Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-2   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-4   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-6   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GRP-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-9   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-2   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMONSITO Jun24 Jun18 Aug11 Jul30 Jun10 (cantrell m)PRECIADO A 126 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  LIGHT OF FAITH Jun24 Jun18 Jul14     (rodriguez )JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 3.50    
3  SPORTS FOR WOMEN Jun17 May26 May04 Apr09 Mar17 (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 119 3.00 17% 4.70    
4  SENOR AT WAR Jun24 Jun18       (guerrero dieg)LOPEZ E 124 8.00    
5  SCOOB Jun24         (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 124 2.50 12% 7.60    
 
GRP-4   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOY HOWDY Jun17 Aug28 Aug21 Jul16 Jul15 (cantrell m)PRECIADO A 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROMAN RUSH Jun25 Jun09 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 2.00 23% 3.30    
3  BIG BAD BRIAN Jun25 Jul23 Jul16 Jul04 Jun28 (craig jam)JENSEN P 126 4.00    
SCR  SAPPHIRE SILK         (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 121 10.00    
5  LUKE'S PLACE Jun25 Jun18 Jul13 Jun28 Jun21 (hof d)SMITH E 126 8.00    
6  ZOE'S PAPA CEE Jun24 Jun17 May12 Apr21 Apr09 (bumgardner j)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 6.00    
7  SPEEDY TOM Jun18 Aug28 Aug21 Aug14 Aug07 (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 126 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
GRP-6   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Stars Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALY'S NATION Oct16 Sep04 Aug12 Jul22 Jul16 (kowalsky harl)GARCIA SHYANN 126 8.00    
  (by NATIONHOOD out of ARTIC MIST by SON OF BRIARTIC)
2  BETHEL RIDGE Jun24 Jun17 Sep17 Aug28 Aug20 (williams gabr)LOPEZ E 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by COAST GUARD out of BEARLEE NAKED by OLD TRIESTE)
3  XTRAFINE XTINA Jun17 Oct09 Aug26 Aug20 Jul04 (beckner teri)SMITH E 126 1.60    
  (by REVOLUTA out of STOPIN MEMO by TRIBAL RULE)
4  HER PERFECT VISION Jun24 May06 Apr18 Mar26 Dec20 (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 126 3.00    
  (by STANFORD out of TIMOTHYFOURSEVEN by STREET BOSS)
5  MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Jun24 Jun17 Nov25 Oct07 Aug28 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50 17% 4.80    
  (by ABRAAJ out of MOSCOW SYMPHONY by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
 
GRP-7   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATTAWA N THAT Jun24 Aug26 Aug11 Jul15 Jul04 (boyle )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  FOREVER GOLD Jun25 May28 May13 Mar01 Feb20 (hof bill )JENSEN P 126 4.00    
3  STANLEY RYDER Jun17 Sep17 Sep11 Aug26 Aug14 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 12.00 12% 7.20    
4  BEING A BOSS Jun25 Aug11 Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 (harris john)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.50    
5  LIVE A GOOD LIFE Jun18 Feb18 Feb11 Feb02 Jan24 (hof d)SMITH E 126 3.00 39% 1.60    
6  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE Jun17 Sep04 Sep02 Aug12 Jul03 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 3.50    
7  MOLAF Jun25 Jul13 Jul04 Jun10 May22 (madrigal gil)GARCIA G 126 8.00    
 
GRP-9   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWLITZ Jun25 Jun18 Oct15 Oct07 Aug27 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  MY LITE NITE Jun24 Jun18 Aug11 Jul15 Jul04 (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  ASTOUNDING ABBY Jul14 Jul04 Jun27 Jun21   (guerre)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00    
4  VISION OF THE KAT Jun24 Jun09 Aug10 Jul24 Jul17 (craig jam)JENSEN P 126 3.00    
5  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Jun18 Oct15 Oct09 Aug21 Aug13 (maelfeyt brun)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 6% 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.