGWOOD A 120 6.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  MERRILY RUSH May29 May04       (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
4  HOUSE OF MAGIC Aug21         (miller peter)MALDONADO E 120 3.00    
5  PAID IN GOLD May27 Apr21 Mar31     (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00    
 
LRC-2   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SWEDE Jun25 May14 Apr23 Mar31 Jan21 (palma hector )FRESU ANTONIO 126 4.00 7% 12.60    
2  MAJESTIC WIND Sep17 Aug25 Aug14 Jul30 Jul03 (stute gary)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 12.00    
3  KANT BEAT THE ROCK May13 May05 Apr02 Feb10 Dec31 (ruiz lorenzo)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 6.00    
4  SUNRISE JOURNEY May28 Apr23 Apr07 Mar12 Feb20 (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 124 1.00 61% 0.60    
5  ESTABLISHED Jun02 May12 Feb12 Jan02 Oct07 (yakteen tim)FREY KYLE 126 2.00 11% 8.20    
 
LRC-3   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SING A HAPPY SONG         (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 120 1.00    
  (by STANFORD out of MADE TO WORSHIP by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
2  FLYMETOTHEMOONBABY Jun16 May26 Apr29     (vallejo genar)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 4.50 10% 9.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of FLY THE COLORS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  THE MUSIC WE MAKE Jun16         (agarie rick)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of MORE CAL BREAD by FLYING CONTINENTAL)
4  ISABEL LUDLOW Jun04 May12 Apr22 Apr07 Mar19 (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 1.40 69% 0.40    
  (by GRAZEN out of YOUR CHEATIN HEART by KNIGHTS CHOICE)
SCR  STAN'S STARLET Jun23 Jun11       (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 120 10.00    
  (by STANFORD out of DEL CIELO by PHILANTHROPIST)
 
LRC-4   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIZELLA May27 May05 Feb20 Dec11 Nov18 (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 6.00    
2  A NEW PEACE Jun11 May12 Mar19 Feb20 Dec18 (rheinford m)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 3.50    
3  CHOLLIMA Jun23 May07 Mar12 Feb25 Jan09 (campuzano lore)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.50 15% 5.50    
4  RAIN DIVA May05 Mar17 Jan06 Dec18 Sep23 (harris andrew)MALDONADO E 126 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  FLAT OUT JOY Jun18 Jun02 May05 Apr01 Mar04 (treece s)FREY KYLE 126 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
LRC-5   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER BOLD Jun18 Dec11 Nov06 Sep18 Jul31 (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 124 3.00    
2  MY SUMMER DREAM Jun10 Apr29 Apr02 Mar12 Feb10 (jauregui j)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  SEE THROUGH IT Jun16 May13 Apr09 Mar12 Feb18 (pineda milton)FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.00    
4  SIGUR ROS May14         (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 126 8.00 28% 2.60    
5  MOLTO VIVACE Sep18 Jul31 Apr15 Mar20 Jan16 (cunningham br)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 10.00    
 
LRC-6   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCWHERTER Sep17 Aug25 Jun17 May01 Apr01 (cunningham br)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 3.50 30% 2.40    
2  WEGONAHAVAGOODTIME Jun25 Jun03 Apr02 Mar19 Feb18 (pineda g)VAZQUEZ A 126 2.00    
3  WHISKY MY GOD (ARG) Jun23 Sep22 Jul09 Mar12   (rivera sally)ORTEGA CESAR 126 4.00 11% 8.20    
4  EDINBURGH EXPRESS May05 Apr01 Mar18 Mar11 Feb19 (lucas j)HARVEY B 126 8.00    
5  PERFECT D Dec09 Sep22 Feb18 Jan28   (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
6  RUN SNAPPY Jun10 May13 Jan17     (sadler joh)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 126 4.00    
 
LRC-7   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK INTRO Jun23 Apr28 Apr07 Mar09 Feb10 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 1.60 30% 2.40    
3  PERFECTO AMOR Jun23 Dec18 Nov18 Oct10 Sep23 (farias adan)GARCIA ERICK 126 6.00    
4  EQUIPO A Dec17 Dec09 Sep25 Sep16 Aug26 (rivera sally)VAZQUEZ A 126 1.40 35% 1.90    
6  POLLO D'ORO Apr16 Mar12 Feb20 Jan27 Jan16 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 126 2.50    
SCR  MINDSHARE Jun11 May27 May13 Apr15 Apr02 ( )TBA null      
SCR  TIME IS GONE Jun04 May13 Apr16 Mar25 Dec18 ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-8   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  INDY'S STAR Jun23 Jun02 May02 Apr19 Mar29 (powell leon)HERRERA A 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  CLASSYMADEMOISELLE May27 May05 Mar27 Feb19 Dec10 (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 120 8.00    
4  SWEET HEIDELBERG May29 May05 Apr09 Mar09 Feb17 (ruiz lorenz)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 5.00    
5  MY DESTINY May06 Mar24 Feb11 Jan06 Dec08 (wilensky herman)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.00 50% 1.00    
6  THE REIGN SONG May29 Apr21 Mar26 Jan29 Dec09 (knapp steve)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
7  APART OF MY CHARM May02 Mar29 Mar04 Feb11 Jan24 (f)ROJAS EDUARD 124 12.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  UNWRITTEN CODE Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec11 ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-9   07/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Great Lady Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELM DRIVE May20 Apr08 Sep24 Aug06 Jul04 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  EDA Apr28 Mar06       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SHOW ME by LEMON DROP KID)
3  ROSE MADDOX May28 Apr29 Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 (miyadi)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of HEAT THE ROCKS by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  REAL FIRE Jun02 May07 Apr22 Apr01 Feb20 (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 119 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of HINDER by STROLL)
5  PAMMY'S READY Apr22 Mar26 Nov19 Oct29 Oct01 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 119 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PAMMY WHAMMY by WAR FRONT)
6  CHISMOSA May28 May06 Sep05 Aug07 Jul23 (deleon rafael)PEREIRA TIAGO 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of YOU CAN DREAM by CAT DREAMS)
7  AWAKE AT MIDNYTE Apr08 Mar11 Feb04 Dec26 Nov05 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of MIDNIGHT UNION by UNION RAGS)
8  VEGAS MAGIC Nov04 Sep10 Aug13 Jul09 Jun11 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 119 10.00 6% 14.40    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of HEIDI MARIA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
9  DANCE TO THE MUSIC (GB) Mar25 Feb20 Aug28 Jul28 Jun04 (glatt mark)MALDONADO E 124 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BEAUTIFIED by CONGRATS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.