Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   12/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANGO CITY Nov27 Oct30 Jun25 Jun04 May21 (miller patti)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
2  KENKEAD Nov04 Sep20 Sep02 Aug13 Jul15 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 124 20.00    
3  PRETTY IN PRADO Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 Sep30   (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 2.50    
4  MIZZEN MILLIONS Nov27 Sep03       (garrett t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 4.50 ★    
5  BALIMOS Dec02 Nov18 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 (rosin w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 3.50 ★    
6  WHITE CASHEL Dec02 Nov19 Sep09 Aug27 Aug09 (thurman r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00 ★    
7  EVIE JEAN Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 Oct01 Sep19 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 20.00    
8  SURE SHOT ANNIE Dec02 Nov19 Oct30 Oct09 Sep24 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00 ★    
 
HAW-2   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER LOVIN Nov27 Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Aug28 (riecken b)ULLOA JOAN 121 5.00 ★    
2  FLYING BUSINESS Dec03 Nov20 Nov12 Oct28 Oct07 (candelas blanca)LOPEZ A 121 2.50    
3  IRISH HALO Dec03 Nov18 Nov12 Oct30 Oct16 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 30.00 6% 14.90    
4  HOPPESTRY Nov20 Nov01 Oct09 Sep24 Sep08 (jones )BAILON JADHIR 121 10.00 18% 4.70    
5  TIME BREAK Nov27 Nov12 Oct28 Oct09 Aug30 (jansen kenny)TAVARES JAVIER 121 1.20 27% 2.70    
SCR  NOCTURNAL MISSION Nov27 Sep29 Sep16 Aug15 Jun04 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 20.00    
7  SILVERA Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Oct02 Sep24 (candelas blanca)ORM CORY 121 20.00    
8  LA GUERRERITA Nov27 Oct29 Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 15.00 20% 4.00    
 
HAW-3   12/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MADELYNS HEAT Dec04 Nov13 Oct16 Oct01 Aug31 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 20.00    
2  FAMA Y DINERO Dec02 Nov18 May27 May14 May01 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
3  KNIEVEL Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 121 12.00 ★    
4  FRISCO LINE Nov27 Oct28 Oct09 Sep28 Jul31 (vanden britt)FELIX E 122 2.00 13% 6.70    
5  SHANGHAI SILVER Dec02 Nov13 Oct28 Oct09 Sep06 (cook bria)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 2.50 10% 8.90    
6  DEORA STORE Dec02 Nov12 Nov04 Oct07 Aug23 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 3.50 16% 5.10    
7  BETTER THINK TWICE Nov26 Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 Aug24 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00 35% 1.80    
8  PO BOY Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 Jul01 Jun24 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 109 15.00    
 
HAW-4   12/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY KATIE Nov11 Sep28       (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 2.50 18% 4.70    
2  TAVERN Nov26         (perez manny)FELIX E 120 10.00 ★    
3  LORRAINE'S LEGACY Nov26 Oct15       (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 1.00 59% 0.70    
4  J Z'S FINE WINE Nov26 Nov12       (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 120 8.00 ★    
5  LIL CARRIE D Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 Jul01   (slager mike)ORM CORY 120 20.00    
6  VOSTRA Nov26 Oct15       (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 6.00 ★    
7  CANDY LOOKER Nov26 Nov12 Oct14     (fridley stev)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 20.00    
 
HAW-5   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED SUPRISE         (rodrig)BAILON JADHIR 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
2  ELECTRIC CHARGE         (perez manny)FELIX E 122 12.00 19% 4.30    
3  ANUNKA Dec03 Nov19 Nov06 Oct09 Aug30 (breaux da)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
4  UNCLE DICK Dec04 Nov20 Nov06 Jul19 Jul12 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 122 4.50 ★    
5  COAL TOWN ROAD Nov20 Oct23 Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 0.60 32% 2.20    
6  PERFUMER         (perez manny)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 15.00 6% 14.70    
7  SMOOTH ATTACK Nov19 Nov06 Sep24 Sep13 Aug30 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
8  TRYGVE Nov20         (gonzalez li)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 20.00    
 
HAW-6   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APRIL'S GEM Dec03 Nov11 Oct16 Sep24 Aug08 (matthews do)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 4.00 14% 5.90    
2  FANCY EMPRESS Nov25 Sep23 Aug20 Jul13 Jun03 (campbell joel)FELIX E 121 8.00    
SCR  NOFANSINTHESTANDS Nov20 Oct16 Oct02 Aug31 Aug03 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 ★    
4  SHI O'SHI Jun19 Apr22 Mar24 Feb13 Jan15 (rosin w)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
5  KITTEN ROCKS Dec03 Nov13 Oct15 Sep25 Jul08 (cook brian)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 10.00    
6  ARCH FLYER Nov20 Nov12 Sep20 Sep03 Aug09 (quinonez max)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 6.00 28% 2.60    
7  HER GOLD MINE Dec03 Nov20 Oct16 Sep25 Aug30 (meraz ant)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 8.00    
8  ALMAFUERTE Nov27 Nov13 Oct15 Sep13 Aug30 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 2.50 11% 8.30    
 
HAW-7   12/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINBALLER Feb18 Jan15       (poulos de)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
2  KANITHAPPEN Nov27 Nov13 Nov04 Oct14 Jun18 (randazzo fr)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
3  KEEP ATTACKING Nov20 Nov04 Oct14 Sep24 Sep03 (childers vance)ORM CORY 121 15.00 6% 17.00    
4  K C'S FIRST B M W Nov04 Aug11 Jul13 Jun15 May25 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 12.00    
5  HURTS SO BAD Dec04 Nov19 Nov06 Oct22 Oct02 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  THE LAST FACT Nov20         (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 8.00    
7  JOHNNY UP Nov26 Nov04 Sep15 Sep04 Aug11 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
8  C F V RED NOVA Dec09 Nov26       (broberg karl)COLON H 121 3.50 ★    
 
HAW-8   12/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT VERY GENTLE Nov20 Nov12 Sep30 Aug31 Aug02 (haran john)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 5.00    
2  GAGOOTS Dec02 Nov12 Oct15 Sep30 Sep16 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00    
3  HATCHET CREEK Dec03 Nov19 Nov04 Oct09 Sep07 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 4.50 ★    
4  BEHAVIN MYSELF Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep15 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 1.80 28% 2.60    
5  IRISH MAJOR Dec02 Nov12 Oct29 Oct09 Sep30 (perez manny)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 20.00 12% 7.70    
6  DELFT BLUE Nov26 Oct19 Oct07 Sep04 Aug27 (rodrig)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.00 14% 6.40    
7  WILLOW RIDGE Nov04 Sep24 Jun28 Jun21 May15 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 121 20.00    
SCR  MASTER GUNS Dec03 Nov13 Oct21 Sep07 Aug11 (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.