Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - May 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (5/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/3)-(4/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/3)-(4/2)-(1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/5/6)-(1/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(1/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(1/7/4)-(7/6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(7/6/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(7/6/1/2)-(4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/2)-(4/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/2)-(4/5)-(2/5/9/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/3/9/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/3/9/2)-(4/5/3/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/5/9/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/5/9/8)-(4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/5/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/8)-(2/5/9/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/8)-(2/5/9/8/6)-(2/5/9/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/9/8)-(4/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/9/8)-(4/2/3)-(6/5/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/5/2/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (6/5/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/9)-(6/5/2/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/9)-(6/5/2/9/10)-(6/5/2/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   05/07/2023 4290ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI DANCER Mar25 Mar09 Feb12 Jan13 Nov26 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 126 12.00    
2  ALBAYAADER (IRE) Apr07 Feb19 Jan28 Dec31 Oct30 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 2.50 14% 6.20    
3  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES Apr09 Mar13 Feb13 Jan21   (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 126 8.00 9% 10.50    
4  DENDERA Apr07 Mar25 Feb11 Dec02 Nov12 (powell leonard)BRAVO J 126 4.00 19% 4.20    
5  SHE'S GOT A WAY Mar18 Feb19 Feb04 Dec30 Nov27 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  ICE QUEEN Mar11 Feb12 Jan13 Nov20 Oct15 (saldan)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 10.00    
7  REAL FIRE Apr22 Apr01 Feb20 Jan28 Dec31 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 4.00    
 
SA-2   05/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOILED ROTTEN Mar12 Feb12       (ruiz lorenz)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 4.00    
2  BLURSDAY Apr01 Mar05 Jan13 Dec02   (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 126 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  PARCO Mar19 Feb11 Jan27 Jan08 Dec17 (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 126 6.00    
4  RUN FOR MY HONEY Dec09 Oct15 Sep05 Aug06 Jul02 (ordonez aggi)DESORMEAUX J 126 2.50 35% 1.80    
5  BACK ON THE STREET Apr28 Mar19 Feb11 Dec09 Oct28 (bell r)FREY KYLE 126 2.00    
6  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Apr23 Mar26 Mar03 Jan29 Oct28 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 20.00 ★    
 
SA-3   05/07/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Singletary Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI HERMANO RAMON Apr07 Mar05 Jan27 Dec04   (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SASSY SUANCES by SUANCES (GB))
2  GAME TIME Apr02 Dec30 Dec04 Oct10 Sep11 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CONFESSION by PULPIT)
3  WIZARD OF WESTWOOD Apr02 Mar05 Jul03     (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 120 2.50    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of FIGRARE by PURGE)
4  MALIBU COAST Mar05 Dec30 Nov13 Oct09 Sep11 (mccarthy mich)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of READY READY READY by MORE THAN READY)
5  ESCAPE ARTIST Apr09 Feb04 Dec26     (mccarthy mic)DESORMEAUX J 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of GLORY by KNIGHT)
6  EASTBOUND Mar25 Feb04 Nov25 Oct29 Aug20 (shirreffs joh)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00 8% 11.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SURF LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
 
SA-4   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS MY KAT Apr23 Mar27 Mar03 Jan22   (stute gary)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 1.60 42% 1.40    
2  ROSES R BLUE Apr30 Apr09 Mar19 Feb20 Jan06 (knapp steve)HERRERA A 126 20.00    
3  TROJAN WAY Mar17 Feb17 Jan20 Dec17 Oct15 (aguirre pau)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 3.00    
4  TEEN DRAMA Apr09 Mar12 Feb11 Nov18 Oct23 (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 126 8.00 10% 8.60    
5  CARELESS STAR Apr09 Jan06 Aug21 Jul31 Jul11 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 6.00 ★    
6  NEVER SWAY Apr09 Mar19 Feb20 Feb11 Jan20 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 4.00    
7  BIG BELL Apr09 Mar19 Mar12 Feb11 Dec30 (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 126 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
SA-5   05/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER SURFER (GB) Apr08 Feb11       (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.00 9% 10.00    
2  ANMER HALL Apr08 Sep05 Aug13 Jul22 Jul01 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 8% 11.20    
3  BALLADEER Apr08 Jan28 Jan02 Nov04 Sep05 (papaprodromou )CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00    
4  TROPICAL TERROR Oct01 Sep10       (cassidy james)SMITH E 126 10.00    
5  SUBSIDIZE Apr08 Sep10 Aug13 Jul04 Jun02 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 12.00    
6  RECKLESS SPIRIT Feb11 Nov20 Oct07 Aug14 Jul01 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
7  COALINGA ROAD Apr08 Feb20 Jan07 Nov19 Oct16 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.00 37% 1.70    
8  BLETCHLEY PARK Apr09 Mar17 Dec26 Nov18 Apr16 (baffert bob)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
 
SA-6   05/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BABY         (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 12.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
2  DEVIL BE ME         (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 3.00 ★    
  (by GRAZEN out of DEVILISH PRO by EDDINGTON)
3  BIG BET JAFINSAFA         (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 6.00 ★    
  (by MR. BIG out of HEAT TRAP by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  COWBOY MIKE Apr09         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 71% 0.40    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of LUTESS by MARIA'S MON)
5  TOM HORN Apr09 Aug20       (miyadi steven)FRESU ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MIRANDA ROSE by TRIBAL RULE)
6  BAILEY'S BUDGET Mar25         (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 12.00    
  (by WAR ENVOY out of BLOW THE BUDGET by SUPER SAVER)
7  DADDY'S QUEST         (ruiz lorenzo)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 50.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of MARCYJANE by UNUSUAL HEAT)
8  MY RANSOM Mar25 Mar18 Feb18 Jan08 Dec16 (sierra jos)FREY KYLE 118 20.00    
  (by U S RANGER out of JETTIE ANN by BERTRANDO)
9  ANDY CAN U HEAR ME         (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 6.00 ★    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SINGN ON THEMOON by MALIBU MOON)
10  IMPERIAL HORNET         (powell leon)HERRERA A 118 15.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SEEKITANA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  NEVER NOT ONCE         (aguirre paul)VALDIVIA JR 121 12.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of DAPHNE'S DAY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
12  CAROL'S COMIC Apr09 Mar25 Feb19 Jan20 Dec16 (brinkerhoff val)VAZQUEZ A 126 6.00    
  (by GEM HEIST out of LADY COMIC by COMIC STRIP)
 
SA-7   05/07/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T SWEAR DAVE Feb26 Feb19 Jan30 Jan09   (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 15.00    
2  HARBORED MEMORIES May15 Apr09 Mar12     (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
3  RESPECT THE CODE Apr09 Mar05 Jan29 Jan02 Dec03 (papaprodromo)DESORMEAUX J 122 3.00    
4  SAMBURU (GB) Feb04 Jan01 Oct21     (mccarthy michael)ESPINOZA V 124 10.00    
5  STANDING O Mar12 Jun19 Apr30 Mar26   (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 17% 4.70    
6  DESMOND DOSS Sep17 Aug27 Jun25 May28   (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 ★    
7  ONE FLEW SOUTH Apr08         (headley gus)SMITH E 122 6.00    
8  MUCHO DEL ORO Feb11 Mar11 Feb05 Jan17   (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
9  FAST BUCK Apr09 Mar19 Jul22 Jun19 Apr30 (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
 
SA-8   05/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAHUNA MAGIC         (shirreffs john)BRAVO J 124 30.00    
2  MURRAY Feb11 Jul22       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  ESCAPE ROUTE Mar11 Feb05 Jun12 Apr16 Mar12 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 126 6.00 14% 6.30    
4  LOVESICK BLUES Apr08 Mar25 Mar05 Feb05 Dec31 (miyadi stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  DISCO BALL Aug21 Jul08 May15 Mar19 Feb05 (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 126 4.00 ★    
6  DIVINE ARMOR Jul24 May27 Apr17 Mar19 Feb18 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 10.00    
7  KINGDOM HEART Apr17 Mar19 Mar05 Jun10   (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
SCR  COLT FICTION Apr07 Jan15       (d'amato phili)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 10.00    
 
SA-9   05/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROST ALERT Mar27 Mar09 Jan06 Dec04 Nov20 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 20.00    
2  TALLIS Mar09 Jan20       (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 126 6.00 9% 10.40    
3  KO SAMUI (IRE) Apr09 Feb20 May20 Mar18 Feb13 (d'amato phil)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 20.00    
4  GOLDENEYE Apr09 Mar11 Feb18 Nov26 Apr02 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 126 10.00    
5  NINEELEVENTURBO Jun03 May13 Apr02 Mar06   (drysdale neil)FRESU ANTONIO 126 8.00 18% 4.50    
6  SO I'M TOLD Apr09 Mar17 Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 (ruiz lorenzo)VAZQUEZ A 126 4.00 46% 1.20    
7  THIRTY FOUR COUPE Mar26 Feb19 Jan27 Jan23   (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 6.00    
8  CIRCLEOFCHAMPIONS Mar19 Jan27 Nov27 Nov06 Oct10 (gaines carla)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00    
9  NUMERO DIX (GB)         (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 5.00 5% 18.20    
10  DERECHO DANDY Jan27 Dec11 Nov05 Jan02   (sadler w)BRAVO J 126 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.