Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   04/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24.22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITH THATBEINGSAID Mar11 Feb15 Jan21     (nelson amy)GARCIA F 122 2.50 ★    
2  AVA K'S GIRL         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50    
3  HOLY TUTTA BELLA Apr06 Mar11       (campo stacy)CORBETT W 122 6.00 31% 2.30    
4  SHIP'S CREEK Mar24 Mar11 Feb03     (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
5  MONGOLIAN ROSE Mar24 Mar11 Feb09     (barraza s)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 11% 8.10    
6  YELLOW DRESS         (metz jeffrey)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
TUP-2   04/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.006K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL LATIGO Apr02 Mar26 Mar13 Mar01 Feb09 (lavanway da)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 4.00    
SCR  MR NAVIGATOR Mar17 Feb21 Jan27 Jan13 Jan04 (silva rodri)SCRIVER L 124 3.50 ★    
3  SPENDAHOLIC Jan18         (wong jonathan)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  FATHER O'FLAHERTY         (metz jeffrey)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 3.00 ★    
5  GOLDEN TIGER Apr11 Mar25 Mar14 Mar01 Jan18 (stubblefield ken)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
6  TIME TO ZOOM Mar26 Feb27 Feb15 Feb02 Jan11 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 16% 5.40    
 
TUP-3   04/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21.7K) 3 ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINNESOTA RED Mar23 Mar02 Jan24     (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
2  THIRSTY KISS Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 Jan20   (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
3  RIVER KAT Mar14         (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00    
4  BENISSIMO Apr06 Mar13 Feb27 Jan30   (evans justin)ZUNINO L 121 3.00 ★    
5  SWEET SAVANT Mar23 Feb13 Jan22     (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 28% 2.50    
6  RESULTANT Mar23 Jan24       (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   04/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.998K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUARDING ELK CAMP Apr08 Mar23 Mar02 Feb08 Jan20 (valerio raymond)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 28% 2.50    
2  A DIME FOR ME Mar23 Mar14 Feb18 Jan28   (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 0.80 ★    
3  LOVELY LINDA Apr08 Mar22 Feb28 Feb08 Jan14 (asprino a)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CHICKS DIG MUNNY Mar30 Mar21 Mar07 Feb08 Jan13 (gale bryce)SCRIVER L 124 10.00 16% 5.30    
5  SUBTLE RIDE Feb28 Feb18 Jan21 Jan12 Jan04 (cox sammi)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
6  SWEET HONOR Apr08 Mar23 Mar14 Mar02 Feb14 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 124 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-5   04/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.612K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRINNI SUNSET Mar31 Mar22 Mar08 Feb09 Jan20 (fearon johna)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 12.00 ★    
2  WIN LIKE COACH P Mar16 Feb09 Jan21     (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 8% 12.10    
3  TROPHY CHEST Apr03 Mar20 Mar05 Feb21   (ybarra rudy)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00    
4  AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH Mar31 Jan19 Jan04     (jensen lo)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
5  RANDOM PLEASURE Mar22 Feb09 Jan21     (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 ★    
6  INFO'S TREASURE Mar22 Feb09 Jan21 Jan07   (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
7  RED BOTTOM REBEL Apr06 Mar11       (gann sandi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 0.60 47% 1.10    
 
TUP-6   04/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECOND BOLD Apr01 Mar21 Mar07     (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
2  POPPY'S C NOTE Apr02 Mar19 Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 (madrigal )VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
3  ROWDYROOSTER Apr04 Mar16 Feb24 Jan12   (wong jonathan)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 9% 10.40    
4  CLUB CHAMP Apr01 Mar01 Feb16 Jan18   (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
5  SOUTH FRESNO Apr05 Mar07 Feb14 Jan25 Jan06 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 25% 3.10    
6  PRICE TO PAY Apr05 Feb22 Feb10 Jan17   (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
7  TOP ROCKET Apr11 Mar17 Feb28 Feb07 Jan24 (evans justin)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
8  VALLEY WILDCAT Apr06 Mar18 Feb08 Jan13   (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
TUP-7   04/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.644K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE WHEN READY Mar18 Feb24 Jan31     (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 72% 0.40    
2  LOLLY EXPRESS Apr05 Feb16 Jan31 Jan05   (bullene mic)SCRIVER L 122 3.50 ★    
3  KING PARKER Apr04 Mar10 Mar01 Feb18 Jan18 (saldana reed)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 ★    
4  SHOTGUN RIDER Mar31 Mar10 Feb15 Jan28 Jan17 (bullene m)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
5  START A RUNNIN Mar30 Mar10 Feb01 Jan02   (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 ★    
6  OUR DANDY'S BOY Mar25 Mar04 Jan31     (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 122 15.00    
7  OSTINI Mar16 Jan19       (weaver gord)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 15.00    
8  GORDY'S RULES Apr04 Mar17 Feb22 Feb03 Jan25 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 6% 14.40    
 
TUP-8   04/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEORGIAN ROAD Apr04 Mar14 Mar07 Feb11 Jan26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
2  HARROVIAN Mar25 Mar11 Feb08 Jan26 Jan10 (villamar cand)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 6.00    
3  SIR DEPUTY Apr03 Mar18 Mar09 Jan17   (wong jonath)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  SUNLAND STAR Apr03 Mar20 Mar05 Feb16 Jan31 (blea jr)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
5  WHENDUCKSFLY         (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 ★    
6  D K'S CROWN Mar06 Feb12       (fales ral)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  J J'S CROWN Mar31 Jan17       (eikleberry )SCRIVER L 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.