Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Friday - November 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C F V TEXAS RED Oct24 Sep20 Aug29 Aug15 Aug04 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 120 3.00 36% 1.70    
JUST PHIL Oct20 Sep20 Jul19 Jul11 Jun16 (duran anton)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
TOUR THE MOON Oct26 Oct12 Aug29 Aug18 Jul14 (duran a)DE CRUZ 120 2.50    
CONSIDER Oct20 Oct02 Sep20 Aug25 Aug15 (lauer mic)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 15.00    
BOULDER BAY Oct26 Oct12 Sep20 Aug18 Jun22 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 120 3.50    
COG Oct20 Sep28 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 (short ricky )RAMOS D 120 8.00    
NATES HEARTTHROB Oct20 Sep08 Aug29 Jul20 Jul04 (gorham robert )SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
IND-2   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIO LADY Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Aug02 Jul12 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 1.80 70% 0.40    
SHADOW BELLE Jul09 Apr02 Mar10 Feb18   (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 122 4.50    
SCR  BOOTS N' JEANS Sep06 Jan09       (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 125 12.00    
MY HEAD HURTS Oct11 Sep29       (alessi ja)BETANCOURT RONNEY 122 5.00    
MISS SOVELIA Oct20 Oct06 Sep28 Sep16 Sep09 (edgell sharon)CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.00    
MS MAGGIE Oct07 Sep22 Sep08 Aug18   (granitz anthony )PRESCOTT R 122 4.00    
 
IND-3   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED ROSEBUSH Oct26 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul18 (cluley denn)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
SKYS IMAGE Oct29 Oct12 Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 120 1.40 33% 2.10    
WILADENE Oct12         (mcbri)ULLOA PATRICIO 123 12.00    
QUITE WHIMSICAL Nov03 Oct17 Oct10 Sep29 Sep09 (holden j)HOLMES GAGE 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
CLEVER KATE Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 Aug08 Jul11 (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 123 3.50    
TRIP CHARGE Oct17 Sep09 Sep01 Aug18 Aug08 (green darlen)MORALES JOSHUA 123 6.00    
 
IND-4   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRICKENBERGER Nov01 Oct11       (maker m)DE CRUZ 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
SINGLE HER Oct20 Sep28       (caramori ca)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
CLASSY DREAM Oct20 Sep21 Aug10     (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 121 3.50 12% 7.30    
CHIMES Oct11 Aug09 Jun22     (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 121 15.00    
ARRINGTON Oct29 Sep21       (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 121 6.00    
EXPLOSIVE SKIES Sep28 Sep21 Aug30 Jul12   (patrick r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
SASSY KATIE Sep28         (gorham m)PEREZ E 121 5.00    
 
IND-5   11/11/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORDER TOWN Oct23 Aug27 Jul29 Jun18 May21 (maker m)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 14% 6.30    
ARTIE'S RUMOR Oct19 Sep01 May24 Mar19 Feb26 (leonard geor)RAMOS D 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
MY BARILEY Oct13 Sep02 Aug05 May21 Apr27 (leonard george)SANJUR SANTO 123 5.00 23% 3.40    
JEOPARDY THEORY Oct05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul09 Jun11 (glyshaw t)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
SCR  SOARING BIRD Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 May12 Apr16 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 123 8.00    
MUTAKATIF (IRE) Sep05 Aug22 Jul17 Jun23 Jun03 (brown h)DIAZ CARLOS 123 12.00    
CHEYENNE'S COLONEL Oct20         (blair jor)BERMUDEZ E 123 12.00    
PADDY'S HOUSE Oct26 Oct05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul14 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 125 10.00    
SLICKED BACK Oct03 Sep10 Jul01 May01   (glyshaw tim)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 5.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  RICH KINGDOM Oct17 Sep26 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 (riley donna)RAMOS D 120 4.50    
 
IND-6   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENNY'S LEGACY Sep26 Sep13 Aug09 Jun29 May25 (rechy cha)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  SUPERDUTY JUSTICE Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 Aug15 Aug08 (wisner j)PEREZ E 123 15.00    
SUCCESSFULLY DONE Oct24 Sep27 Sep08 Aug22 Jun01 (elliott m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 123 3.50 12% 7.40    
BAKER'S MAN Oct24 Sep13 Aug09 Apr26   (lauer michael)RIQUELME J 123 5.00    
FLIRTY DANCER Oct06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Jul09 (davis j)DE CRUZ 114 8.00    
VENICE BEACH Nov02 Oct17 Sep27 Sep12 Aug29 (garcia genaro)HOLMES GAGE 115 12.00    
SCR  ALTERNATE NIGHTS Nov02 Sep29 Sep08 Aug11 Jul19 (lauer michae)RAMOS D 123 12.00    
PRINCE ACT Oct31 Oct17 Sep21 Sep08 Aug08 (hammond kim)PRESCOTT R 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
MACHO ALEGRE Oct17 Sep08 Aug22 Jun30 May07 (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  LOOKIN AT JUSTICE         (green darlen)MORALES JOSHUA 123 8.00    
SCR  MR. SPRINGTIME Nov03 Jun27 Jun09 May11   (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 120 10.00 12% 7.40    
 
IND-7   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPLASH OF TONIC Sep21 Sep08 Jun22 May26 May09 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.00 12% 7.40    
MI CRESCENDO Oct10 Sep08 Aug17 Jul22 Jun23 (contreras cipr)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
PERFECT SMOKEY EYE Sep29 Sep21 Sep01 Aug16 Aug08 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 120 10.00    
SCR  HAPPYPLACE Mar01 Feb22 Jan22     (platt noa)BERMUDEZ E 120 15.00    
VAVITE Aug24 Aug01 Jul04 Jun14 May11 (fletcher we)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOVE DRUNK Oct31 Oct06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 120 6.00    
AMERICA RULES Aug31 Aug10 Jul14 Jun07 May26 (haran john)PEREZ E 120 12.00    
MARGARET DRIVE Oct11 Jun23 May20 May13 Apr28 (edgell sharon)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
COMPRESSED ENERGY Oct29 Oct12 Sep28 Sep13 Aug25 (garcia genaro)HOLMES GAGE 112 2.50 8% 11.10    
10  SHE RANUP THE AMEX Oct25 Sep29 May23 May09 Apr26 (mcbride)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
 
IND-8   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCREDIBLE JUSTICE Oct29 Oct12 Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 (paquette raymon)HOLMES GAGE 120 6.00    
AZURITA Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 Aug17 Jul13 (haran john)PEREZ E 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
SECOND EXCHANGE Oct25 Oct11 Sep13 Sep02 Aug10 (fosdick)DE CRUZ 120 4.00    
E STREET ANGEL Nov01 Oct25 Sep28 Sep13 Aug25 (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 123 5.00 14% 5.90    
SWEET JUSTICE Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug16 Aug04 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 123 8.00 11% 7.70    
LASHES Oct25 Sep27 Aug31 Aug08 Jun28 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00    
SUMMER HOME Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 Sep01 Aug04 (silva h)SANJUR SANTO 125 8.00    
ARCHIE'S GIRL Sep09 Aug23 Aug13 Aug02 May16 (wells duane)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 15.00 13% 6.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.