Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Thursday - October 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   10/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAYO NEGRO Sep08 Aug11 Jun30 Jun15 Jun02 (nazario pedro)MENA E 120 6.00 ★    
2  HELEONORTIZ Aug27 Jun29 Jun18 Feb19   (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 117 8.00    
3  ELLAROUGE Sep04         (meister willia)CEDENO CAROL 122 3.50 ★    
4  ARE YOU HAPPY Sep08 Aug25 Jun23 May04 Apr15 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 125 8.00 9% 10.30    
5  MERCURY TEN Sep24 Sep07 Aug25 Jul28 Jul06 (shuman mar)SANCHEZ J 120 1.80 59% 0.70    
6  SO THERE Sep07 Aug25 Aug03     (lawrence james)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 2.50 11% 8.30    
 
DEL-2   10/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENT PASS Sep02 Aug04 Jul06 Jun18 May08 (lucas bonnie)ADORNO ABNER 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
2  NIANGUA Sep26 Sep05 Aug24 Aug01 Jun20 (solis jacint)ARROYO S 118 8.00 5% 18.10    
3  CODE NAME BRODY Sep15 Aug25 Jul30     (cronk samuel )SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 ★    
4  STALKING Sep14 Aug27 Aug10 Jul28 Jul14 (smith jas)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
5  SHIELD OF FAITH Sep22 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
SCR  BEATTHATFLEW Sep18 Aug25 Jul16 Jul03 May28 (lucas bonnie)SOSA LAUREANO 112 3.50 ★    
 
DEL-3   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERGEANT WILD BILL Sep03         (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
2  GUAPONESS Sep15 Aug31       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00 8% 12.30    
3  RENEWING VOWS         (bennett juanit)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
4  WHISKEY MISCHIEF         (bennett dale)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
5  PICTURE THIS Sep03         (matz r)ROSE J 122 8.00 5% 18.20    
6  SECRET ADDICTION Sep03         (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 ★    
7  HALF BROTHER Sep17         (brinkman brett)MENA E 122 3.00 24% 3.30    
 
DEL-4   10/06/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARLO BELLO Sep18         (boniface )LEATHERMAN TAYLOR 132 10.00 ★    
2  KISSES FOR HANNAH Sep15 Aug27 Aug18 Aug06 Jul21 (contessa gary)RAMOS JATNIEL 129 15.00    
3  QUEEN'S WARRANT Sep15 Aug24 Jul28 Jul02   (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 129 10.00    
4  CIRCLE OF COURAGE Sep23 Aug26 Jul21 Jun16 May12 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 133 15.00    
5  UPTOWNJACOB BROWN Sep22 Jul28 Jun11 May26   (sarson b)TEREJO CHRIS 132 20.00    
6  PERFECT PEACE Sep18 Aug21       (milosevic milan)SWOPE ERIN 132 12.00    
SCR  QUIDDITCH Sep18         (wyatt todd)SCULLY ELIZABETH 132 10.00    
SCR  FIRE D'ROCKET Sep18 Aug21       (colgan ke)KINNAMON MARSHALL 136 20.00    
9  SEE OUT Sep09 Aug07 Jul16 Jul01   (meister wi)ENGLISH SAMANTHA 136 5.00 66% 0.50    
10  BOFFO KID Aug19 Aug06 Jul16     (doran carl)DORAN CARL 132 4.50    
11  MAYBE IT'S TIME Aug31 Jul28       (gorham mich)WOODSON MICHAEL 132 6.00 ★    
12  NATTY BIRD Sep18         (mcclure dian)MCCARTHY ALICE 136 20.00    
SCR  MAGIC WIZARD Sep27 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28   (hendriks)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 136 12.00 11% 8.50    
14  DON CICCIO Sep17 Aug31 Aug11 Aug03 Jul21 (miranda a)FOX FIONA 136 15.00 ★    
 
DEL-5   10/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. CASH         (barboza vic)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 5.00 7% 12.70    
2  EXAGGERATEDDEFENCE Sep11 Aug05 Jul01 Jun19   (lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  DRAMA'S PRAYER         (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
4  IMPERIAL JET Aug29         (reardon c)CHATRIE E 108 12.00    
5  GUTHRIE HALL         (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 10.00    
6  JAKE'S A WINNER         (padilla-preci)RIVERA D 121 10.00    
7  YARDMAN         (gerlach fr)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 10.00    
8  LILTONYTWOPHONES Sep24 Aug27 Aug05 Jun29 Jun10 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
9  JOE BRAINS         (downing wi)SANCHEZ J 125 6.00 ★    
 
DEL-6   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAERUS Aug27 Aug07 Jul07 May06 Apr02 (lucas bonnie)ADORNO ABNER 125 10.00    
SCR  BODEFLEX Sep19         (rohena rafae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 12.00 ★    
3  QUICK TEMPO Sep10 Aug08 Jul01 Jun04 May04 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 125 1.80 41% 1.40    
4  CHIEF RON Sep23 Aug17 Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 125 5.00    
5  DEFEND Sep29 Aug06 Jul02 Jun08   (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 118 2.50 ★    
6  GRAN RUNNER Sep10 Jul02 Apr24 Feb05   (barboza vic)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
7  GOLDEN JUAN Sep10 Aug14 Jul01 Jun03 Apr30 (avila carl)CENTENO E 121 8.00 ★    
 
DEL-7   10/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY NANCY Sep23 Sep07       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 73% 0.40    
2  X Y LADY Sep05 Aug16 Jun22     (lopez bernardo )CENTENO E 122 12.00    
3  TOUGH GAME Sep07 Aug27 Aug10 Jul01   (ovando melvin)ZONETT KEYNER 122 20.00    
4  PHARIBE Sep28 Sep05 Aug10 Jul09   (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 122 12.00    
5  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Sep11 Aug28       (einhorn kim)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 ★    
6  ONE CLEAR MOMENT Aug27         (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00    
SCR  HOPEFUL CURE Aug10         (ashby lynn)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
8  ARROGANTE Sep28 Sep14 Sep01 Aug13   (nazario pedro)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 20.00 ★    
SCR  BIZ AS USUAL Sep28 Sep07 Aug27 Jul01 Jun15 (nambo cesa)SANCHEZ J 118 20.00    
10  ELLIE DELI Sep14 Jun22       (bennett dale)MENA E 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WYETH'S WAY Sep14 Aug13       (matz r)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
12  LOUISE BROOKS Sep02 Aug10 Jul23     (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00 ★    
13  SHAYMYNAME Sep28 Aug07 Jul20 Jun30 Jun09 (chichakly )MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00    
SCR  SAENGER STAR Aug30 Aug03       (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00    
 
DEL-8   10/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STYLE Sep02 Jul01 Jun22 Jun04 Apr15 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 8% 12.20    
2  AWESOME BIRDIE Sep15 Aug18 Jul30 May21 Apr29 (rigattieri john)MENA E 121 8.00 ★    
3  JOE MIKE JIM Sep23 Aug29 Aug20 Jul31 Jul17 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 118 4.00 29% 2.50    
4  ILLUSION OF HOPE Aug17 Aug07 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00    
5  MURUMBI Aug07 Jul09 May22 Apr23 Apr08 (bennett ger)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  GORMAN Jun02 May04       (danner kelsey)CENTENO E 118 6.00    
7  PRACTICALLY THERE Aug24 Jul27 Jun29 Jun10 Jun02 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00    
8  ROSY APPLE Sep17 Aug26 Jul08 Jun25 Jun02 (ramirez jo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
9  AKEMI Sep17 Aug29 Aug05 Jul15 Jun11 (cole-d)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.