Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2/1)-(3/4/5/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(1)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/6/5/3/2)-(1/6/5/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (1)-(2)-(6/3/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/3/1/5/4)-(2/3/1/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2)-(6/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2)-(6/3/7/2)-(1/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-4   WIN (6/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/2)-(6/3/7/2/1)-(6/3/7/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/7/2)-(1/3/4/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/2)-(1/3/4/6)-(3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-5   WIN (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/5)-(1/3/4/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/4/6)-(3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/6)-(3)-(1/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
WRD-6   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/4/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/4/2/5/1)-(3/4/2/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3)-(1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
WRD-7   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6/4)-(1/3/5/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6)-(1/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/6)-(1/3)-(6/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-8   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5/2/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5/2/4)-(1/3/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(6/8/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/8/2)-(5/3/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-9   WIN (6/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/8/2)-(6/8/2/3/5)-(6/8/2/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/8/2)-(5/3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
WRD-10   WIN (5/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4/7)-(5/3/6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO BLING Dec01 Nov11 Oct27 Oct08 Sep25 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 ★    
2  MAGIC CARPET Mar03 Sep17 Sep04 Aug06 Jun26 (martin steve)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 ★    
3  ROBERT WHO Dec02 Nov22 Nov11 Oct14 Oct01 (hartman alex)KIMES C 124 1.00 37% 1.70    
4  SERENDIP RULER Dec14 Nov11 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 (hale vic)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  VISION OF ELIAS Dec09 Oct14 Sep05 Jul31 Jul23 (stephens jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 10.00 18% 4.40    
 
WRD-2   03/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILLIE BABY         (ashford ray)BIRZER E 118 2.00 74% 0.40    
2  EASTER VISION Dec16 Dec02 May11     (rarick wa)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 2.50 ★    
3  BOTTLES AN BIBLES Mar06 Feb22       (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 4.00 ★    
4  GOSPEL GLORY Sep25 Aug27       (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00    
5  JANE'S COURSE Dec08         (revels gear)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 15.00 ★    
6  DEVINE CANDY Mar04 Feb18 Jul11 Jun28 Apr20 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 ★    
 
WRD-3   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUNCH EM Nov21 Nov02 Oct07 Sep16 Apr13 (luneack t)TRIANA JR 121 5.00 ★    
2  RARE STRIPE Feb04 Jan14 Dec14 Nov03 Oct19 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
3  MONET'S DEVIL Feb10 Jan22 Jan14 Dec17 Dec10 (martin steve)KIMES C 121 4.00 ★    
4  TRUE SAINT Feb02 Aug08 Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 (johnston lan)JORDAN R 121 15.00 ★    
5  ACE GILFORD Feb05 Jan16 Dec17 Nov25 Nov04 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 ★    
6  GUNNER PAUL Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 Dec02 Nov08 (caldwell r)COLLIER T 121 3.50    
 
WRD-4   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC SHINE Jan22 Dec11 Nov25 Apr09 Feb18 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 10.00 ★    
2  KONA SHOT Dec08 Nov19 Oct08     (luneack theres)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 7% 13.60    
3  LOST GOLD Feb19 Jan13 Mar26 Mar03 Jan27 (gelner ja)TRIANA JR 124 4.00 14% 6.00    
4  J R ORCHESTRATE Nov14 Oct26 Sep24     (gladd andy)KIMES C 118 20.00    
5  ARCH OF SWORDS Feb11 Jan18 Nov05 Oct20 Sep24 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 12.00    
6  GOLDBRIDGE Dec16 Nov30 Nov03 Oct14 Sep28 (gladd andy)JORDAN R 124 1.00 45% 1.20    
7  TEQUILA REVOLUTION Feb19 Jan06 Dec11 Nov22 Jul14 (mason ingrid)WALES T 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
 
WRD-5   03/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVEREND AJ Feb18 Oct28 Sep28 Sep07 Jul11 (black mar)TRIANA JR 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
2  REACH THE CIRCLE Feb11 Dec15 Dec03 Sep28 Sep01 (gomez jua)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 15.00    
3  JUST CHILLIN Mar28         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  TIME MACHINE Feb24 Nov14 Oct13 Sep28 Sep16 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 121 1.60 17% 5.00    
5  YOU SEXY BOY Dec17 Oct28 Oct05 Sep23 Jul19 (moreno carlos)CABRERA DAVID 118 12.00 ★    
6  DOCTOR TINK Feb05 Jan07 Dec06 Nov01 Sep30 (williams s)ERAMIA E 121 8.00 7% 12.50    
 
WRD-6   03/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUJEE BRITT         (davidson b)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 2.50 ★    
2  GODDESS OF WONDER Sep02 Jul18 Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 6.00 ★    
3  PEARL'S CODE Feb25 Jan07       (ashford ray)BIRZER E 118 2.00 59% 0.70    
4  SAYAAD AIN'T SO Jun18 May17 May03 Apr13 Mar30 (swan patrick )CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 ★    
5  MISS COFFEYVILLE Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 Jun07 May24 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.50 ★    
 
WRD-7   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C C THE BARTENDER Feb18 Jan22 Jan07 Nov30 Nov18 (dixon tim)KIMES C 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  MUSICAL MILLIE Dec15 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Sep14 (gomez j)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.00    
3  BIG TINY Dec15 Nov18 Nov03 Oct08 Sep22 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  EXCETERA Dec14 Nov03 Oct05 Sep14 May02 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 124 3.00 ★    
5  SAILSINTHESUNSET Feb12 Sep04 Aug20 Jul03 Jun05 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 121 4.00 16% 5.30    
6  ACERTIVE MISS Dec14 Nov30 Oct19 Oct08 Sep25 (corderman s)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-8   03/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASEYS MEMORY Feb15 Jan11 Dec21 Sep24 Sep04 (johnston d)BIRZER E 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  ROYALLY Feb10 Dec16 Nov21 Nov02 Oct15 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 116 8.00 ★    
3  CALIBRATE Jan29 Jan07 Nov20 Oct28 Aug25 (rosin coty )WETHEY JR 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
4  UNITED PATRIOT Dec16 Nov25 Oct21 Sep22 Jun15 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 118 5.00 ★    
5  ROWDY RASCAL Dec17 Nov11 Sep23 Sep09 Jul23 (caster boyd)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 ★    
 
WRD-9   03/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY LOLITA Dec17 Dec03 Oct19 Jan07   (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00    
2  FIGHTINGTEMPTATION Dec17 Nov21 Nov08 Oct21 Sep28 (williams alan)BIRZER E 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
3  NOODLE SALAD Dec02 Apr12 Feb17 Jan29   (biehler michae)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00 ★    
4  LENA'S SHADOW Dec10 Dec02 Nov08 Jun28 Jun07 (pogue bob)TRIANA JR 124 12.00    
5  SIGICRICKET Dec03 Nov03 Oct05 Sep17 Aug19 (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 ★    
6  SERENDIPITY COCO Feb04 Dec09 Nov03 Sep21   (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  OH NIKI Dec17 Dec10 Nov12 Oct06 Sep23 (swan patrick )CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00    
8  SINNIN N GRINNIN Feb24 Feb04 Jan16 Dec17 Dec03 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
WRD-10   03/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER SIZER Feb26 Feb12 Dec07 Oct15 Sep24 (black mar)TRIANA JR 122 10.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of DECANT (GB) by ROUSILLON)
2  INDIAN SKY Dec07 Oct06       (caster boyd)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of SKY RIVER by HENNY HUGHES)
3  C C'S LEGACY         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of C C'S SONG by MY GOLDEN SONG)
4  GIT AROUND BROWN         (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of SEEK N EXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
5  CAPTAIN DOZER Dec07 Nov12 Oct01 Sep07 Jul30 (escamilla-gonz)LANDEROS C 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of ONE SUPER SLEW by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
6  BABY LIAISON Dec16 Nov19 Oct20 Sep30 Sep21 (gladd andy)KIMES C 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
  (by LIAISON out of BABY K by KENNEDY)
7  WESTCOAST BREEZE Feb26         (buehrer w)BIRZER E 122 8.00 ★    
  (by WEST COAST out of MALIBU BREEZE by MALIBU MOON)
8  SAZON Dec14 Nov22       (young e)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MY DAUGHTER'S SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.