Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-4   04/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISPUTED Mar21 Mar08 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 (chavez artu)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 15.00 10% 9.20    
2  SOUTH FRESNO Mar07 Feb14 Jan25 Jan06   (silva j)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 20% 3.90    
3  SWAGSATIONAL Mar07 Feb17 Jan31 Jan18   (belvoir vann)MAWING A 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
4  APPROVED Mar01         (wong jonath)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  ROYAL SEEKER Mar18 Mar09 Mar01 Feb14 Jan26 (evans justin)ZUNINO L 124 4.00    
6  PRICE TO PAY Feb22 Feb10 Jan17     (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 124 5.00 ★    
7  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Jan26 Jan12       (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
 
TUP-5   04/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.99K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAZZY EINSTEIN Feb16 Feb08       (finch sherr)SCRIVER L 122 10.00    
2  ROBYNS LUCKYLIZARD Mar15         (valdez-cabral m)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
3  KANDI SPUN Mar21 Mar07 Jan25 Jan13   (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 6% 15.10    
4  LOVE YA MOST Mar07 Feb09 Jan18 Jan04   (wolf ashl)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
SCR  RATIONAL Feb16 Jan21 Jan07     (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 ★    
6  PRINCESS SOIREE Mar10 Feb16 Feb03 Jan24 Jan07 (evans justin)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 9% 9.60    
7  SAYITALL Mar10 Feb25 Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   04/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.43K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER WOMAN Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 Jan12 (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 ★    
2  BULLY BABY Mar14 Feb21 Jan21 Jan06   (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  CARRIE'S SUCCESS Mar14 Feb15 Jan28     (rumsey cory)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  TICK TOCK Mar17 Mar07 Feb15 Jan28 Jan20 (hernandez l)GARCIA F 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
5  AROUSE N GO Mar15 Feb22 Feb11 Feb01 Jan20 (wise a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
6  DOUBLE DARE YOU Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 Jan14   (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
7  STONE TOP Jan27         (buechler si)SCRIVER L 122 10.00 10% 9.30    
8  SECOND GRACE Mar07 Feb03 Jan03     (pierce michael )VERGARA P 122 3.50    
 
TUP-7   04/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3 F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLACK BELT GINNY         (bratcher ry)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00    
2  HEAVEN CAN WAIT         (perkinson cc)LEAHEY HANNAH 116 12.00    
3  DOGWOOD COVE         (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 8.00    
4  AWESOME LADY Mar21 Mar08 Jan08     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
5  COME CORRECT Feb21         (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 15.00    
6  BALAS Mar17 Feb24 Feb14 Jan24 Jan12 (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
7  ROUSING YOU BABE Mar06 Feb11 Jan22 Jan08   (kenney dan)CORBETT W 121 3.50 23% 3.30    
8  SAVAGE LOVE Mar15 Feb11 Jan22 Jan01   (schnell don)SCRIVER L 121 4.50    
9  SEENEVA THE CAT Mar17 Feb24 Feb09 Jan19   (mcdaniel )VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
10  SHE'S NOT TO BLAME         (perkinson c)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 8% 12.30    
11  ARIZONA BREW Mar24 Feb09 Jan31     (nelson amy)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   04/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($32.41K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICKEY B Feb28 Feb10 Jan27 Jan12   (hernandez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
2  CHASING FAME Mar09 Feb17 Feb03     (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
3  DARNQUICK Mar11 Mar02 Feb14 Jan19   (rogers d)LINDSAY CHAD 122 3.00    
4  RACE HOME Mar11 Mar02       (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
5  STONE CARVER Mar02 Feb14       (rycroft tim)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
6  CENTRAL PARK         (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 30% 2.30    
7  GREEK GEEK Mar02         (rycroft tim)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
SCR  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Mar27 Feb14 Jan29 Jan19 Jan10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 ★    
9  MR PAYTIENCE Mar11 Feb17 Jan29 Jan01   (hone bart)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
 
TUP-9   04/05/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.644K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL GLITTER Mar16 Jan25 Jan07     (wong jonathan)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
2  LOLLY EXPRESS Feb16 Jan31 Jan05     (bullene mic)SCRIVER L 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  BLOW MY MIND Mar14 Mar01 Feb08     (barraza ra)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
4  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Mar07 Feb15 Jan25 Jan06   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  OSTINI Mar16 Jan19       (weaver gord)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 15.00 7% 13.50    
6  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Mar18 Jan31 Jan05     (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
7  BOB'S ALL IN Mar18 Mar04 Feb16 Jan31 Jan11 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  GO FOR A RIDE Mar23 Feb18 Feb03     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.