Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOBE'S GIRL Sep10 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 Jul04 (serey jr)HESS SARA 109 3.00 27% 2.70    
MARTHARITA Sep18 Sep02 Aug26 Aug19 Jul27 (eubanks )RODRIGUEZ A 112 6.00 14% 6.00    
IF THEN Sep02 Aug19 Jul28 Jul02 Apr30 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00    
REDWHITEANDTACOS Sep25 Aug21 Apr14 Mar26 Feb26 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50    
RATIONALMILLENNIAL Sep02 Aug26 Jul29 Jul02 Jun26 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 8.00 23% 3.40    
LADY WHISTLEDOWN Sep24 Sep16 Aug21 Jun17   (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 3.00    
 
LRL-2   10/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HINDENBURG Sep23 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 Jun05 (brooks brian)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50    
SYNCOPATED Sep17 Aug27 Jul29 Jun25 May28 (merryman edwi)ALVELO C 126 3.00    
SLOE GIN BIZ Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jun24 Jun10 (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 119 8.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  KEEP NORTH Sep18 Sep05 Aug20     (aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 20.00    
SCR  TAPPED OFF Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 Jul28 Jul04 (saville ni)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 6.00 14% 6.30    
JAHEZ Aug30 Jul15 Jun17     (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 123 10.00    
SCR  CUP MATCH Sep05 Aug17 Jul20     (allen a )RODRIGUEZ A 115 5.00    
MY SON CHRIS Feb13 Jan23       (aguir)LABARRE GRACE 119 30.00    
BORN FOR VICTORY Sep05         (gonzalez c)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 2.00 35% 1.90    
10  JEBSTER Oct02         (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
SCR  BODE LYNX Aug06 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 Apr30 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 15.00    
12  ADDY'S LADDY T N T Sep30 Sep11 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 6.00    
SCR  BUDDY BUDDY Sep24 Aug31 Aug17 Jul19 Jun04 (collins tim)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
LRL-3   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASS WIZARD Sep07 Aug15 Jul29 Jul02 Jun10 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 16% 5.20    
FLAMING EAST Jun10 May19 Apr30     (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 3.50 24% 3.10    
VOTETHEMALLOUT Aug30 Jul18 Jun25 May20 Apr29 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.00    
BELIEVEINROCKNROLL Sep18 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 Apr29 (frock ch)RODRIGUEZ A 112 8.00    
ITS OVER Sep18 Sep01 Aug15 Jul04 Jun10 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 119 2.50    
ELEAZAR Sep30 Sep09 Aug05     (frock l)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
HAMPDEN LANE Aug26 Aug07 Jun26 Jun11 May26 (heil nan)BUTTERFLY L 119 12.00    
 
LRL-4   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVECOMMATWO Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 Jul08   (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
HAMO         (motion h )CARRASCO R 122 3.00    
PEP RALLY         (breen kelly)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
HANG THE MOON Sep06         (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.50    
GRACE AND CHARM Sep11         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
MODERN SOCIETY         (cooney s)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 10.00    
 
LRL-5   10/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLIN'S DOVE Jun09 May12 Apr14     (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 123 15.00    
TILTED TIARA Aug26 Aug21 Jul28 Jul08 May29 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
THE HAUNTED ROOM Aug20 Jul31       (nixon justi)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00    
JOHNNYSLITTLEGIRL         (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
ONCE WAS LOST         (bailes ro)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00 6% 16.40    
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Oct02 Aug26 Aug12 Jul29   (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00 6% 17.10    
SERIOUS MOMENT Sep17 Sep07 Aug24     (kee will)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
I HAVE COURAGE Sep10 Aug28       (frock l)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
GOOD STORY Sep16 May29 Apr09 Mar25 Feb18 (eppler e)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00    
 
LRL-6   10/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SICILIA MIKE Sep17 Jul28 Jul09 Jun04 May21 (gonzalez c)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 3.50    
CAMP PENDLETON Sep18 Sep02 Aug20 Jul22 Jul03 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00 13% 6.80    
BIG RINNE Sep29 Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 Jul28 (maldonado jonat)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
ALPHA QUEUE Sep09 Jul31 Jul09 Jun25 May14 (comi w)HO WESLEY 123 15.00    
ANTIPOISON Sep23 Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 123 12.00    
MYSTERY BANK Aug05 Jul26 Apr30 Apr02 Feb23 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 12.00    
SHERIFF CHIP Apr20 Apr01 Mar05 Feb03   (rawlings amanda )CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  OXIDE Aug26 Jan29 Jan21     (gaude)LABARRE GRACE 123 15.00 13% 6.90    
MUCHO MAS GRANDE Sep18 Aug28 Aug05 Jul10 Jun05 (graham r)RODRIGUEZ A 116 20.00    
10  MIRACLE SILVER Sep02 Aug23 Aug13 Jul23 Jun25 (d'angelo jose)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 25% 2.90    
11  DASHING LOU Sep18 Sep02 Aug11 Jul28   (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
 
LRL-7   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTH Jul27 Jun30 Jun04 May13 Apr22 (hall aim)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
MR. MOX Sep05 Jul27 Jul03 Jun11 May05 (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
AL LOVES JOSIE Sep11 Aug26 Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
ROMINSKI Sep18 Aug14 Jun10 May26 May05 (gonzalez claud)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 9% 10.60    
BERKS Sep24 Aug26 Jul27 Jul09 Jun25 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  THE WOLFMAN Oct02 Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 (shankle joann)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50    
PATIENT GAME Feb25 Jan28       (geralis emanu)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Sep11 Sep05 Aug07 Jul22 Jul04 (sanchez-s)CARRASCO R 120 15.00    
ELUSIVE AGENT Sep24 Aug29 Aug12 Jul16   (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 10.00    
10  RAD PAISLEY Sep28 Sep02 Jul22 Jun04 May27 (magee kieron)CENTENO E 126 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
LRL-8   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORELLO (NZ) Jun11 Apr09 Mar05 Feb06   (asmussen st)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 1.40 26% 2.90    
GOING TO THE LEAD Sep23 Sep04 May28 Apr29 Apr03 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOCAL MOTIVE Sep04 May21 Mar19 Feb19 Jan29 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00    
GREELEY AND BEN Sep04 Jul02 Jun04 Apr24 Mar19 (englehart)CARRASCO R 123 2.00 46% 1.20    
EXCULPATORY Aug14 Jul10 Jun19     (cruz jesus)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
MOJOVATION Sep23 Aug27 Aug10 May21 Apr26 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 5.00    
SCR  WENDELL FONG Sep10 Jul20 Jun04 Apr26 Mar29 (lynch natalia)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00    
 
LRL-9   10/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCE OF CAPS Sep17 Sep02 Aug22 Jul31 Jun15 (gonzalez )CARRASCO R 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
HONOR MY WORLD Sep17 Aug30 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 (horner )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 15.00    
SCR  RECONVENE Sep18 Sep03 Aug19 Jun26 May29 (breen kelly)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
PRINCE OF PORTLAND May29 May07 Apr15 Apr01 Mar26 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 120 20.00    
SCR  SEVILLE ROW Sep17 Jul31 Jul08 Jun17 May29 (stettinius suza)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
SCR  YOWZA YOWZA YOWZA Sep14 Aug20 Aug09 Jul31 Jul08 (shuman mark)ACOSTA D 119 20.00    
SCR  STRAIGHT UP GUY Sep17 Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul20 (brown keit)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 15.00    
GHOSTLIGHTER Sep09 Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 May29 (campbell willi)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00    
SCR  EMPHASIZE Sep17 Aug24 Jul31 Jul08 Jun30 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
10  DOLICE VITA Sep09 Aug21 Aug06 Jul15 Jun26 (capuano dale)ALVELO C 120 6.00    
SCR  BURGEE Sep14 Aug12 Jul08 Jun25 May15 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 120 3.50 38% 1.70    
SCR  MARYLAND PRIDE Sep17 Aug20 Jul30     (geralis emanu)KARAMANOS A 119 5.00    
SCR  SUPER E Sep17 Aug30 Aug13 Jul19 Jul01 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
14  GALATIANS Aug07         (eppler m)RODRIGUEZ A 116 5.00 9% 10.40    
15  VIRGINIA FULLA Sep23 Sep11 Aug26 Jul26 Jul01 (mckenzie)RODRIGUEZ A 116 20.00    
16  HEARTNESS Sep22 Jul20 Jun20 May19 May06 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.