Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fanduel Racing
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAN-1   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DURANGO CHROME Apr16         (randazzo fr)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of KENTUCKY BLUEBLOOD by AWESOME AGAIN)
KITTEN'S CLOWN Apr09 Mar16       (thurman r)THURMAN ELIZABETH 126 1.80 11% 7.70    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ANECDOTE by OLYMPIC NATIVE)
MAMAS HOME COOKING Jul10 Jun11       (pompell robert)ORM CORY 118 5.00    
  (by CORFU out of TACTICAL WARNING by TACTICAL CAT)
PAYNT BY LETTERS         (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 118 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of HARD TO READ by ALPHABET SOUP)
LAWMAKER Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 Aug24 Jul23 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 3.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RED SASHAY by BIG BROWN)
 
FAN-2   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE SCOUT Sep02 Aug19 Aug02 Jul19   (mosier harold)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 1.40 44% 1.30    
G CITY WARRIOR Sep09 Aug13 Aug02 Jul15 Jun25 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 1.80 23% 3.40    
BOBBIE TOO TOO Apr18 Nov26 Nov11 Oct16 Sep20 (lynch har)THURMAN ELIZABETH 124 12.00    
NEXT TIME YOU WIN Mar23 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul15 (nesbitt a)ULLOA JOAN 124 10.00    
ALMAFUERTE Mar19 Jan19 Dec31 Dec16 Nov27 (martinez ra)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00    
 
FAN-3   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASTFORTINOFAMILY Oct09 Sep23 Sep10 Aug23 Aug09 (durham mik)MOLINA F 126 6.00    
READY REDDING Sep06 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jun25 (durham mike)ORM CORY 126 3.00 19% 4.30    
LEMON BLITZ Sep23 Aug23 Aug09 Jul30 Jul01 (jansen kenn)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 8.00    
CAMPAIGN SPY Nov02 Oct09 Sep30 Sep10 Aug09 (jansen kenn)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.50 21% 3.70    
MY GUITAR Mar12 Feb16 Jan08 Dec18 Aug06 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
AMERICAN SUCCESS Sep10 Aug23 Aug09 Jul16 Jul01 (appleton )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 5.00    
 
FAN-4   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLEEDING BLUE Nov12 Sep16 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 124 4.00    
SKIP AWAY CARTER Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 Nov19 Oct28 (mullins d)ORM CORY 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
B G ATTACK Dec02 Sep24 Sep10 Jun10 May08 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
GREAT PLAINES Apr18 Nov12 May07 Apr23 Apr02 (lynch har)THURMAN ELIZABETH 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
KINGSBURRY ATTACK Oct07 Sep25 Aug30 Aug16   (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
FAN-5   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME DROSSEL Sep13 Aug20 Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 (nesbitt a)ULLOA JOAN 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  ART HEIST Dec02 Nov18 Oct30 Oct08 Sep24 (witthauer j)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
COPPER CROSSING Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 (pompell ro)MOLINA F 124 6.00    
ARGYBARGY BUCK Mar05 Feb21 Feb03 Jan06 Dec08 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 2.50    
SOME DUDE Apr18 Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 124 5.00    
I CAN'T TELL YA Apr18 Nov02 Oct12 Sep16 Sep08 (durham mike)ORM CORY 124 3.50    
 
FAN-6   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Nov25 Nov02 Oct09 Sep19 Sep02 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
OWEN'S PLEASURE Dec09 Nov11 Oct22 Sep25 Sep10 (martinez r)MOLINA F 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
RACETOTHEFINISH Apr09 Sep03 Jul12 Jun28 Jun04 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
I LUV THIS BAR Dec02 Nov11 Sep17 Sep03 Jul12 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00    
GHAALEB'S DOMAIN Mar23 Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 Sep06 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.00    
 
FAN-7   04/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G MONEY LIV Apr18 Mar30 Mar10 Feb05 Dec16 (jansen kenn)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
AIKEN TO BE TAKIN Dec31 Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 Oct21 (childers v)SIMPSON M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MEETMEINSTLOUIE Aug30 Aug19 Aug02 Jul09 Jun25 (bahena)BAILON JADHIR 124 20.00    
PRETTY GITA Sep17 Aug30 Aug06 Jul22 May28 (wiese john)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 15.00    
ARNEIS Mar16 Mar05 Jan13 Dec30 Dec01 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.50 10% 8.80    
NIFF Apr13 Mar26 Mar19 Mar09 Jun10 (hughes ear)MOLINA F 124 4.00 15% 5.60    
LORI ATTACK Apr18 Mar30 Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
PECOS AUTUMN Sep17 Aug30 Aug13 Aug02 May10 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
MINI DRESS Dec10 Nov27 Oct30 Oct16 Sep25 (watkins m)ORM CORY 124 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.