Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/1/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/1/4/5)-(3/2/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/6/5)-(2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/4/3)-(1/6/5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(2/5/1)-(1/7/6/8/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SA-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/4/1/3)-(2/5/4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1/7/6/8/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1/7/6/8/3)-(2/5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-4   WIN (1/7/6/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/8/3)-(1/7/6/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/8/3)-(1/7/6/8/3)-(1/7/6/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/6/8/3)-(2/5/1/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/8/3)-(2/5/1/6)-(3/1/6/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6/7)-(2/5/1/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/1/6)-(3/1/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/6)-(3/1/6/5)-(4/6/1/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5/2)-(3/1/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/6/5)-(4/6/1/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/5)-(4/6/1/7)-(6/1/9/2/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/7)-(4/6/1/7/3)-(4/6/1/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/1/7)-(6/1/9/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/7)-(6/1/9/2/8)-(6/4/3/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
SA-8   WIN (6/1/9/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/2/8)-(6/1/9/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/2/8)-(6/1/9/2/8)-(6/1/9/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/9/2/8)-(6/4/3/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
SA-9   WIN (6/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/1)-(6/4/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/1)-(6/4/3/1/5)-(6/4/3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   01/28/2023 4290ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERUSALEMA (IRE) Jan07 Dec30 Nov25 Nov06 Oct28 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 ★    
2  ALBAYAADER (IRE) Dec31 Oct30 Oct10 Aug20 Jul30 (mullins jef)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
3  REAL FIRE Dec31 Nov13 Oct08 Sep09 Jun18 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  K P HARRY KITTY Dec13 Nov08 Oct18     (kitchingman)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 8.00 ★    
5  SOUL OF A WARRIOR Apr09 Mar12       (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 8.00 ★    
6  MACHO QUEEN         (oviedo phil)HERRERA A 124 12.00    
 
SA-2   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIZA Dec10 Nov12       (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
  (by GIRVIN out of SWEET PISTOL by SMART STRIKE)
2  SWEET TROUBLE Jan06 Dec02       (d'amato phil)DESORMEAUX J 120 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHOCOLATE COATED by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  BROADWAY GIRLS Dec30 Nov13 Oct01 Aug21   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 8.00 ★    
  (by ARMY MULE out of FOND HOPE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
4  PRIDE OF THE NILE Dec10 Nov12 Oct02 Sep10   (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 ★    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INNY MINNIE by HARD SPUN)
5  UNCONTROLLABLE Dec10 Oct08 Sep05 Jul22   (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of BEHAVIORAL by INCLUDE)
6  JUSTIQUE Nov19 Oct08 Jul31     (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 120 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GRAZIE MILLE by BERNARDINI)
 
SA-3   01/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISSA COURT Nov27 Oct07 Jan16     (blacker dani)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRUE PATRIOT Dec26 Nov25 Oct28 Aug19 Jun11 (gaines carla)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  IRISH WAHINE Jan13 Dec09 Sep23 Sep16 Aug27 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00 ★    
4  ELEUTHERA Dec26 Jun05 Apr09 Mar07 Jan15 (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 4.00 ★    
5  SHOCKING GREY Jan13 Nov27 Nov04 Oct09   (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 31% 2.20    
6  PRECIOUS BABY Dec26 Nov27       (cassidy james)ESPINOZA V 124 8.00    
7  LADY MARYANN Dec26 Oct16 Aug28 Aug07 Jun17 (gutierrez jorge)FREY KYLE 122 10.00    
8  SUNSHINE BABE Jan07 Nov25 Oct30 Oct07 Aug27 (polanco marcel)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.50    
SCR  BIG SHAMROCK Jan13 Dec26 Dec17 Nov18 Oct07 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-4   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3 F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORNELIA FORT Dec10         (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
2  LUCKY VEGAS Jan02 Aug19       (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00    
3  FREYAS CATZ         (baze t)HERRERA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  WINK WISH AND PARK Nov20 Oct29 Sep09 Aug19 Jul22 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
5  NOBE Dec04         (puype mike)DESORMEAUX J 122 5.00    
6  SWEET HELLO Jan02 Dec04 Nov20 Oct29 Sep22 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
7  STORM D'ORO         (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 4.00 19% 4.40    
8  SUE GENEROUS Sep03 Aug12 Jul02     (howey quinn)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 8% 11.30    
 
SA-5   01/28/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENIM IN GOLD Jan02 Nov13       (kitchingman ada)MALDONADO E 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of R HOLIDAY MOOD by TRIPPI)
2  LUCKY FOR YOU Jan02         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.20 49% 1.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOLTO VITA by CARSON CITY)
3  MYGALSDAWNNLORI Apr09         (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 124 15.00    
  (by BLAME out of LOUISIANA VOODOO by BIG BROWN)
4  SIDE BY SIDE Oct30 Oct08 Aug25 Apr30 Jan23 (hea)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MUSIC MAGIC by BERNSTEIN)
5  CUBAN CRISIS (GB) Jan02 Nov13 Oct08 Feb19 Jan29 (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by HAVANA GOLD (IRE) out of LOTTIE DOD by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
6  SOCIALLY SMART Jan02 Nov13       (koriner bri)HERRERA A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
7  SNIP Aug14 Jul22       (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 124 6.00 ★    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of LADY DYNA by DYNAFORMER)
 
SA-6   01/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL ACT Dec31 Nov04 Jul01     (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 124 2.50 19% 4.10    
2  TISQUANTUM Dec04 Nov11 Sep09 Aug25   (quinonez rol)DESORMEAUX J 122 4.00 ★    
3  FINNEUS Jan07 Dec17 Dec03 Nov26 Oct16 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  BALLADEER Jan02 Nov04 Sep05 Aug13 Jul23 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00    
5  MANITOWISH Jan13 Dec11 Oct07 Sep10 Jul22 (valenz)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 12.00 11% 8.10    
6  STREET RUCKUS Dec03 Nov06 Oct09 Sep11 Aug20 (cerin vladimir)MALDONADO E 122 2.00 17% 4.90    
 
SA-7   01/28/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOTH AT FAULT Jan07         (freeman edwar)CURATOLO RYAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of NICOLE AND BEN by RUSSIAN COURAGE)
2  SWISS GOLD         (dunham daniel)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
  (by PASSION FOR GOLD out of SWISS BREEZE by SWISS YODELER)
3  BUCK OWENS Jan08 Nov27 Nov06     (miyadi stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by GRAZEN out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
4  MOON ICE Jan07 Nov06 Sep09     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 59% 0.70    
  (by HE BE FIRE N ICE out of WILD PHOEBE by OFFLEE WILD)
5  COUNTRY BOY         (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of IDIDNTMEANTOO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  SPIRITUAL ADVISOR Jan07 Dec16       (bon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by TAMARANDO out of ANGEL DIANE by LUCKY PULPIT)
7  TRANSITORY Jan07 Dec09       (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of ASCRIPTION by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
SA-8   01/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPPER Jun11 May07 Feb25     (baffert bob)MALDONADO E 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of IRRIDESCENCE (SAF) by CAESOUR)
2  TRIPOLI Nov22 Nov06 Oct01 Jul30 Jun19 (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 4.00 5% 17.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of LOVE TRAIN by FULL PARTNER)
3  PARNELLI Nov27 Jul30 Jun11 Apr17 Mar19 (shirreffs john)ESPINOZA V 120 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SIP SIP by SIPHON (BRZ))
4  PERFECT FLIGHT Dec26 Nov22 Oct29 Oct09 Sep11 (miller peter)BRAVO J 120 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DATE TO REMEMBER by BERNARDINI)
5  AMERICAN ADMIRAL Oct08 Sep04 Jul31 Jun12 May15 (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 120 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ESCAMPETTE by SMART STRIKE)
6  NEWGRANGE Nov27 Nov06 Sep03 Feb26 Jan29 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BELLA CHIANTI by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  GO ON Dec26 Nov25 Nov04 Oct09   (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of MORE COMPLEXITY by SQUARE EDDIE)
8  BREAKFAST RIDE Dec26 Nov25 Oct08 Aug20 Jul22 (sadler john )CONTRERAS LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of UNACLOUD by UNACCOUNTED FOR)
9  MESSIER Dec26 Nov05 May07 Apr09 Feb06 (baffert bob)DESORMEAUX J 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CHECKERED PAST by PASS CATCHER)
 
SA-9   01/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARAKATSIE Dec26 Nov27 Oct29 Sep04 Jul23 (papaprodromo)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00 6% 17.10    
2  MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER Dec26 Nov18 Oct30 Oct15 Oct01 (cerin vladimir)BRAVO J 122 6.00    
3  CONTROL FUNCTION Nov04 Sep02 Jan16     (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00 8% 10.80    
4  HONEY JAR Dec30 Mar05 Jan23     (mccarthy mi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  ANNAGHLASA (IRE) Oct28 Mar11 Feb12 Jan09   (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
6  KITTY KITANA (GB) Dec30 Nov19 Oct29 Sep10 Aug04 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 39% 1.50    
7  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Nov26 Aug20 Jul10     (drysdale ne)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 20.00    
8  IMPLOSION Nov25 Oct27 Sep18 Aug06   (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 12.00    
10  AGREETODISAGREE Oct28 Sep04 Jul23 Jun19 May14 (eurton pet)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 5.00    
12  POP POP'S DREAM Apr30 Mar11 Feb12 Jan09   (puype mike)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
13  AQUA JULIA Dec18 Dec02 Oct30 Sep04   (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 20.00    
SCR  FORTUNATA TENSIO Oct28 Aug21 Jul24 May29 May01 ( )TBA null      
SCR  WHISTLER'S STYLE Dec18 Nov26 Oct21 Oct10 Aug06 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.