Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Monday - September 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   09/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLETCHER Aug22         (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 3.00 15% 5.80    
2  HARLEY'S CHARLY Aug22         (coletti edward)ADORNO ABNER 119 5.00 ★    
3  SON OF A BUCK Aug22 Jul26       (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 6.00    
4  IRA THE ICON Jul26 Jun15       (reid e)PENNINGTON F 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  THESEGUYSGOTGAME Aug22         (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 119 4.00 ★    
6  ALTA FOX Aug22         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 119 4.50 14% 6.30    
 
PRX-2   09/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IT'S ROB'S TOWN         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 8.00 11% 7.90    
2  ASH OF MY ENEMY Aug24 Jul27 Jul12 Jun25   (smylie timot)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 5.00 ★    
3  ISSUING JUSTICE Aug29 Aug18 Jul04 Jun07 May31 (velazquez d)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 4.00 ★    
4  TURTLENECK TED Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jul04 Jun25 (padilla-preci)RIVERA D 121 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  MANUKA BOBBY Aug24 Jun30 Jun10 May07 Mar30 (flores-coba )ARROYO S 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
6  DUCK DUCKY GOOSE Aug24 Aug01 May07 Apr05 Feb23 (allen randy)RAMOS C 117 4.50    
 
PRX-3   09/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BROTHER NEIL Jul20 Jun14 May26 May03 Apr07 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  PETER G. FOX Jun29 May02 Apr12 Mar22 Jan26 (wilson brend)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  WIZARD SERRAT Aug12 Jul31 Jul17 Jun03 May01 (avila juan)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00    
4  LT. COLUMBO Jul19 Jun21 Jun13 Apr26 Apr13 (jenkins suzanne)BOWMAN ADAM 121 5.00 ★    
5  HENRYTHETHIRD Aug14 Jul17 Jun25 Jun05 Apr16 (avila carlo)CASTILLO A 121 3.50 ★    
6  AUSTIN WHYLIE Aug13 Jul20 Jun27 Jun13 May26 (whylie herold)RANGEL JOEZER 121 6.00    
7  TRUE DAKOTAN Aug30 Jul10 Jun26 Jun05 May08 (rodriguez mig)OCASIO M 121 4.50 57% 0.80    
 
PRX-4   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPLAIN Aug26 Aug03 Jul19 Jul09 Jun20 (correnti arman)RIVERA EDWIN 121 6.00 ★    
2  INSTANT CHAOS Aug31 Jul30 Jul19 Jul01 Jun20 (diaz jorge)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 4.50    
3  HEZASTONECOLDFOX Aug25 Jul09 Jan18     (bullock jorda)OCASIO M 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAPTAIN CHAZZ Aug24 Aug04 Jul25 Jun29 May21 (taylor joseph)ADORNO ABNER 121 3.00 69% 0.50    
5  COMPASS CAY Aug27 Jul31 Jul08 Jun25 Jun12 (dominguez mario )CASTILLO A 121 10.00    
6  RAGING TEMPEST Aug30 Aug06 Jul12 Mar01   (brown howar)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 12.00    
7  DANGNABBIT Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 Jul18 Jul09 (farro patri)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 8.00 ★    
8  CALCULATED BREEZE Aug24 Jul09 May20 Apr15 Mar24 (aro michael )BARBOSA JEIRON 113 10.00 ★    
9  WHERESTHEPASSION Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jun15 Jun07 (mosco robert)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00    
10  OUTWORKNFORAKISS May07 Mar22 Mar01 Feb02   (milian carl)RAMOS C 114 5.00    
 
PRX-5   09/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUR MAN LUKE Aug28 Jul27 Jul10 Jun12 May15 (carvajal lui)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 4.50 ★    
2  RUBY BLEU Aug22 Jul19 May25 Apr19 Mar23 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  AWE MUN Jul04 Jun13 May17     (thompson mar)BURKE JERMAINE 121 10.00    
4  EXCURSION Aug06 Jul12 Jun25 Jun15 May10 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.50 ★    
5  MY FRIENDS BEER Aug24 Jul25 Jun25 Jun02 Apr19 (penaloza mig)ARROYO S 121 4.00 7% 12.80    
6  DIVINE MIRACLE Aug22 Aug03 Jul09 Jun20 May10 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
PRX-6   09/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE JOY Aug03 Jul04 Feb23 Jan26 Jan10 (st uri)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 10.00    
2  CINNAMON DREAM Aug24 Aug02 Jul14 Jun24 Apr25 (castillo s)MELENDEZ Y 114 6.00 ★    
3  RUBY DOOBY DOO Aug18 Aug02 Jul21 Jul11 Jun28 (ashton patr)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 111 15.00    
4  PAGE ELEVEN Aug31 Aug12 Jul25 Jul04 Jun15 (hogan william)OCASIO M 124 4.50 16% 5.10    
5  DAYS REMEMBERED Aug27 Jun10       (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 31% 2.30    
6  ESCANDALO Aug31 Aug03 Jul27 Jul04 Jun21 (brown howar)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 5.00 ★    
7  GOVERNMENT GIRL Jul27 Jun15 May11 Jan03   (castillo mi)RAMOS C 117 12.00    
8  IMAGISM Aug23 Aug01 Jul09 May02 Apr18 (velazquez d)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 3.50 27% 2.60    
9  SCARF Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jul04 Jun13 (christman ki)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 20.00    
10  CHARLYS WILD ANGEL Aug23 Jul27 Jul13 Jun13 May25 (farro patri)NUNEZ Y 121 8.00    
 
PRX-7   09/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCREEN SAVER Aug24 Aug01 Jul18 Jun20   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00    
2  LAVERY Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 May01 Apr17 (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00 ★    
3  ABSENTEE Aug18 Jul25 Jun19 May23   (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 121 20.00    
4  RACK GIN Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 Jul05 Jun07 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Aug23 Jul25 Jul02     (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 3.50 60% 0.70    
6  APPEALING FUTURE Aug02 Jul12 Jun13 Jan05   (servis j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 ★    
7  CATCH MY VIBE Aug27 Aug01 Jul18 Jun29 Jun20 (thompson m)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 12.00    
8  STRUM AND PLUCK Aug24 Jul27 Jun25 May10 Apr18 (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 15.00    
SCR  CREA'S BKLYN LAW         (taylor josep)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 4.50 9% 10.40    
 
PRX-8   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACHELBEL Aug22 Aug01       (servis c)PENNINGTON F 119 2.50 13% 6.80    
2  BACK TO D' FUTURE Aug22         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 119 3.50 57% 0.80    
3  WINNING MOON Jul18         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 5.00 ★    
4  BROADWAYCHARLYROSE         (coletti edward)ADORNO ABNER 119 20.00    
5  GIRL FROM TYRONE Aug22         (linder j)HIRALDO JOHN 119 6.00    
6  CREATIVE COPY         (mosco robe)SANCHEZ J 119 15.00    
7  TEMPTED TO TOUCH Aug22         (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 119 8.00 ★    
8  RIVERVIEW Aug22         (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 4.50 8% 11.40    
 
PRX-9   09/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TILSA Aug31 Aug03 Jul26 Jun27 May31 (lake scott )WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00    
2  AEGEAN SEA Aug29 Aug03 Jun27 May31 May03 (brown howard)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 18% 4.50    
3  IRIE EMPRESS Jul17 Jul08 Jun03 May23 May09 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 8.00    
4  BURANO Jun29 Jan19 Jan03     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 5.00 18% 4.70    
5  MADAME ROUGE Aug29 Aug02 Jul08 Jun06 May21 (whylie herold)OCASIO M 121 4.00    
6  CLOSET SHOPPER Aug29 Aug03 Apr06 Mar01 Feb16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  ADVOCATE HARBOR Aug02 Jun29 Jun03 May12 Apr05 (padilla-prec)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 15.00    
8  SOLID GOLD DANCER Aug03 Jun27 Jun06 May11 Apr25 (marquez)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  TITANIC ROSE Aug22 Jul26 Jul05 Jun20 May09 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   09/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVELY MELAYRA Aug23 Jul27 Jul09 Jun15 May16 (krebs steven)ADORNO ABNER 118 8.00    
2  QUEEN CORDELIA Aug23 Jul05 Apr21 Mar17 Feb21 (ness jam)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 5.00    
3  KISSIN COUSIN Aug24 Jul04 Jun11 May17 Apr20 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  EMMA'S TOUCH Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 Jun15 May11 (farro patrici)RIVERA D 121 15.00    
5  MISS ALEX Aug31 Aug24 Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 20.00 8% 12.00    
6  HIT A HOMER HONEY Aug31 Aug03 Jul25 Jun28 Jun13 (brown howa)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 14% 6.40    
7  NANA'S BOOPA Jul04 Jun11 Apr27 Mar30 Feb01 (milian carl)RAMOS C 111 8.00    
SCR  JALEBI BABY Aug24 Jul26 Jul09 Jun03 May21 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00    
SCR  FRIEDER FANATIC Jul25 Jul04 Jun15 May03 Apr11 (polachek ja)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 15.00    
SCR  SHANIA SEA Aug18 Jul22       (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 15.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  GONE DREAMING Aug24 Jul27 Jul05 Jun11 Mar30 (whylie o)BISONO J 121 30.00 5% 17.50    
12  CLASSY SADIE Aug22 Jul25 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.