Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - August 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDEMNATION Aug09 Jul14 Jul01 May30 May06 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  MUTINY Aug09 Jul05 May30 May06 Apr26 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.00    
PETTY THIEF Jul27 Jul13 Jun09 Apr29 Mar10 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 118 4.50    
SCR  LUCK OF THE CAT Jul26         (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 1.60 41% 1.40    
MUSIC OF MY HEART Aug03 Jul26       (krummen moni)HALDAR J 123 5.00    
LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Aug12 Jul21 Jul07 Jun21 Jun09 (bennett rober)BRACHO A 123 4.00 10% 9.50    
 
BTP-2   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNWANTED INPUT Aug17 Aug05 Jul07 Jun28 May31 (manning j)FELIX E 125 6.00    
CELESTIAL ORB Aug05 Jul01 Jun02 May04 Apr23 (march willi)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 4.50 19% 4.40    
FEARLESS ANNA Jul27 Jul07       (fosdick steve)OUZTS W 125 3.50    
JUDY'S MARKET Jun30 Jun01       (langemeier j)RAMOS D 125 2.50 24% 3.10    
LADY PREACH Jul21 Jul01 Jun10 May19 May07 (wilson j)MACHADO LUAN 125 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
BTP-3   08/26/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY BOURBON Aug17 Aug01 Jun09 May25 May13 (estvanko ric)HALDAR J 117 12.00    
HIGH POWERED Aug04 Jul07 Jun24 May24 May10 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
EASY DOER Aug18         (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
PARKER May30 Mar19 Feb21 Jan22   (salcedo ramon)REYES R 122 30.00    
UGLY DUCKLING Jul19 Jun02 Feb10 Jan14 Jan02 (coyle d)FELIX E 122 12.00 6% 15.60    
VALYCOVE Aug03 Jul07       (reed r)MCKEE J 122 4.00    
PLATINUM MAC Aug02 Jul15 Jun24 May19 Apr28 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 122 15.00    
PERCENTAGE Jul19 Jun02 May11 Apr29 Mar10 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 122 30.00    
WILD WEEKEND May27 May11       (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 20.00    
10  PLUTONIAN (IRE) Apr17         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 1.80 44% 1.30    
11  TORNADO BOY Jun24 Jun10 May24 May03 Apr01 (nocero carmin)LEBRON VICTOR 122 30.00    
12  MANY ROSES Jul07 Apr11 Mar25 Jan21 Jan02 (axmaker cod)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMANI'S KITTEN Aug10 Jan23       (castillo ric)ROMERO GREGORY 122 8.00    
SCR  AUTHORITARIAN Aug09 Jul20 Jun17 May31   (vosler eugene)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 122 8.00    
SCR  CAPPY HOUR Aug14 Aug03 Jun23 May27 May03 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00    
 
BTP-4   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SORORITY SISTER Aug12 Jul13 Jun03 May24 Apr26 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.50 14% 6.40    
ROCKY CHANNEL Aug16 Jul22 Jul12 Jun22 Jun03 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 120 4.00    
DELIGHTFUL CAT Jul22         (thomas mark)MCKEE J 123 6.00    
SCR  BALI BEAR Jul29 May25 Apr28     (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 1.00 56% 0.80    
MAYBE FRANKY Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 Jun03 May21 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50    
 
BTP-5   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIP IT SCOTTY Aug16 Jul29 Jul12 Jun23   (jazdzewski jo)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 5.00    
FEROCITY Aug16 Jul27 Jul13 Jun11 May13 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 120 2.50    
CINDY'S STORM Aug09 Jul28 Jul12 Jun24 Jun08 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
EL PEJE Aug11 Jul27 May17 May04   (pinzon maria)ROMERO GREGORY 120 3.50    
ROUTE ONE Aug11 Jul05 Mar18 Feb19 Jan22 (hamm timothy)FELIX E 123 4.50 35% 1.90    
 
BTP-6   08/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE RED SCOOTER Aug18 Aug03 Jul19 Jun20 Jun08 (fernandez edw)DE AZAEL 123 6.00    
SCR  MONKEY ZONE Aug12 Jul26 Jul05 Jun17 May18 (girdley jam)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 3.00 6% 17.10    
FARZIN Aug04 Jul13 Jun17 May18 Apr24 (sandy s)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
PASION AZTECA Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun17   (calderon enriq)CHAVEZ ORIEL 123 30.00    
STOP MAKING SENSE Jul29 Jul12       (overholt paul )REYES R 123 30.00    
SCR  BODIE CODY Jul13 Jun17 May07 Apr29 Mar16 (torres r)FELIX E 123 20.00    
THISPOINTINTIME Aug10 Jul13 Jun28 Jun11 Jun02 (adams l)BRACHO A 119 4.00 68% 0.50    
HOLIDAY DANCER Jul28 Jul13 Jun01 May07 Apr29 (march willia)HALDAR J 123 6.00    
TRADEOFF Aug10 Jul26 Jul05 Jun17   (cline c)OUZTS W 123 5.00    
 
BTP-7   08/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA ROSA Jul20 Jul04 Jun03 May20 Apr13 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 116 10.00    
1A  PARFAIT Jul25 Jul04 Jun03     (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 10.00    
SCR  SONNET Jul13 May10 Apr09     (hamm timothy)FELIX E 116 10.00    
SCR  GOODNESS SAKES Aug12 Jul01 May24 May09   (gorham )PILARES P 122 8.00    
QUEEN CREED Jul28 Jun29 Jun03 Apr27 Apr12 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
CROSSED UP Aug12 Jul20 Jun30 Jun03   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 116 20.00    
R THREE ANGELS Aug13 Jul19 Jun30 Jun20 Jun03 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 120 2.50 27% 2.80    
COPPER BEECH Aug04 Jul15 Jun23 Jun01 May20 (langemeier j)RAMOS D 116 8.00    
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Jul25 Jun06 May10 Apr25 Mar26 (rone mike)MOJICA JR 116 12.00    
STARLIT SECRET Jul07 Jun20 Jun06 May18 Apr28 (rone m)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  WILDCAT LADY Aug04 Jun30 May24     (drury jr)MCKEE J 118 4.00 8% 10.80    
10  LIONISTIC Aug04 Jun20 May18 Apr12 Mar02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 5.00 25% 2.90    
11  THE LAST APPLE Aug04 Jul08 Jun10 May10   (smith larry)OUZTS W 116 30.00    
SCR  EARLY BLOOMER Aug12 Jul19 Jul12 Mar15 Jan19 (barker scott )BRACHO A 122 20.00    
 
BTP-8   08/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRILOBYTE Aug11 Jul04       (sullivan elli)BRACHO A 125 20.00    
NOGRATZ Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 May30   (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
MARYMOTHEROF JESUS Aug16 Jul14 Apr29 Apr08 Mar05 (bush george)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 8.00    
NOBLES FEELINGS Aug09 Jul12       (dailey ronald)RIVERA BRYAN 120 30.00    
SUMMER STORE Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 (thompson dani)LEBRON VICTOR 125 6.00    
SCR  SUMMER AUTUMN ROSE Aug16 Jul21 Jun09 May24 Mar02 (scott ant)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 8.00    
BANNED FROM MIDWAY Jul21 Jul08 Jun26     (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 4.50    
MISSIONARY WORK Aug03 Jul12 Jun17     (caramori caio)REYES R 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
LA CUERVA         (oviedo jose)AYALA ISAIAS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  NEW YEAR'S DELIGHT Jun01 May11       (fontenot daw)HALDAR J 125 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.