Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Tuesday - January 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(3/1)-(8/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SUN-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(8/3)-(3/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SUN-4   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/3/2/7)-(8/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(3/4/7)-(10/5/7/3/2) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SUN-5   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SUN-6   WIN (10/5/7/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/7/3/2)-(10/5/7/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/7/3/2)-(10/5/7/3/2)-(10/5/7/3/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-7   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/10/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8)-(5/8/10/6)-(5/8/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8)-(3/7)-(4/7/10/8/5) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
SUN-8   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/9/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/9/1/5)-(3/7/9/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/7)-(4/7/10/8/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
SUN-9   WIN (4/7/10/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/10/8/5)-(4/7/10/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/10/8/5)-(4/7/10/8/5)-(4/7/10/8/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   01/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36.8K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAVE'S ENCHANTMENT         (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 10.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CRAFTY JOI by MR. GROUSH)
2  LAUGHTEN Dec12 Nov15 Oct04 Sep03 Jul29 (riddle e)TOHILL S 121 10.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of ALMOST A TEN by CEE'S TIZZY)
SCR  DIABOLICAL FIRE Jul30 Jun24       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 1.80 60% 0.70    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of DIABOLICAL DAME by DIABOLICAL)
4  FLAGS FINALE Jan17 Dec12 Nov15     (aldavaz)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 2.50 7% 13.60    
  (by G G FLAG out of CRAFTY FINALE by CRAFTY C. T.)
5  MY SPECIAL MISTAKE Jan17         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.50 9% 9.60    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of DESERT LADY by BIG SKY CHESTER)
6  CON MAN MONEY         (summers)FUENTES T 121 4.00 ★    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of ALICE'S THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
7  SHAME ON ZCUINTLE Jan01 Dec12       (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 15.00 ★    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of LADY LUNA by CHAMP PEGASUS)
 
SUN-2   01/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT AN IDEA Dec14         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
2  DIABOLICAL PACKAGE Dec01 Nov07 Oct23 Sep17 Sep02 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 4.50    
SCR  DISTORTED GUY Dec19 Nov13 Oct23 Sep28 Sep04 (chavez )FUENTES T 121 8.00 ★    
4  FORWARD OBSERVER Dec13 Nov21 Oct24     (gonzalez sal)MEDELLIN A 121 5.00    
5  SAY THERE KING         (meridyth )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 15.00 5% 17.80    
6  SHAMAN CHIEF Apr11         (hudson jeff)CENTENO ALEXIS 123 4.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  WINNING IDEA         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
SUN-3   01/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUERTUDA Jan10 Dec06 Oct04 Aug05 May07 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 10.00 10% 9.10    
2  WHO'STHATGIRL Nov14 Oct23 Oct10     (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.50 ★    
3  FLOWER POWER Dec13 Dec06 Nov20 Nov01 Sep23 (green greg)TOHILL S 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
4  PASSION RIDE         (young a)TORRES J 123 15.00    
5  STORMY DAME Dec01 Nov07 Oct23 Oct10 Aug14 (zamo)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  ARTFUL ROSE Jan24 Jan01 Dec20 Dec13 May27 (green greg)PEREZ A 123 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  PARADISE N REACH Dec05 Jun19 Apr02 Mar13   (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 2.00    
 
SUN-4   01/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANYON DEL ORO Jan03 Nov06 Oct10 Sep18 Aug10 (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
2  SHINING SOURCE Aug07 May07 Mar27 Feb27   (rust terri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 6.00 ★    
3  I THINK I'M HERE Dec19 Nov22 Oct30 Sep30 Sep04 (silva lillian)JUAREZ J 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  ELLIOT Dec12 Oct30 Aug05 Jul17 Jan29 (gonzalez )ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 15.00    
SCR  EFFORT N RESULTS Dec12 Nov22 Apr23 Mar27 Feb27 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 10.00 6% 16.00    
6  COMET CAUSEY Dec12 Oct30 Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 (marr h)TOHILL S 123 3.00    
7  MASTERCLASS Dec12 Nov14 Oct30 Sep18 Aug13 (armstrong sh)FUENTES A 123 4.50 ★    
8  MCMERCELUS Dec13 Dec05 Nov13 Sep24 Sep15 (summers)FUENTES T 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
SUN-5   01/31/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINDOFMYOWN Jan22 Jan01 Dec05 Nov30 Oct10 (van rober)CARRENO J 123 10.00 ★    
2  GRAN MANNA Jan24 Jan08 Nov22 Oct11 Sep28 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 12.00    
3  CITYONTHENILE Dec06 Sep18 Aug31 Aug17 Jun10 (gonzalez )AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 1.40 49% 1.10    
4  GIRONA Jan08 Dec20 Oct31 Oct23 Sep28 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  LEAVE IT Jan08 Dec05 Oct17 Sep16 Sep08 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 121 12.00    
SCR  BLUE BLAZES WHO Dec20 Feb21 Jan01     (summers)FUENTES T 123 4.50 8% 11.60    
7  OUR SOUTHERN GIRL Jan08 Dec20 Oct10 Sep30 Sep04 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 123 5.00 6% 17.00    
8  SHELLY D'ORO Oct05 Sep24 Aug21 Aug12 Jun11 (amparan alb)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
9  SHE HIT A HOMER Jan22 Jan10 Dec01 Nov07 Oct19 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
 
SUN-6   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOB'SALLWICKED Jan08 Nov30 Nov07 Sep15 Aug03 (hone bart)JUAREZ J 123 8.00    
2  TSUNAMI GOLD Dec06 Oct23 Oct11 Sep04   (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 8.00 5% 17.60    
3  WHO'S ON THE RUN Jan15 Dec19 Dec12 Dec01 Nov06 (green greg)PEREZ A 121 10.00 9% 10.40    
4  CHIPPSTER Jan03 Nov30 Oct17 Oct09 Aug31 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 12.00    
5  LOPIN JOE Dec20 Dec06 Aug31 Aug12 Jul30 (alamos )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  ABSTRACT KAT Jan03 Nov30 Nov08 Sep15 Jul22 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 5.00    
7  COMING ABSTRACTION Jan08 Dec13 Sep30 Apr29 Mar13 (martinez e)TORRES J 123 8.00 13% 6.60    
8  SMOKEN HOUDINI Jan03 Dec05 Nov30 Nov01 Sep30 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 123 6.00    
9  MR CHARLIE KING Dec20 Dec05 Jan14     (marquez jose)SALAZAR TERESA 118 20.00    
10  SIXTH GEAR Nov06 Oct17 Sep15 Aug17 Aug03 (douglas nata)CENTENO ALEXIS 123 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  JEWEL OF NAVARONE Jan08 Dec13 Dec05 Sep17 Aug31 (cardena)FUENTES T 123 15.00    
12  QUANTUM BULL Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 May01 Mar27 (morales danny)LINDSAY CHAD 123 12.00    
 
SUN-7   01/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.2K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOWMEN Sep07 Aug06       (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00    
2  BYE Dec19 Sep23 Sep07 Jul17 Jul08 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
SCR  HI YAH Dec21 Dec08       (williams ma)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 5.00 ★    
4  SUPER BESLIU Nov21 Nov08 Oct25 Sep23 Sep18 (eliott)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
5  DECORATION DAY Dec19 Nov21 Nov08     (hone)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 6.00 50% 1.00    
6  RESPECT THE UNION Jan05 Sep18 Sep01     (ferguson cur)FUENTES A 121 6.00 ★    
7  OHHH DADDY Nov22 Sep18 Jul24 Jul10   (rust terri)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 12.00    
8  HA HA FOR YOU Dec19 Nov22 Sep19     (roberson don)TOHILL S 121 4.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  PASS IT AROUND Dec14         (green greg)PEREZ A 121 6.00    
10  MALMO Nov22 Oct25 Oct11     (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 3.50 ★    
 
SUN-8   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($41K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG EVENT Jan10 Oct31 Oct10 Sep16 Aug24 (morales d)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 4.50 ★    
2  NORTHVALE ROAD Jan10 Nov22 Oct09 Sep02 Aug14 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 8.00    
3  SWEET RIVER BAINES Jan01 Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 Sep04 (capp)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00 41% 1.50    
4  BURNZ DA BOSS Jan10 Sep23 Sep04 Aug13 Jul31 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00    
5  NUMEROLOGIST Jan10 Nov07 Sep23 Sep04 Jun25 (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 15.00 ★    
6  SUPER HUNK Jan17 Dec19 Dec14 Nov21 Sep28 (eliott roger)CHAVEZ R 121 20.00    
7  BAYTOWN MACCA Nov22 Oct23 Aug05 May15 Apr03 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 123 3.50 34% 2.00    
8  WEDDING GROOM Jan07 Dec01 Oct17 Oct01 Aug25 (fincher)FUENTES T 123 6.00    
9  KEEN CAT Jan10 Nov22 Aug28 Jul30 Jun24 (olguin ever)TOHILL S 121 5.00 ★    
 
SUN-9   01/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMOTION N DEVOTION Jan03 Dec20 Feb18 Jan18   (marr h)TOHILL S 121 5.00    
  (by PROCEED out of I LIKE TRICKS by TRICKY FUN)
SCR  BELLA MORENA         (vega v)MEDELLIN A 121 10.00    
  (by FOREST MOUSE out of THERE IS MAGIC by RAPPER S S)
3  BULLDACIOUS KROME May20         (mora)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 12.00    
  (by KING BULL out of QUITE A RUSH by WILD RUSH)
4  LIL MISS CASSIE Jan03 Dec20       (villalobos m)CENTENO ALEXIS 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by MARKING out of LIL MISS MACKY by GREY MEMO)
5  VALLEY VERDE Dec15 Dec01 Nov12 Oct20   (smith paul )RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of CAPO VALLEY by BENCHMARK)
6  BLAME THE TEQUILA Jan03 Nov01 Jul23     (riddle jacki)VILLANUEVA C 121 20.00    
  (by RIGHT RIGGER out of BLAME THE WINE by DECARCHY)
7  PRECIOUS PRIDE Jan03 Dec20 Jun04     (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of PRECIOUS BAY QUEEN by BAY HEAD KING)
8  CHARITY WATER Dec14 May20 May01 Apr02 Mar20 (summers)FUENTES T 121 8.00 8% 11.20    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of WARNING TRACK by GRAND SLAM)
9  ICY REBEL Dec13 Oct05       (pierce thoma)SALAZAR TERESA 116 20.00    
  (by REBEL ALLIANCE out of ICY HOLLYWOOD by GONE HOLLYWOOD)
10  TURN ON ARCH Dec20         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
  (by TOEWS ON ICE out of U TURN ME CRAZY by ATTICUS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.