Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - September 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   09/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITO ANDOLINI Aug27 Aug20 Jul29 Jul10 May20 (lane j)ADAMS L 110 20.00    
BANDFROMTHEBAR Aug19 Jul27 Jun25     (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 5.00    
SECRET SOULMATE Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun25 Jun05 (reynolds )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
SCR  INDIANA RED Apr23 Mar19 Mar04 Feb10 Jan14 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 41% 1.40    
MORE PLEASE Jul29 Jun18 May20 May07 Apr15 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
GREEN DOT BRAH Sep14 Jul20 Apr30 Mar27 Mar12 (rodriguez ang)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
 
CT-2   09/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY JUBA Aug25 Aug04 Jul23 May28 Apr20 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
HOLLY'S PERSUASION Aug04 Jun23 May27 May07 Apr16 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.80 14% 6.20    
DISTORTED SPLENDOR Aug19 Aug15 Jul14 Jun03 May05 (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 15.00    
WATERLOO ROSE Sep10 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22   (tobin l)ADAMS L 110 30.00    
JAMESTOWN ROAD Aug19 Aug04 Jul16 Jun17 May20 (joy j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
MISS CASEY Aug26 Aug04 Apr14 Mar11 Feb18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
CT-3   09/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 (schottroffe )BATISTA A 122 8.00    
REY O REYES Aug27 Jul15 Jun18 Jun09 May18 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50    
SIMILAR TASTE Aug24 Aug08 Aug01 Jul01 Jun12 (gladden damon)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
BEDAZZLING Sep01 Aug05 Jul30 Jul16 May18 (martinez jo)RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
RIGHTEOUS MAN Aug27 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 (kirlew lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
DRUM AND BASS Aug26 Aug06 Jun23 May19 Apr20 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 41% 1.40    
SCR  WHISTLE PLAYER Jul13 Jun22       (martinez jose)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
QUICK WIT Sep08 Aug20 Jul21 Jun10   (pennella rh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00 9% 10.20    
 
CT-4   09/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETONTHEGENTS         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
MS HEADLEY Sep02 Mar04 Feb17 Jan15 Jan02 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00 15% 5.50    
TIZ THE REASON Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May28 May18 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.60 52% 0.90    
CHARM WEAVER Apr07 Mar11 Jan28     (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
NELLYSFORD Aug22 Jul29 Jul09 May28 Apr28 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 5.00    
VALID REASON Sep02 Jul02 Jun11 May05 Apr21 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 4.50    
 
CT-5   09/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE MISS CAT Sep11 May21 Jan26     (cloust)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
WHYCANTTHISBELOVE Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 (aylor l)LIMA FELINO 115 20.00    
YESSIROFFICER Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 Jun09 (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
HOT CAROL Sep03 Aug18 Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00    
SUPER WILDCAT Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 17.50    
KYMMIES CHARDONNAY Aug26 Aug13 Aug05 Jun11 Apr24 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
BET THE QUEEN Sep07 Aug05 Jul18 Jun19 Jun02 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 2.50 10% 8.70    
 
CT-6   09/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FELICIAS CASTLE Aug27 Aug11 Jun29 Jun11 May28 (patterson)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 53% 0.90    
REMYS GUNSMOKE Sep09 Aug25 Jul30 Jul16 Jul09 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 21% 3.90    
SUGAR LIPS Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 Jun04 (casey john)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 4.50    
THEWITCHISGONE Aug12         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 5.00    
SCR  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Sep09 Jul02 Jun18 May25 May04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
MIO GRACELAND Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jun11 May18 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
MODERN DAY ROMANCE Sep09 Aug27 Jul30     (jones michael)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   09/21/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDSOR'S PLAY Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 Jun04 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 118 4.50    
FIFTY GRAY SHADES Aug06 Jul22 Jun18 May25 Apr28 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
SAYYESTOTHELADY Aug18 Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 May12 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.40 29% 2.40    
SNOWY JUBA CAT Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04   (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
SISTER JOANN Sep08 Jul28 Jun18 May11 Apr21 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 120 20.00    
CASTLE LIGHTS Aug19 Jul28 Jul02 May14 Apr23 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 6.00    
SCR  REVEIRS MINUTE Sep08 Jul22 Jul01 Jun23 Apr22 (hess jacob )MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 50.00    
 
CT-8   09/21/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FONDA ROMANA Sep10 Sep01 Jul30 Jun25 Jun03 (hummer )NUNEZ ANAHI 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
REIGNING FIRE Jun03 May18 Apr27 Apr02 Feb26 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
CLEARLY VISIBLE Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 Jun19 Jun07 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
MAGNETIQUE Sep01 Aug06 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
CALL ME JELLY ROLL Sep07 Aug01       (dunham be)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00    
LONGSTORYLUCY Sep10 Aug20 Aug11     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 10.00    
FLOATING BY Sep01 Aug11 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 (stahlin john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
TAKE ME HOME Aug11 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 Apr28 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 10.00 14% 6.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.