Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - September 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   09/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUARD DUTY Sep13 Aug16 Aug04 Jun23 Jun01 (horrell donald )HOLMES GAGE 117 4.50 12% 7.00    
HERE COMES DOC Sep14 Aug31 Aug16 Aug04 Jul13 (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  IT'S THE SUNRISE Sep15 Aug30 Aug11 May10   (fosdick steve)RIVERA BRYAN 114 10.00    
ALTERNATE NIGHTS Sep08 Aug11 Jul19 Jun29 May16 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 124 5.00    
SHIPSHAPE Sep20 Aug25 Aug02 Jul14 May25 (hinds lonnie)PEREZ E 124 6.00 8% 11.80    
GOLD BUCKLE Aug30 Aug11 Jul20 Jun29   (sanchez jim)PARKER L 124 3.00 10% 8.90    
JOHNSTOWN JOHNNY Sep15 Aug30 Aug11     (brown and)BERMUDEZ E 121 8.00    
 
IND-2   09/29/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEEPINJUSTICE Sep01 Aug10 Jul14 Jun09 May18 (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 8.00    
SISTER JUSTICE Sep21 Jul14 Jul04 Jun27 Jun02 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00    
SKYS IMAGE Sep09 Aug18 Aug08 Jun22 Jun09 (duran antonio)PARKER L 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
QUITE WHIMSICAL Sep09 Aug22 Aug06 Jul04 May18 (holden j)RIVERA BRYAN 115 6.00    
CLEVER KATE Sep09 Aug18 Aug08 Jul11 Jun28 (holden j)RODRIGUEZ C 122 20.00    
EXPRESS LADY Sep01 Aug10 Jul14 Jul04 Jun09 (elliott michelle)PRESCOTT R 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
EULALIA Sep09 Sep01 Aug22 Aug09 Jul13 (elliott michell)HOLMES GAGE 115 5.00 9% 10.50    
LIEUTENANT KITTY Sep09 Aug31 Aug24 Jul09 Jun30 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
 
IND-3   09/29/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY IMAGE Sep06 Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 (lauer michael)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
WHITE SILVER SANDS Sep20 Aug25 Aug17 Jun29 Jun21 (holden j)RODRIGUEZ C 124 30.00    
SPACE FORCE WON Sep09 Aug17 May17 Apr19   (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  BINNINGTON BLUES         (austin timothy)HOLMES GAGE 113 20.00    
MIKIE O'PRADO Sep12 Aug17 Jul11     (west m)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
SAKIC         (douglass devaru)REYES ANGEL 120 15.00    
EPIC THE LEGEND Sep09 Aug23 Aug03 Jul11 May31 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 120 4.00 8% 11.10    
PRESTO BENCH Aug17 Jul20 Jun29     (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 124 1.80 13% 6.70    
SCR  KILLER HOTROD Sep09 Aug17 Aug03 Jul11 Jun20 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  SHAD Sep12 May31       (mcbride barbar)RIVERA BRYAN 113 30.00    
 
IND-4   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 2 ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMITED D'ORO Sep08 Jul15       (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 6.00    
PLAIN OR PEANUT Sep07 Aug18 Aug09 May30   (elliott michelle)PARKER L 120 5.00    
BAYTOWN GET IT ON Sep08 Jul09 Jun22 Jun14 May27 (mcentee paul)GILLIGAN JACK 118 4.00    
COUNT DE MONET Aug30         (swearingen tom)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
DADDYS DREAM Aug23         (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 115 8.00 22% 3.60    
BAYTOWN JAGGER Sep08 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 118 8.00    
HUNTERTOWN May11         (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
BACK BEAT Aug29 Jun25       (asmussen )BERMUDEZ E 118 5.00    
 
IND-5   09/29/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($22.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIP N TUCK Aug20 Aug03 Jun20 May31 Mar27 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00    
ROGUE ELEMENT Sep10 Jul17 Jul02 Jun09 Apr24 (hiles j)DE CRUZ 122 10.00    
FIREWATER JAKE Aug25 Jul06 Jun11 Mar19 Feb26 (leonard i)PARKER L 122 8.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  CASH EXPRESS Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 Jun12 May22 (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  FIRST GLIMPSE Sep07 Aug16 Aug03 Jul09 Jun08 (silva h)ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00    
SCR  FLY NIGHTLY Sep15 Sep01 Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 (shorter aaron)PEREZ E 122 8.00 7% 13.60    
UNDERDRESSED Sep01 Aug22 Jul14 Jun20 May12 (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.50 34% 2.00    
MAJOR SPARKS Aug24 Jun09 May07     (granitz anthon)SANJUR SANTO 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
EVIL EYE Sep15 Aug25 Jul21 Jul06 Jun11 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 122 5.00    
10  EPIMYTHIUM Jul21 Jun09 May13 Apr21 Mar19 (meah m)HOLMES GAGE 115 4.00    
11  SPIRIT ANIMAL Aug31 Jul29 Jul13 May30 May17 (caramori edu)MORALES JOSHUA 122 20.00    
12  SOMETHING NATURAL Sep13 Aug02 Jul08 May08 Apr10 (davis d)MOJICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-6   09/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIME N PROPER Sep21 Aug31 Jun02 May11 Apr26 (paquette raymo)RIVERA BRYAN 112 4.00 12% 7.20    
WISHED Aug15 Jul13 Jun30 Jun07 May09 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 122 3.00    
FARM SAFETY Sep15 Aug31 Aug15 Aug08 Jul14 (ashby dakota)MOJICA O 118 6.00    
SHARP JUSTICE Sep06 Aug15 Jul27 Jul08 Jun02 (norris mike)PARKER L 122 6.00 7% 13.90    
WICKED JUSTICE Sep06 Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 Jun16 (haran joh)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00    
SHES MY TREASURE Sep06 Aug22 Jul18 Jul04 Jun02 (hayes s)ACHARD ALEX 122 15.00    
ROCK OF CASHEL Sep21 Sep01 Aug15 Aug06 Jul14 (davis d)PEREZ E 115 8.00 7% 12.90    
WINDOW SHAKER Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Aug06 Jul14 (livers )DE CRUZ 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
IND-7   09/29/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIFFERENTBUTOK Aug10 Jul19 Jun01 Mar31 Feb10 (correas i)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 11% 8.40    
SELENA SING Sep15 Aug29 Jun21 May04 Apr20 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 2.00 61% 0.60    
UNION PARK GAL (IRE) Aug31 Aug22 Jun25 Jun10 May13 (haran joh)BERMUDEZ E 122 8.00    
SHE RANUP THE AMEX May23 May09 Apr26 Jan01   (mcbride barbar)RIVERA BRYAN 111 15.00    
DREAM STREAK Sep12 Aug23 Jul12 May04 Apr20 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 120 5.00    
PERFECT SMOKEY EYE Sep21 Sep01 Aug16 Aug08 Jul14 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 121 10.00    
BOURBON PRINCESS Aug31 Aug18 Jul14 Jun27 May10 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
OUR WONSAPONATIME Sep09 Aug05       (warpool shane)HOLMES GAGE 115 3.50    
 
IND-8   09/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMPAGE Sep20 Aug04 Jul18 Jun27 Feb18 (matthew)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
UNBRIDLED BEAST Aug25 Jul21 Jul13 Jul06 Jun27 (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 119 4.50    
MYSTERY UNBRIDLED Aug25 Aug17 Jul14 Jun11 May24 (weaver michael)HOLMES GAGE 112 3.00 27% 2.80    
TWO LAST WORDS Sep07 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 Jun11 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
CLOSE THE CASE Sep09 Aug17 Jul07 Jun27 Jun11 (wisner j)MOJICA O 119 15.00    
HOPPED UP Sep09 Jul21 May03 Mar25 Jan23 (greenhill jeff)PARKER L 122 10.00 5% 17.90    
MELTDOWN Sep14 Aug15 Jul20 Jun28 May11 (nance w)PRESCOTT R 119 15.00    
FLYING SAMURAI Aug29 Jul14 Jun16 May23 May07 (dobbsjr r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
BOOTDADDY JUSTICE Sep08 Sep01 Aug11 Jul19 Jun27 (claire al)BERMUDEZ E 115 2.50 30% 2.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.