Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - July 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS HATTIE Jul08 Jun17 Jun08 May24 May11 (thompson )BETANCOURT RONNEY 123 4.00 ★    
2  SISTER'S GHOST Jul07         (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
3  MISS APPLE PIE Jun24 Jun08       (coyle d)OUZTS W 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  SUDDEN IMPULSE Jul06 May28 Apr22 Apr01 Mar04 (chapman james)CANUTO THIAGO 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  WARIS Jun30 Jun07 May19 Apr26 Apr01 (elliott michel)REYES R 123 3.50 ★    
 
BTP-2   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM MUSIC Jul06 Jun21 May15 Apr13 Mar11 (chapman james)CANUTO THIAGO 113 1.80 51% 1.00    
2  HAIL TO HELEN Jul07 Jun23 Apr28 Apr11 Feb25 (johnston reb)ROMERO GREGORY 123 4.00 ★    
3  MYSTIC MISS Jul08 Jun08 May24 May13 Apr28 (alessi james)MCKEE J 123 3.00 12% 7.00    
4  LADY UNBRIDLED Jul12 Jun23 May26     (cline robert)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 3.50 ★    
5  NAUGHTY NELLIE Jul15 Jun10       (bends p)MOJICA JR 123 5.00 9% 10.20    
 
BTP-3   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKEYE BLING Jun29 Jun10       (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
2  BOX STEP Jul15 Jun23 Jun06 May26 May20 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 3.50 ★    
3  QUEEN CREED Jun29 Jun03 Apr27 Apr12 Mar26 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 116 10.00 19% 4.40    
4  PACIFIC COAST Jun29 Jun03 May04 Mar26   (hamm timothy)FELIX E 116 2.00 ★    
SCR  ANGEL'S SASSY Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May18   (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  I'M LEGIT Jul08 Jun22 Jun03     (melancon paul)BUSH V 123 4.50    
 
BTP-4   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY DREAMS May04 Mar31 Mar12 Feb26   (spicer jame)PETERSON FERRIN 120 5.00 ★    
2  RERALLY Jun22 May26 Mar31 Feb16   (martinez matthew )OUZTS W 120 4.50    
SCR  YANKEE GO HOME Jul03 Apr13 Mar17     (reed r)BRACHO A 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
4  JOE BRRRR Jul19 Jun21 Jun08 May13 Mar20 (chapman james)CANUTO THIAGO 115 3.50 12% 7.40    
5  RARE N READY Jun21 Mar18 Feb23 Feb11 Jan07 (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00    
6  SUPER BROTHER Jun24 Jun02 Apr30     (wilson jr)FELIX E 125 12.00 10% 9.40    
7  TWO BIRDS Jul01 Apr14       (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 2.00 12% 7.50    
 
BTP-5   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($19.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BARRISTER TOM Jun19 Jun05 Feb26     (ewing a)MOJICA JR 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
2  KANTPAYTHETOLL Jun11 May21 May12 Mar04 Feb10 (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.00 14% 6.00    
3  I'M MONEY Jun28 Jun11 May25 May07 Apr19 (short travis)HALDAR J 121 5.00    
SCR  JAMMERS JUSTICE Jul06 Jun03 May03 Apr15   (gonzalez reina)ELLIOTT JANE 121 30.00    
5  ALTERED Jul17 Jun25 May28 May19 Mar24 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 121 12.00    
6  FALCONS FURY Jul12 May20 Apr19     (wilson j)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
7  MAJESTIC VALLEY Jul01 Jun11 Feb12 Jan08   (greenhill jeff)FELIX E 121 15.00 7% 13.00    
8  GIVEMETWENTY Jun27 May24 Apr02     (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 2.50    
9  JERRID         (ashcraft david)OUZTS W 121 10.00 13% 6.50    
 
BTP-6   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN WILL Jan23 Jan09       (reed r)BRACHO A 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  KICK IT CHARLIE Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 May25   (raines lindsey)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 11% 8.00    
3  CUT GLASS Jul21 Jun23 May11 Apr28 Apr04 (cash l)MCKEE J 121 1.60 28% 2.60    
4  BLUEBANK Jul08 Jun28 May22 May13 Mar02 (caramori )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 6.00 ★    
5  JUST CHITU Jul21 Jul05 Jun10 May25   (wilson jr)FELIX E 121 3.50    
6  GREENSPAN Jul15 May14 Apr19     (schlenk jad)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00    
7  PULL ME BACK Jul08 Mar31 Mar02     (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY DANCER Jul13 Jun01 May07 Apr29 Apr08 (march william)MCKEE J 123 6.00 ★    
2  NOPICKINONCHARLIE Jun28 Jun01 May21     (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 10.00    
SCR  THISPOINTINTIME Jul13 Jun28 Jun11 Jun02 Mar25 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 68% 0.50    
4  PASION AZTECA Jul13 Jun17       (calderon enriq)CHAVEZ ORIEL 123 30.00    
SCR  GOOD FIRST Jun11 May07       (anderson l)FELIX E 123 3.50 9% 10.70    
6  NASHCHETTA Jun30 Jun08 May13 May04 Jan02 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 118 4.00 ★    
7  CINDY'S STORM Jul12 Jun24 Jun08 May25 May13 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 15.00    
8  SAVING MAMA Jul12 Jun28 Jun17 May18 May03 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 5.00 ★    
 
BTP-8   07/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRAGON DREW Jul06 Jun16 Mar25 Feb18 Jan23 (anderson l)FELIX E 121 3.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  UNDER THE COUVERS Jun24 May21 Mar31 Feb18 Jan22 (anderson l)FELIX E 121 3.50    
2  TAOS Jul15 Jun03 May08 Mar05 Feb18 (paquette raym)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  WAR ACT Jun21 Jun11 Apr27 Apr02 Mar05 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 6.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  PERCENTAGE Jul19 Jun02 May11 Apr29 Mar10 (antonuik je)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00    
5  FREE SPEECH Jun25 Jun08 May31 Apr28 Mar31 (sullivan ellio)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NORTH ELKHORN Jun21 May31 Apr29 Mar31 Mar18 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 121 12.00    
7  AUNT IRENE Jul01 May19 Apr28 Apr01 Mar04 (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 116 8.00    
8  NO BANG NO BOOM (IRE) Jun28 Jun11 May24 May11 Apr13 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
9  WINGING WAYS Jul21 Jun24 Jun11 May28 May08 (martinez carlo)MCKEE J 121 8.00    
SCR  ARMY SCOUT Jul15 Jul05 Jun21 Jun02 May19 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.