Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fanduel Racing
Tuesday - May 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAN-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4/1/2)-(1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FAN-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(1/3)-(3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FAN-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/2)-(8/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FAN-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(8/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(8/4/6)-(1/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FAN-5   WIN (8/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/6)-(8/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/6)-(8/4/6)-(8/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/6)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6)-(1/6/4)-(3/4/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-6   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FAN-7   WIN (3/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAN-1   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANTIC BEAST May02 Mar08 Jan29 Jan06 Dec11 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  SWEET JUSTICE Apr25 Nov11 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 (foxworth leonar)SAMPSON KIM 124 4.50    
3  ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE Apr18 Dec17 Sep30 Sep13 Aug30 (bentler don)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.50 12% 7.10    
4  LIL BIT TIPSEY Sep13 Sep02 Aug02 Jul12 Jun18 (mcewen j)ORM CORY 124 3.00    
5  G CITY WARRIOR Apr29 Sep09 Aug13 Aug02 Jul15 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
FAN-2   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDEFENSIBLE May02 Apr18 Feb25 Feb16 Jan27 (martin)BAILON JADHIR 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  CAMARGO (IRE) May02 Apr18 Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 (manley ste)SIMPSON M 124 3.00 10% 8.70    
3  ZARMAE Apr30 Apr13 Mar26 Nov12 Oct21 (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 124 12.00    
4  SHANGHAI SILVER Apr25 Mar09 Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  FUTURE VISION Mar19 Mar05 Dec18 Dec04 Nov12 (juarez blas)ORM CORY 124 8.00    
SCR  FORWARD CURVE Dec02 Nov04 Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.00    
 
FAN-3   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASTNFURIOUS May02 Apr13 Mar19 Feb24 Feb03 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  CAMPISI Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jan13 (jansen ke)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 3.00    
3  KITTEN'S CLOWN Apr29 Apr09 Mar16     (thurman r)THURMAN ELIZABETH 126 5.00 23% 3.40    
4  WATCHNTHEGIRLSGOBY Dec17 Oct25 Oct06 Sep25 Sep10 (heinen miles)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
SCR  IMMORAL May06 Mar09 Feb20 Jan27 Jan13 (jansen kenn)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50    
6  CHEEKERS May02 Dec30 Oct14 Sep06 Jun14 (scalcione )SIMPSON M 124 4.00    
 
FAN-4   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIA'S GIFT Apr18 Nov26 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 124 8.00    
2  BETHY May06 Apr18 Mar30 Aug18 Aug05 (burdess t)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 25% 3.10    
3  TROUBLE FINDS ME May06 Apr18 Jun24 May31 Apr30 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  WILDWOOD BYE Apr22 Mar24 Dec18 Dec09 Nov19 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.00    
SCR  SHEZ STUCK UP Apr25 Oct08 Jun24 Apr09   (mcdonnell)THURMAN ELIZABETH 124 1.80    
 
FAN-5   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLUE EVEN SCORE May02         (becker sco)SIMPSON M 126 8.00 12% 7.20    
2  MAZLAN Apr22 Dec02 Nov13 Sep23 Sep09 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 126 3.00    
3  DART ATTACK May02 Sep20       (lynch har)THURMAN ELIZABETH 126 4.50    
4  OH LA DE DA Apr22 Nov01 Aug29 Aug16 Jul19 (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  BEE A WINNER Nov27 Oct09 Sep24 Sep09 Aug13 (rednour jo)MOLINA F 126 15.00    
6  GULF BENDER Apr22 Jan01 Nov12 Jul26   (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
7  PRINCESS MAE May02         (fridley s)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
8  W W VALID May02 Apr22 Dec11     (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
FAN-6   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPTY HOLSTER May02 Apr18 Apr02 Mar05 Dec30 (martin)BAILON JADHIR 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  A MERRY HEART May02 Jun28 Jun04 May07 Apr23 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 4.00    
3  STORMIN EL PRADO May02 Nov13 Oct21 Oct02 Sep15 (appleton jo)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00    
4  SNOOZER Apr25 Oct22 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 (essenpreis)SIMPSON M 124 10.00 6% 16.40    
5  MON AMI FUZZIE Apr18 Mar26 Nov20 Oct30 Oct07 (ackerman d )SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50    
6  DEMAND RANSOM Apr30 Apr18 Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 (hughes ea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 21% 3.70    
 
FAN-7   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS KITTY PIE Nov27 Oct30 Oct09 Aug27 Jul16 (randaz)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.50 9% 9.80    
  (by AMERIHEART out of MISS ENGLISHMUFFIN by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  TU ROYAL Apr18 Apr02 Mar12 Dec30 Dec03 (manley steve)TAVARES JAVIER 118 3.50    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of ROYAL POSH by POSH)
3  NAPABIT May02         (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of LOOKING FOR BITS by MONARCHOS)
4  TINA'S TAPIZAR         (plasters lori)ORM CORY 118 8.00 16% 5.40    
  (by TAPIZAR out of LATE RUN by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
5  MADELYN ATTACK Apr18 Sep17 Sep06     (childers v)SIMPSON M 118 12.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MAGGIE BEE by BERNSTEIN)
6  LUTION May02 Apr09 Jan18 Dec30 Dec03 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 118 4.00    
  (by REVOLUTIONARY out of LILY LUNA by SAARLAND)
7  REBA ATTACK May02         (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 10.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LUCKY LIPSTICK by LUCKY LIONEL)
8  COMMISSIONER GULCH         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of GUIDDY GULCH by THUNDER GULCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.