Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   05/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACKGROUND May01 Apr02 Mar13 Feb20   (puh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPRAWL Feb19 Jan22       (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  HENLEY'S JOY Apr16 Mar12       (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 124 4.00    
SCR  FENWICK STATION Apr22 Mar19 Feb10 Jan13   (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 126 3.00    
SCR  BIG DREAMING Feb19         (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  ADMISSION OFFICE         (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
7  PIRATE'S PUNCH Apr13 Feb26 Jan22     (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 ★    
8  SILVER DUST         (calhoun will)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 2.50    
 
CD-2   05/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHACKLESFLY         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 ★    
2  HEARNS Apr20 Feb17       (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 11% 8.10    
3  CONGRATS TO MI May13 Apr20       (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00    
4  EAST OF INDIA         (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 ★    
5  LAKE TAHOE May01 Apr10 Feb21 Jan08   (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 60% 0.70    
6  MAKE MY OWN LUCK Jan22         (burton roger)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
7  JOYFUL CANDY May03 Mar13       (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.50 9% 10.30    
 
CD-3   05/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWHEAD         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40    
1A  LES BON TEMPS         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.40 56% 0.80    
2  FUN MONEY         (arnold george)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.00    
3  CHIQUITA MOSCA         (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SONG OF STORMS         (faircloth )VILLASANA CARLOS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MO BONITA         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.60    
6  CATHERINE BLAZE         (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 ★    
7  FRANGO ELECTRICO         (bahena ismael)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-4   05/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELIEVING (IRE) Apr16 Feb12       (blair jor)LEPAROUX R 124 5.00    
SCR  LIZY D Apr16 Mar26 Jan16     (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
3  CHAMPAGNE SISTER         (mcpeek kennet)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 10.00    
SCR  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) May12 Apr20 Mar25 Jan13   (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  BELLA CONCHITA Apr27 Mar24 Feb24     (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  STRONG EMBRACE May06 Apr08 Mar12 Feb09   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  FLORIS May03 Apr10       (duvall e)COURT K 124 20.00    
8  DONYA KNOW IT Feb11         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 10.00    
SCR  HAL'S DREAM Mar05 Feb05       (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00    
10  WORLD OF WONDER Apr28 Feb03 Jan06     (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
11  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Apr28 Feb18 Jan20     (wiggins lon)DIAZ RENE 111 3.00    
12  IPSUM GRATUS Apr08 Feb20 Jan28     (van thomas)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 ★    
 
CD-5   05/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE E May06         (huffman )SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
2  SHA GIRL         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 ★    
3  LADYBELUCKY Mar10         (kenneally eddie)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 18% 4.60    
4  LAMASCO         (luce nichole)COURT K 118 12.00    
5  TWENTYTWENTY HOAX May14         (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00 6% 14.50    
6  LITTLE MOMBO Apr07 Feb26 Jan23     (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 118 0.80 55% 0.80    
7  DIVINE HOPE         (taylor br)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 ★    
 
CD-6   05/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANCIENT BROWN Apr27 Apr14 Feb20 Jan23 Jan01 (humphries th)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
SCR  ESPECIALLY YOU Apr27 Mar14 Feb19 Jan14   (shifflett cheryl)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
3  DELTA GAMMA CATS Apr30 Apr13 Mar19 Mar04 Jan29 (west w)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 ★    
4  SUMMER STORM May01 Feb25 Jan14     (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 ★    
5  DESTINY'S DARLING May10 Apr27 Apr13     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 15.00    
SCR  FRILLS Apr30 Apr13 Mar26     (leitch dan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.80 47% 1.10    
7  INVALUABLE May01 Apr01 Jan30 Jan23   (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50 6% 15.10    
SCR  A LOT OF SPUNK Apr30 Apr13 Mar06 Feb24 Feb03 (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
9  COPPER CHARM Apr26 Mar31 Mar11 Feb11 Jan11 (ham)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 5.00 19% 4.10    
10  DULCIMER DAME May10 Apr27 Mar26 Mar02 Jan14 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
 
CD-7   05/26/2022 7260ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R CALLI KIM Apr23         (bennett ge)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
2  QUEEN BOURBON May07 Apr15 Feb26     (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 10% 8.70    
3  DESIGNER READY Apr23         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00    
4  GOOD MEASURE Apr01 Feb25 Jan16     (motion g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 20.00    
5  SCARABEA Apr16 Apr02 Jan29     (sisterson)LEPAROUX R 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  MY SWEET STORY         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 20.00    
SCR  THREE TIPSY CHIX Apr27 Feb25       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 12.00    
SCR  ENSEMBLE (IRE) Apr23         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 5.00    
SCR  STEPPER May07 Apr14 Mar05     (drury thomas)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 17% 4.80    
10  MET IN MIAMI Apr27 Mar25 Feb20 Jan07   (motion graham)GRAHAM J 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  SECOND ROW CENTER         (kobiskie )HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
12  MALIBU MARLEE May13 May03 Feb10     (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 30.00    
13  HIGH FASHION May03 Feb18 Jan09     (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
CD-8   05/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BROTHER CAM May07 Jan07       (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★    
2  CALIPARI Jan08         (brisset )SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
3  RERALLY Mar31 Feb16       (martinez matt)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
4  SEVEN FLAT Apr07 Jan29       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  HESTON Apr22 Feb19       (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 15.00 10% 9.50    
6  LUCKMAN May05 Apr16 Mar03 Jan22   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 ★    
7  MY FAVORITE UNCLE Apr30 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
8  SCATTERSHACK May03 Apr22 Mar12 Feb16 Jan07 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
9  BIG REDWHITEBLUE         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE Apr30 Apr07 Mar12     (combs bentley)GILLIGAN JACK 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.