Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - March 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   03/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.43K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAR GIANT Feb21         (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  HOTFOOT (GB) Feb28 Feb17 Jan05     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 38% 1.70    
3  ALL AMERICAN HERO Mar07 Jan18       (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
4  WAKE UP CALL Mar17 Feb10 Jan04     (williams ma)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  BIBLEMAN Feb28 Feb01 Jan05     (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
6  CAPTAIN SCOTTY Feb28 Jan10       (ortiz s)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-2   03/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAZEN NOW Mar09 Jan28       (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 1.60 26% 2.90    
2  WIND RIVER Feb22 Jan20       (gleason m)MAWING A 124 2.50 10% 9.50    
3  DRISKILL Mar01 Feb08 Jan13     (villamar c)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  JOKERIN         (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 ★    
5  LA CAPRICHOSA Mar16 Feb16 Feb08 Jan20   (silva jose )NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 15.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   03/28/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($25.48K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLITE GRAHAM Mar04 Feb21 Jan18     (wong jonath)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★    
2  HEIR (FR) Mar07 Jan28 Jan12     (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
3  RONAMO Feb28 Jan22       (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
4  LAUNCH PAD Mar07 Feb18 Feb01 Jan06   (brown r)CRUZ M 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
5  CERNAN Mar15 Feb21 Jan28     (matt l)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 9% 9.60    
6  MAKE ME BLUSH         (rarick wad)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00    
7  VINTAGE KITTEN Mar07 Jan06       (vitali marcu)SERRANO KEIVAN 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
TUP-4   03/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANY GIVEN NITE         (rarick wad)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 6.00 ★    
2  IMAROYALFLUSH Feb08         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 12.00 11% 8.40    
3  FROG WALKER Mar07         (martinez a)LINDSAY CHAD 121 20.00    
4  MR LOVE MUFFIN Mar07 Feb22 Jan20     (mccartn)CAMACHO JESUS 121 8.00    
5  HASTA LA VISTA Mar07 Feb15 Feb01 Jan10   (person kenn)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00    
6  PRETTY LOUD Mar12 Mar02 Feb15 Feb01 Jan24 (silva juan )MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.00 46% 1.20    
7  CURLING SECRET Mar18         (evans justin)ZUNINO L 121 2.50 12% 7.10    
8  DAREABIGDREAM Mar07 Feb22 Jan28 Jan12   (chambers mike)MAWING A 121 3.50 ★    
9  DON DANIEL Mar02 Feb01 Jan15     (silva jose )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 10.00    
 
TUP-5   03/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.888K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENS RANSOM Mar08 Feb09 Jan26 Jan06   (stevens sa)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00    
2  MIST OONA B Mar08 Feb14 Jan19     (toye joe)CONNING CRYSTAL 118 8.00    
3  DAZZLING MIST Feb04         (mendoza el)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 ★    
4  ADRIENNE'S PROGENY Jan07         (leon priscilla)CARTER KYLE 124 12.00 26% 2.80    
5  SMOOTH RITHMS Mar16 Feb28 Feb09 Jan27   (ortiz s)CIVACI SAHIN 124 1.60 ★    
6  BIG BLUE NOTE Mar04 Jan06       (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  CRIMINAL RECORD Mar16 Feb24       (asprino a)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 6.00    
8  BARBARIUS Feb11 Jan27 Jan07     (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   03/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.612K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLY GIRL Mar16 Feb08 Jan21 Jan12   (nelson amy)GARCIA F 124 15.00    
2  IKNOWYOURFACE Mar14 Feb11 Jan21     (bulle)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 8.00 7% 12.50    
3  SHARMEL Feb22 Feb11 Jan28 Jan05   (esquibel mar)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  MONGOLIAN EMPIRE Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 Jan20 Jan04 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 ★    
5  STARLIGHT TWIST Mar14 Feb28 Feb11 Jan24   (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 4.50 11% 8.20    
6  BONITA RAPIDS Mar15 Feb28 Feb18 Jan05   (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
7  WILLING TO BURN Mar14 Feb28 Feb11 Jan12   (ke)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00    
8  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Mar08 Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 Jan04 (birdwell te)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50    
 
TUP-7   03/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($25.13K) 3 F PT- 7:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONEFINEDAY Mar04 Jan23 Jan10     (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 8% 11.10    
2  WHISTLING HOME Feb07         (story chad)GARCIA F 121 4.00 47% 1.10    
3  ADDYDIDIT Mar15 Mar04 Feb21 Jan30 Jan08 (evans justin)CIVACI SAHIN 121 5.00    
4  FIRST PROMISE Mar04 Feb16 Jan28 Jan10   (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 7% 13.60    
5  I AM YOURS Mar04 Feb06 Jan14     (wong jonathan)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
6  SECRET HAVEN Feb16         (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 121 12.00    
7  MISSCZECH Mar11 Feb10 Jan12     (jimenez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.50 14% 6.00    
8  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Mar04         (silva jos)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   03/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILA RITA         (loftin linda)ZUNINO L 124 20.00    
2  MISTY MATT         (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 30% 2.30    
3  LOTSA LENA Feb24 Feb04 Jan07     (moore john )SCRIVER L 124 6.00 ★    
4  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Feb24 Feb15       (mccartn)CAMACHO JESUS 124 4.50    
5  O SHUGAH MINT Mar09 Jan25 Jan06     (gleason m)CORBETT W 124 3.50 8% 10.90    
6  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF Mar12 Feb24 Jan06     (simpson sh)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00    
7  TAHOE BLUE Feb24 Feb10 Jan26     (elston bren)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 10.00    
8  WICKENBURG Mar08         (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 118 20.00    
9  MISS REBEKAH Mar17 Jan26 Jan06     (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
10  GOTCHA JENNY         (hodgson barry)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
SCR  AWESOME LADY Mar21 Mar08 Jan08     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.