Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - March 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   03/31/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHFUL WON Mar05 Feb25 Jan25 Jan07   (homer jason)SCRIVER L 122 12.00    
SCR  PERKY BRUNETTE Mar07 Feb09 Jan18     (story )FLETCHER D 122 5.00 8% 11.80    
3  SHES GOT THE POWER Mar07 Feb16 Jan24 Jan07   (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  LEXOPHILIA Mar17 Feb22 Jan15     (gutierrez juan )LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 ★    
5  DIRT FLIRT Jan30         (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 122 2.00 ★    
6  EARLYNTHEMORN Mar07 Feb11 Jan19     (o'brien debbie)VERGARA P 122 5.00 31% 2.30    
 
TUP-3   03/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONGOFTHEDESERT Mar16 Mar07 Feb03     (wong jonathan)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  MY LITTLE RIVER Mar16 Mar01       (williams de)SCRIVER L 124 5.00    
3  ABRAA JABRAA Mar17 Feb27 Feb14 Jan17   (nelson amy)MAWING A 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
4  SUMMER LOVE Jan21         (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
5  INEEDAMANIANDAPEDI Mar22 Mar01 Feb11     (carrete j)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 ★    
6  SUNRISE IN THE BAR Mar16 Mar02       (barra)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 3.50 ★    
7  TOP LADY MARGIE Mar10 Feb22       (salinas linda)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   03/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.99K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFF THE BOOKS Mar21 Mar07 Jan28 Jan10   (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 ★    
2  BUBBA BAY         (o'brie)FLETCHER D 122 12.00 9% 9.90    
3  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Mar17 Feb09 Jan17     (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.00 15% 5.90    
4  THEY'RE GRRREAT Mar09 Jan31 Jan19     (lucarelli fr)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 6.00    
5  LITIGATOR Mar17 Mar09 Jan26 Jan14   (blea j)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00 13% 6.60    
6  TWILIGHT RIDER Mar17 Mar09 Feb17 Jan31 Jan18 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  STANLEY RYDER Mar17 Mar09 Feb02 Jan24   (toye joe)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 8.00    
 
TUP-5   03/31/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.92K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XYLOPHONE Mar22 Feb02 Jan14     (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 ★    
2  DADDY'S GIRL Mar08         (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 124 3.00 10% 8.90    
3  FIONA BAY Mar09         (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
4  BONITA DIXIE Mar08 Feb08 Jan07     (barrio sergi)YBARRA MICHAEL 118 8.00 ★    
5  CURIOUS INJI Mar03 Jan27 Jan05     (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
6  CANTERBURY GOLD Mar08 Jan19 Jan05     (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 3.50    
 
TUP-6   03/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10.612K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR ON TOP Mar09 Feb18 Feb04 Jan20 Jan03 (toye joe)LEAHEY HANNAH 119 10.00    
2  WAR MAIDEN Mar09 Feb21 Feb04 Jan14   (nelson am)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 4.50 ★    
3  GONE QUICK Mar11 Jan18 Jan07     (metz jeffrey)CIVACI SAHIN 124 2.50 5% 17.50    
4  GRAN MANNA Mar22 Mar08 Feb18 Feb08   (garcia gene)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
5  FOUR SCORE Mar16 Feb21 Jan27 Jan13   (stubblefiel)SCRIVER L 124 3.50 11% 8.50    
6  TRINNI SUNSET Mar22 Mar08 Feb09 Jan20   (fearon john)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
7  SPECIAL LESSON Mar16 Mar01 Feb10 Jan04   (stevens sa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
8  AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH Jan19 Jan04       (jensen lo)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 36% 1.80    
 
TUP-7   03/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($32.41K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST PUNCH Mar04 Jan19       (owens kory)LINDSAY CHAD 122 6.00    
2  RED NOON RISING Mar15 Feb02 Jan06     (toye joe)MAWING A 122 8.00    
3  SENORADIABLO Feb02         (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  BURNADEBT Mar04 Jan21 Jan03     (owens kor)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
5  COPPER CHARM Mar11 Feb11 Jan11     (hernandez migue)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  SEMI SWEET Feb02         (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 3.50 8% 11.90    
7  DANCE SHOES Jan27         (brown r)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
 
TUP-8   03/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.644K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTLAW Mar14 Feb28 Feb03     (evans just)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.50    
2  STACKIN SILVER Feb26 Feb02 Jan10     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  MAJOR MUNNINGS Mar22 Mar01 Feb01     (schnell don)SCRIVER L 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
4  SHOTGUN RIDER Mar10 Feb15 Jan28 Jan17 Jan03 (bullene m)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 ★    
5  J J'S CROWN Jan17         (eikleberry kevin)GARCIA F 122 6.00 ★    
6  SWAY ROAD         (chattong vi)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00    
7  CROOKED FINGER RAY Feb15 Jan05       (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
8  LEADING SCORE Mar17 Feb14       (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.