Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(6)-(2/4/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
WRD-2   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6)-(2/4/3)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(4/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(4/2/6)-(6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(6/3)-(6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-5   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(6/3)-(5/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-6   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(5/2/3/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(5/2/3/4)-(1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-7   WIN (5/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/4)-(1/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/4)-(1/7)-(7/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-8   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/5/3)-(1/7/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/7)-(7/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
WRD-9   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/4)-(7/5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE CAROLINA J Mar14 Dec07 Oct28 Sep28 Sep08 (lee mark)JORDAN R 124 12.00    
2  BRIGGSEY Mar20 Mar04 Dec07 Nov08 Oct20 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 118 3.00 ★    
SCR  DENS DEVILLE Mar14 Nov14 Oct20 Oct08 Sep17 (young e)MORA GERARDO 118 12.00    
4  HOT TICKET Mar07 Feb19 Jan14 Nov30 Nov08 (caster boyd)KIMES C 124 1.00 61% 0.60    
5  DOMINANT OKIE Mar14 Mar04 Jan20 Dec16 Dec07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 2.00 ★    
 
WRD-2   04/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINBOW CREST Mar27 Nov07 Oct15     (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 1.80    
2  CLEARLY A JET Mar07 Feb18 Jan13 Dec15 Nov25 (dixon tim)LINDSAY CHAD 118 4.00 ★    
3  CAT NAMED HERCULES Mar28 Mar14 Dec07 Nov05 Oct12 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00    
4  MR GYPSY Mar14         (gladd andy)KIMES C 124 3.50 ★    
5  LOCK UP YOUR PETS Sep22 Aug27       (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
6  SHINE JACK'S DREAM         (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
WRD-3   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINCO STEVE Mar14 Dec17 Nov25 Nov03 Oct06 (offolter s)KIMES C 124 8.00    
2  MIRANDEN Mar21 Mar07 Feb05 Jan21 Dec17 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 58% 0.70    
3  DANCING DEVIL Mar21 Mar14 Dec17 Dec07 Nov25 (hale vi)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 2.50 8% 12.10    
4  CONNORS OUTLAW Mar14 Feb05 Nov30 Oct21 Sep17 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 118 4.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  DIXIELAND QUALITY Dec17 Nov22 Nov03 Oct07 Sep09 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 124 10.00    
6  HUNTER QUICK Mar20 Mar14 Jan14 Dec17 Nov11 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 3.50    
 
WRD-4   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CANEY Mar20 Mar07 Nov30 Nov04 Oct07 (oberlander j)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 10.00    
2  CALI Feb20 Feb11 Jan14 Dec01 Nov22 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
3  COZZOLANI Mar20 Mar07 Jan26 Dec30 Nov30 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 6.00 ★    
4  MUSTANGMAGNA Mar20 Dec07       (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Mar28 Mar07 Feb23 Jan19 Jan04 (dixon tim)LINDSAY CHAD 118 3.50    
6  GODDESS OF WONDER Mar13 Sep02 Jul18 Jul11 Jun28 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SCRAPPY PATCH Mar20 Mar07 Dec09 Nov05 Oct13 (hale vi)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 6.00    
 
WRD-5   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERBLEA Mar06 Dec13 Nov21 Nov08 Oct24 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00 ★    
2  CANADA CANDY Oct21 Sep23 Sep10 Jun16 Apr19 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00    
3  MARIA ELENA Y. G Mar27 Sep02 Jun20 Jun13 May11 (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00 9% 10.70    
4  TIFFANY TWIST Mar20 Mar06 Jan20 Dec14 Dec01 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 1.80    
SCR  SWEET TEA RED Mar06 Dec17 Dec10 Dec03 Nov14 (martin steve)KIMES C 124 10.00    
6  PATSY R Nov18 Oct05 Sep16 May11 Apr13 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 124 1.40 52% 0.90    
 
WRD-6   04/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACER THE RACER Mar07 Feb23 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 10.00 ★    
2  ACCEL JOE Feb25 Feb03 Jan01 Dec16 Nov22 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 15.00    
3  C C'S LEGACY Mar21 Mar13       (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 1.40 34% 1.90    
4  RED ACE Mar07         (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00    
SCR  CRAFTY SWORD Mar14 Mar07 Oct12     (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 12.00    
6  MASTER RED Mar14 Mar07 Feb17 Jan16 Sep30 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 124 0.80 41% 1.50    
 
WRD-7   04/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAVORITE SISTER Jul11 May17 Apr26 Apr12 Mar29 (coffey ches)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00    
2  KIMBELL'S STRATEGY Mar20 Mar06 Dec07 Nov15 Oct13 (hale vic)MORA GERARDO 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
3  STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO Mar10 Feb25 Dec15 Dec07 Nov18 (mitzner ronald)SANCHEZ OBED 118 10.00 6% 14.60    
4  SHE'S A PLAYER Mar20 Jun13 May11 Apr19 Apr05 (coffey chest)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 15.00 6% 14.70    
5  C C THE BARTENDER Mar21 Mar13 Feb18 Jan22 Jan07 (gladd andy)BIRZER E 118 1.80 42% 1.40    
6  WIREWIREWIRE Mar21 Oct05 Sep14 Jul18 Jun14 (david ron)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
7  STRONG WOMAN Mar21 Dec07 Nov12 Nov04 Oct21 (davidson brent)KIMES C 118 3.00    
 
WRD-8   04/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AQUIMINE Mar21 Feb17 Jan10 Dec14 Nov18 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
2  HAPPY ROMANCE (IRE) Mar21 Feb19 Feb05 Jan08 Dec03 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR null      
3  SWEET BAKER Mar07 Nov15 Oct28 Sep29 Aug20 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 124 4.50 ★    
4  BIG SKIPPER Mar21 Dec08 Nov18 Oct22 Oct05 (luneack ther)JORDAN R 124 6.00    
5  INCA EMPIRE Mar21 Jan08 Dec17 Dec02 Oct28 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00 ★    
6  KWONTRO Mar14 Dec15 Nov04 May11 Apr19 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
7  RACE DAY REBAL Mar21 Dec03 Nov19 Nov05 Sep16 (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 5.00 8% 11.10    
 
WRD-9   04/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKIE HOPE         (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
  (by LIAISON out of OKIE NOVA by CAVVY)
2  OKIE CODE         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 6.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of PIPPA OKIE by CAVVY)
3  O S U BUDKE Mar20         (mitchell ralph)BIRZER E 122 3.00 11% 8.40    
  (by KICK ON out of DANE TO DREAM by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  GOSPEL SISTER Mar14 Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 Sep30 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 122 4.50 ★    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of SISTER STEFF by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  RUN DOTTIE RUN Mar14 Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 Oct19 (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of POUPON POLKA by YOUR EMINENCE)
6  EURA NORTHERN SKY Mar14 Dec15       (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 8.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of EURAROOKIE by EUROEARS)
7  DODGEBALL Mar14 Nov19       (luneack ther)JORDAN R 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TETHERBALL by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.