Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - March 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (8/10/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/5)-(8/10/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/6/5)-(8/10/6/5)-(8/10/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/10/6/5)-(6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(5/2/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-3   WIN (5/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/3)-(5/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-4   WIN (5/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/4)-(5/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-5   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/4)-(8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-6   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/5)-(8/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/5)-(8/4/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-7   WIN (8/4/11/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/11/9)-(8/4/11/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/11/9)-(8/4/11/9/5)-(8/4/11/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/11/9)-(7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-8   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/4)-(6/11) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-9   WIN (6/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/11)-(6/11/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/11)-(6/11/3)-(6/11/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   03/30/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KINDNESS IS FREE Mar16 Feb24 Feb02 Jan06 Dec28 (silvestri ri)MORELOS E 121 15.00    
SCR  BLUE TWIRLIN Jun02 Apr30 Feb04 Jan12   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MERRY GOLD Feb24 Jan27 Dec18     (rodriquez rode)REYES LEONEL 121 20.00    
BLUEBERRY QUEEN Mar16 Jan13       (servis c)JARAMILLO E 125 30.00    
GREY PRINCESS Mar10 Feb24 Feb02 Jan06 Dec15 (gaffne)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
KISS UPON A STAR Mar02 Jan04       (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 7% 14.10    
MORGAN'S BLUFF Feb10 Jan05 Aug17 Jul22 Jun02 (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00    
CAPPY Mar03 Feb18 Feb01 Oct09 Aug21 (meah m)MORALES ANGEL 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  RIA FORMOSA Mar03 Feb05 Jan21 Dec23 Dec02 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 125 15.00    
10  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Mar03 Feb05 Jan07 Dec11 Oct14 (gonzalez claudi)PEREZ EDGAR 125 3.50 21% 3.70    
11  TOTAL BLISS Mar01         (kelly blake)SUTHERLAND C 125 30.00    
 
GP-2   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INHALATION (GB) Mar02 Feb02 Dec22 Oct28 Aug02 (jimenez l)REYES LEONEL 122 12.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  DOCTOR RON Mar05 Feb11 Jan14 Dec24 Dec02 (bayeh edgar)PEREZ EDGAR 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
EXECUTIVE SEARCH Mar02 Nov26 Nov06 Oct16 Sep23 (drexler marti)ORTIZ JR 122 1.60    
SCR  CELEBRATORY Mar11 Nov25 Oct16 Sep23 Jul10 (davis scoo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
LUCAGO Mar02 Dec11 Nov11 Sep18 Aug27 (loza jr)RIOS M 122 8.00    
FROSTED FAITH Mar10 Feb09 Jan15 Jan08 Dec08 (margotta antho)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
GP-3   03/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKEMETOTHEMOON Mar11 Jan06 Nov16 Oct04 Sep05 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
DOC BALLARD Feb22 Feb02 Dec18 Oct23 Sep11 (budhoo steve)PEREZ EDGAR 118 6.00 17% 4.90    
BARRELL CRAFT         (hiles jef)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 7% 13.30    
PIDIN Mar09 Dec01 Nov17 Oct30 Oct09 (sweezey kent)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 10% 9.00    
GLENHOLME Mar02 Feb19 Jan27 Nov25 Oct27 (mcdonald mic)ZAYAS J 118 5.00 30% 2.30    
ROYAL FOX HILLS Mar11 Dec24 Dec03 Oct27   (jehaludi moh)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
SCR  POP SOCKS Mar12 Nov20 Oct27 Sep22   (martin w)PANICI LUCA 118 30.00    
SCR  BLUE SOLDIER Mar10 Feb19 Feb02 Nov23 Oct17 (gonzalez javi)MORALES ANGEL 111 4.00 11% 8.30    
DONTKISSDAMINISTER Feb19 Feb02 Jan14 Dec26 Nov27 (hurtak daniel)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
 
GP-4   03/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIVERSAL PAYDAY Mar08 Feb25 Feb15 Jan05 Oct16 (abreu fern)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
REDDINGTON Oct01 Sep02 Jul30 Jul09 May27 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
AGARRAMESIPUEDES Mar10 Feb25 Jan20 Dec18 Nov18 (gonzalez clau)MORALES ANGEL 113 8.00    
BIG DADDY DAVE Mar18 Jan21 Dec23 Nov26 Sep04 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 12.00 7% 14.00    
FLOKI'S FLIGHT Jan07 Nov27 Nov09 Sep25 Aug20 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.40 34% 1.90    
SCR  BRACCIO DI FERRO Feb26 Feb02 Jan21 Dec18 Dec08 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00    
SONG RUNNER Feb25 Jan07 Dec14 Nov18 Oct08 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 120 5.00 7% 12.60    
 
GP-5   03/30/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELTA DELTA Jul02         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of DELTA SENSATION by THUNDER GULCH)
MO VANISHING Mar05         (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of VANISHING by TAMMANY)
ACAMAR Aug01 Jul11 Jun18 May01 Mar26 (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 125 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CORSAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
LUNA WARRIOR Feb19 Dec02 Oct23     (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 125 8.00 9% 10.30    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ANA LUNA by DREAM WELL)
DARK VECTOR Feb25 Jan28       (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JUST LOUISE by FIVE STAR DAY)
GUARANTEED SPECK Feb17 Feb08 Jan20 Dec21 Dec09 (russo j)PANICI LUCA 125 3.50 12% 7.10    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of QUEST by MR. SIDNEY)
BROKEN SPUR Jul03 May22 Apr03     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of STAGEPLAY by CURLIN)
EL ORO (FR) Dec24 Nov27       (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNNATURAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
GP-6   03/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EARTH Mar11 Jan27 Jan08 Dec21 Nov26 (russo vi)FIGUEROA HERIBERTO 120 8.00 11% 8.50    
ANOTHER DUKE Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 Jan04 Dec01 (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
AEQUOR Mar23 Feb24 Nov18 Sep03 Aug19 (russo frank )MORELOS E 120 4.00    
VALID EXCHANGE Feb08 Dec26 Nov18 Oct30 Sep24 (mcgoey mon)PIMENTEL JR 120 20.00    
POUND GREEN Feb23 Jan15 Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 (depaulo m)WILSON JAYNE 120 6.00 8% 10.80    
OLD TOWN ROAD Mar11 Feb23 Feb08 Jan20 Jan05 (morzan javier)MORALES ANGEL 115 5.00    
THENORTHREMEMBERS Mar01 Feb11 Jan21 Dec29 Dec10 (labo frederick )PANICI LUCA 120 15.00 21% 3.80    
MAN ON THE MOON Feb24 Jan25 Dec10 Nov25 Oct16 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40 35% 1.90    
 
GP-7   03/30/2023 7920ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($86K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONESTO Mar09 Feb15 Nov05 Oct21 Sep23 (ramire)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
SCR  HITTING BOMBS Feb08 Jan04 Nov09     (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 120 6.00    
SCR  DOMINATE THEMOMENT Feb15 Dec22 Oct27 Aug19 Jul23 (lee f)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
MODERN SCIENCE (IRE) Feb03 Dec03 Aug25 Jul13 Jun20 (wilkes r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
TRENDING Mar05 Jun30 Jun03 Apr10 Mar13 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 20.00    
STAT Mar08 Jan29 Dec24 Nov05 Oct08 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 6.00    
SURROGATE Feb03 Jan01 Dec21 Nov26 Oct22 (biancone pa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 30.00    
PATOU ROAD Mar05 Jan04 Nov27     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
MEYER Mar05 Jan29 Oct28 Oct02 Sep11 (drexler ma)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  SHADIZAAR Feb03 Jan01 Sep11 Aug20 Aug04 (gulyas peter)USKE S 120 20.00    
11  ONENIGHTSTANDARDS Jan28 Dec14 Nov12 Oct09 Sep08 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 9% 10.70    
 
GP-8   03/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIRL BYE Mar01 Jan11 Nov20 Sep03 Aug06 (garoffalo jo)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
FREE TO ROAM Feb15 Jan18 Jul01 Jun02 May05 (nicks ralp)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  KITTY QUICK Dec16 Nov11 Oct21 Sep02   (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
CLAY SOLDIER Feb23 Jan26 Jan04 Dec18 Nov20 (collazo henry)REYES LEONEL 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
MISS VYVYANNE Feb23 Nov05 Sep24     (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 120 6.00    
FIND YOUR PASSION Mar11 Jan11 Dec18 Sep30 Sep02 (dibona s)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
OH DARLIN Feb23 Jan26 Dec02 Nov19 Oct28 (plesa edward)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
GP-9   03/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($35K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAP AND CHU Feb11 Jan22       (schuh tim)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00    
MY FIRST DATE         (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 118 12.00    
STUCK IN MALIBU Mar10 Feb23 Jan15 Nov19 Nov04 (biancone pa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
MOONTAP         (danner kelsey)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
CHARLESTON WAY Mar11         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 12.00    
OUR FLAG FLYING Mar10 Feb12 Jan15 Oct01   (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  LIGHT AND PATH Mar02 Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 Oct23 (sano antonio)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
BEACH READY Nov26 Oct29 Sep23     (sierra ruben)SUTHERLAND C 118 15.00    
SCR  LOVE MAMI LOVE Mar02 Feb02 Jan06 Dec01   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
10  QUEEN ROCKET Feb16 Jan22 Dec04     (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 118 15.00    
11  INSCRUTABLE Dec08 Oct27 Sep28 Aug27   (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 118 10.00 6% 15.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.