Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/14/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3 ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTORNEY LOUIS         (lucarelli f)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00 9% 10.20    
2  KEARNEY Apr04 Mar14 Jan12     (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.60 38% 1.60    
3  HANNIGAN Mar14 Jan28       (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 121 3.50 ★    
4  TANGLED THOUGHTS Mar18         (mccartney jack)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 ★    
5  EZ GUESS Mar22 Mar01       (dennison da)SCRIVER L 121 5.00    
6  PHANTOM MAC         (eikleberry ke)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
TUP-4   04/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER WOMAN Apr05 Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 (blea jr)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
2  CAMEO SHORES Mar18 Mar09 Feb21 Feb11   (gale bryce)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
3  DOUBLE DARE YOU Apr05 Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 Jan14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
4  MY FUNNY GAL Mar22 Mar01 Jan20     (si)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
5  MAYBEE A DIVA Mar27 Mar13 Feb25 Jan25 Jan04 (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 ★    
6  MY EXPRESSION Mar15 Feb08 Jan28     (fulmer dr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
7  TWIRLY GIRL Apr02 Mar28 Mar16 Feb08 Jan21 (nelson amy)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   04/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUHM'S CANDY BOY Apr07 Mar03 Feb21 Feb01   (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  ARDIE THE LEGEND Mar15 Feb20       (morgan dan)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
3  TRUTH TO POWER Mar14 Feb24 Jan16 Jan07   (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
4  DEPUTY KNIGHT Mar10 Feb14 Jan24     (o'brie)FLETCHER D 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
5  SHARP'S FLASH Mar10 Feb14 Jan10     (sharp j)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 ★    
6  LUCKY CHAMP Apr07 Mar14 Feb21 Jan07   (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
SCR  HOT SOUP Apr08 Mar30       (christian b)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 9% 9.70    
 
TUP-6   04/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.99K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT EDITION Mar14 Jan21 Jan07     (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 122 8.00    
2  DR GS SWEETIE Mar22 Mar08 Feb08 Jan20   (barrio se)VALENZUELA A 118 5.00    
3  TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE Mar27 Mar19 Mar05 Feb24 Jan30 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 4.00 ★    
4  KEEPINMYPROMISE Mar30 Mar14 Feb22 Feb04 Jan14 (hjort donna)MAWING A 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
5  GONE QUICK Mar31 Mar11 Jan18 Jan07   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
6  FANCY GI GI Mar21 Mar02       (gangidino l)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 12.00    
7  AQUINAS Jan18         (metz jeffrey)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 10.00 ★    
8  WISHFUL WON Mar31 Mar05 Feb25 Jan25 Jan07 (homer jason)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.50 30% 2.40    
 
TUP-7   04/14/2022 7260ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($32.41K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Feb11 Jan28 Jan14     (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
2  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Mar16 Mar04 Feb18 Jan11   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  GIANT PAYDAY Mar11 Feb11       (ji)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  ZUMURUDEE Mar11 Jan14       (moreno edgar)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
5  CIBERTRUCK Mar30 Mar07 Feb18 Jan25 Jan06 (stevens satch)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 12.00 ★    
SCR  MY INDY Mar11 Feb11 Jan28 Jan12   (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 122 1.40 34% 1.90    
7  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Apr05 Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Jan06 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   04/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.92K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE ONE Apr04 Mar23 Mar14 Feb20 Jan23 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 3.50    
2  MISAWA Mar21 Mar10 Feb18 Feb04 Jan24 (rarick wade)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
3  CURLING SECRET Mar28 Mar18       (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 118 12.00    
4  AMERICAN BUDDHA Mar24 Feb16 Jan03     (pe)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 69% 0.50    
5  BUDDY NINER         (sharp mar)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 ★    
6  YEROSILVERBIZ Mar24 Feb10       (wise a)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 ★    
7  GOLDEN STAR ROCK Mar24         (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 ★    
8  LARRY'S LEGEND Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Jan03   (barraza s)MAWING A 124 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.