Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Monday - November 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   11/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY BOSS LADY Nov06 Oct26 Oct01 Sep03 Jul30 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Nov11 Oct29 Sep25 Sep17 Aug19 (hohlbei)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 10.00    
PEYTON ELIZABETH Oct13 Sep10 Mar29 Mar05 Feb09 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
PEACE OUT Oct20 Sep11 Aug19 Jul10 Jun15 (meister s)DELGADO A 123 20.00    
NO MORE MASK Nov12 Oct21 Sep25 Sep10 Aug19 (shankle joa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 5.00    
MIT MAZEL Nov06 Sep30 Apr01 Feb25 Feb11 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50 25% 3.10    
BEHIND THE COUCH Nov11 Oct23 Oct02 Sep02 Jul17 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 2.50    
 
LRL-2   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROGANT RIDER         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
SCR  ENERGY EFFICIENT Nov04 Oct13 Sep24 Aug29   (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  GAMING SOUL         (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
CALIFORNIA GHOST Jun03 May23       (sanchez-salomon )ACOSTA D 118 15.00    
ALVY         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
HERE'S LIAM Oct23 Oct07 Aug31     (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
B WEST Nov04 Oct07       (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 1.60 46% 1.20    
INSPIRED IRISH Nov04 Oct14       (meyers madiso)ALVELO C 122 30.00    
 
LRL-3   11/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL SPY Nov12 Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 6.00    
AMICALOLA FALLS Oct14 Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
APPRAISAL Nov12 Oct20 Oct02 Sep18 Aug26 (brooks brian)BATISTA A 123 5.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  BEAU BROWN Oct21 Sep17 Aug29 Aug12 Jun25 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 119 30.00    
SMARTY JOHN Oct20 Oct03 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 4.50 11% 7.90    
CHAUFFEUR Oct21 Sep30 Sep11 Aug20 Aug05 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
AXXERATOR Nov02 Oct19 Sep23 Sep05 Aug20 (maldonado j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 8.00    
SWEET ASTA Oct27 Oct06 Sep09 Aug05 Jul15 (clagett christi)MONTERREY R 123 20.00    
HIGHLAND DREAM Nov04 Sep25 Sep03 Aug28 Aug20 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 121 6.00    
10  SPRING THE BEAST Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 Jul02 May20 (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 117 20.00    
11  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Oct06 Sep18 Aug26 Aug07 Jul22 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 5.00 7% 12.40    
12  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Nov07 Oct15 Sep30 Aug31 Aug15 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00    
 
LRL-4   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE CLEAR MOMENT Nov02 Oct06 Aug27     (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00    
JACKIE'S QUEST Oct22 Sep28 Jul28     (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00    
BLONDE SAMARITAN Oct28 Oct14 Sep23 Sep07   (ramirez j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
WICKED KITTEN Oct27 Sep05       (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00    
THENCOMEMORNING Aug11         (doran carl)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 15.00    
SCR  FEARLESS MAE Oct29 Oct12       (martin cly)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 10.00    
DUNDER BOSS Nov12 Oct23       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 62% 0.60    
WAVERLEY Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 Sep11 Aug27 (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 118 6.00    
BODE'S HERITAGE Sep09         (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
10  GRASS CUTTER Nov12 Oct23 Oct01 Sep03 Jul23 (robb joh)RODRIGUEZ A 111 30.00    
 
LRL-5   11/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURE TRADITION Oct22 Oct01 Mar26 Feb21 Jan16 (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 123 3.00 25% 2.90    
TENAX Nov04 Apr23 Apr16 Jan16   (burdick barb)BATISTA A 123 30.00    
PHARAOH'S TRIUMPH Oct16 Sep25 Aug07 Jun26 May20 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ A 116 15.00    
TAUBER Oct22 Sep24 Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50 36% 1.80    
MAGIC MULE Oct16 Sep24 Aug14 Jul22 Jul01 (hohlbei)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
CRITICAL THREAT Oct16 Sep04 Aug07 Jun26 May30 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 9% 9.90    
MANOLITO Nov05 Sep24 Aug22 Jul11 Jun19 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
ALIFEROUS Oct16 Sep09 Jul28 Jun12 May21 (keil s)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  WICKED MAD Nov05 Oct21 Sep02 Aug20 Aug10 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 12.00    
10  CHOCOLATE SHAKE Nov05 Sep17       (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 20.00    
11  SEA GHOST Jun04 May20 Apr28 Mar11   (cole wayne)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 12.00    
SCR  ONE AMERICA Oct02 Sep25 Sep04 Aug05 Jul15 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 121 20.00    
 
LRL-6   11/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE FOUR Nov04 Oct15 Sep23 Sep04 Aug18 (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
PERFORMANCEANXIETY Nov05 Oct20 Aug03     (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00    
QUEEN OF THE CATS Nov05         (michaels thomas)GILPIN SEAN 124 30.00    
AT THE GATE Nov04 Oct14 Sep16 Aug12 Aug03 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
JUST ONCE MORE Oct23         (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 10.00 13% 6.50    
TOUSSAUD'S RANSOM Sep16 Sep04 Aug13 May26   (clagett )BUTTERFLY L 122 8.00    
TILTED TIARA Nov13 Oct08 Aug26 Aug21 Jul28 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 9% 9.80    
ROBS DREAM Nov02 Oct07 Aug26 Jul20   (deiter kell)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 10.00    
UNBRIDLED IRISH Oct13 Sep14 Aug26 Aug04 Jul14 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00    
10  FIRE AT MIDNIGHT Oct28 Oct06       (hall ai)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 6.00    
11  CHASING ARTEMIS Oct28 Oct02 Sep14 Sep04 Aug26 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
LRL-7   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GOING TO THE LEAD Nov07 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep04 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 114 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  KADRI Nov06 Oct26 Oct04 Sep25 Aug26 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 6.00    
KARAN'S NOTION Oct22 Sep18 Sep04 Aug13 Jul16 (heil nan)BUTTERFLY L 123 3.50    
THREES OVER DEUCES Sep30 Sep10 Aug27 Jul16 Jun17 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  WHISKEY AND YOU Oct22 May08 Apr08 Mar19 Mar04 (peacock roy)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00    
SCR  NUCLEAR OPTION Sep20 Sep02 Jul03 Jun19 May12 (ramirez sil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00 20% 4.10    
WENDELL FONG Oct24 Sep10 Jul20 Jun04 Apr26 (lynch nat)VARGAS A 123 6.00    
AIR TOKEN Oct01 Sep18 Sep03 Mar19 Feb19 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 123 5.00    
 
LRL-8   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RENNIE Oct30 Oct02 Sep17     (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00    
HE ROLLS Nov05 Oct15 Sep17 Aug27 Aug14 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
IMAGINE IT ALL Oct30 Oct15 Sep09 Aug27 Aug07 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
JEBSTER Oct20 Oct08 Oct02     (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.00    
SLOE GIN BIZ Oct30 Oct08 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOSES WATER Oct30         (davis g)MONTERREY R 126 15.00    
GRAND MANNER Oct13 Sep30 Aug21 Aug05 Jun17 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 10% 9.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.