Handicappers' Racing Form

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Horseshoe Indianapolis
Tuesday - October 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
IND-1   10/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCELIA Oct05 Sep12 Jun30 Mar04   (haran john)PEREZ E 124 1.80 19% 4.20    
NIGHTTIME JUSTICE Sep28 Aug16 Jul21 May23 May07 (gonzalez li)BERMUDEZ E 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
FEARLESS ANNA Sep28 Sep12 Aug26 Jul27 Jul07 (fosdick s)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
SCR  TRAUMARAMA Oct05 Sep13 Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 (patrick gary)PARKER L 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
DANCE MONEY Sep27 Sep19 Aug16 Jul20 Jun30 (nance jonathan)RIVERA BRYAN 114 10.00    
CHINATOWN NANCY Sep20 Aug30 Jul21 Jun30 May23 (silva h)SANJUR SANTO 124 4.00    
 
IND-2   10/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALMER'S PASS Sep28 Sep09 Jul20 Jul06 Jun29 (nance jonathan)MORALES JOSHUA 121 12.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  AFLEETING IDEA Sep28 Sep20 Aug17 Jul20 Jul11 (thompson erin)HOLMES GAGE 116 12.00    
LET'S GO JOHN Sep28 Aug04 Jul20 Jun28 Jun20 (paquette ii)PEREZ E 117 8.00    
TURBO SIX O Sep28 Sep06 Aug23 Aug03 Jul11 (eggleston t)BERMUDEZ E 121 1.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  BROTHER MILO Oct03         (thompso)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 20.00 11% 7.80    
PROTECTED AREA Sep15 Jul14 Jun21     (fontenot dawn)RIVERA BRYAN 113 6.00    
RUNAWAY IMAGE Sep29 Sep06 Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 (lauer michael)SANJUR SANTO 117 3.50    
BRENTSPENCE Sep12 Aug25 Aug04 Jul11 Jun08 (langemeier john)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
 
IND-3   10/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 3:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACE Oct05 Aug31 Aug06     (simms jr)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00    
OH CHIC Sep21         (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
AS ONE DOES Sep03         (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
AUGUSTUS BLUE Sep11 Aug13 Jul30     (pierce lacy)MOJICA O 120 20.00    
FIRST STRIKE         (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
LORD DONEGAL Aug18         (cox h)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
MEANT TO BE LUCKY Sep11 Aug19       (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
STATE CHAMP Jul10         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
BALLESTEROS Sep14         (delgado gustavo)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
10  GUNLEATHER AL         (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
11  NOW AND LATER         (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 5.00    
 
IND-4   10/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO CONFESS Oct05 Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 (garcia isra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
JUSTA SIMPLE GIRL Sep21 Aug31 Jun28 Jun07 May19 (larue benji)PRESCOTT R 122 3.50 9% 10.30    
SISTER JUSTICE Sep29 Sep21 Jul14 Jul04 Jun27 (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 12.00    
PRIME N PROPER Sep29 Sep21 Aug31 Jun02 May11 (paquette )DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
SHES MY TREASURE Oct12 Sep29 Sep06 Aug22 Jul18 (hayes micha)BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00 8% 11.50    
WICKED JUSTICE Sep29 Sep06 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 (haran john)RIVERA BRYAN 115 10.00    
IDAREYOUTODANCE Oct10 Sep28 Sep19 Aug31 Aug10 (granitz anthony)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 11% 8.10    
FLASHY BELLE Jul08 Jun02 May17 May09   (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 118 15.00    
 
IND-5   10/18/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE LAUGH Sep26 Jan23       (amoss thoma)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
MARTIQUE MISS Mar20 Mar06 Feb13     (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
SPURT Sep30 Aug25 Jul29 Mar17   (drury jr)PARKER L 120 8.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  SHADOW BELLE Jul09 Apr02 Mar10 Feb18   (douglass devar)MORALES JOSHUA 120 30.00    
STANDUP COMEDIENNE Apr10 Mar12 Feb27 Jan22   (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00    
AWESOME VALOR         (drury thoma)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
RAMADHAAN (IRE) Sep19 Sep03 Aug15 Feb16   (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
SCR  LIVE WIRE Sep05 Aug06       (maker mic)DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
POINT WELL TAKEN Sep14 Sep05 Jul31 Jul09 May26 (mcgaughey c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
10  SASSY SAGEY Aug04 Jul11 Jun01     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
 
IND-6   10/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSSING THE ROAD Oct10 Sep20       (garcia israel )MORALES JOSHUA 120 30.00    
SCR  FOXY BOXY Oct10 Sep20 Sep07 Aug18 Aug08 (mullins sco)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
ALWAYS SPRING Oct03         (davis jos)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
MAS ORO Oct10 Sep27 Aug29 Aug17 Aug08 (garcia gena)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
OUTSTANDINGJUSTICE Oct06 Sep13 Aug23 Jul21 Jul06 (davis d)PEREZ E 117 4.00 17% 5.00    
SOUTH DECATUR Sep20 Jul09       (werre danny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00    
ADDIE'S PEACHES Oct06 Aug23       (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 117 30.00    
TAILLIGHTS Oct05 Sep07 Aug08     (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
CARNACK ON TOUR Oct10 Sep20       (douglass devarus)RIVERA BRYAN 113 20.00    
10  ALMIGHTYJUSTICE Sep27         (granitz ant)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00    
11  TEQUILA SILVER Oct10 Sep20       (garcia ge)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
 
IND-7   10/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRADY Sep21 Aug22       (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
MOHAYMEN HOLIDAY Oct11 Jul24 Jun25     (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
SCR  TRUE PRODIGY Sep23 Sep08       (maker mic)DE CRUZ 120 4.00    
SCR  SILVER SOVEREIGN         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00    
SCR  REGIMENTAL Sep10         (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
GRAPHENE CASSOCK Sep10         (barkley jas)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
PHANTOM RIDE Sep21         (asmussen steve)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
MR MAJESTIC Sep11         (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 15.00    
DARK CANDY         (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
10  RANSEUR Sep21         (moquett ronald )GILLIGAN JACK 120 12.00    
11  NEW ART Sep07         (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
IND-8   10/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HITCHPIN Sep26 Aug25 Jul07 Jun21 May11 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
SAKIC Sep29         (douglass devarus)REYES ANGEL 117 12.00    
TAP TAP COMIN THRU Sep26 Sep12 Jul07 Jun23   (douglass devarus)PARKER L 120 6.00    
MAJESTIC ZEUS Oct04 Sep12       (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 117 8.00    
PRINCE SHIM Sep20 Sep06 Jul07 Jun16 May17 (mullins sco)BERMUDEZ E 124 3.00 8% 10.80    
ONE BIG DUDE Sep26 Sep12 Aug04     (haran john)PEREZ E 120 4.00    
SHA KON O HEY Sep26         (mcbride barbar)MORALES JOSHUA 121 15.00 6% 17.10    
PRINCE MIDAS Sep28         (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 110 15.00 7% 13.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.