Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - February 27, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (8/6/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/10)-(8/6/4/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/10)-(8/6/4/3/10)-(8/6/4/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/4/10)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/10)-(1/2/5)-(7/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(7/4/1)-(6/8/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(6/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(6/8/7)-(6/10/7/4/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(6/10/7/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7)-(6/10/7/4/2)-(1/7/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/10/7/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/7/4/2)-(6/10/7/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/7/4/2)-(6/10/7/4/2)-(6/10/7/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/7/4/2)-(1/7/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/10/7/4/2)-(1/7/3/4)-(1/4/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4)-(1/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/3/4)-(1/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/4)-(1/4/6/2)-(5/8/9/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2/8)-(1/4/6/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/6/2)-(5/8/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/2)-(5/8/9/1/7)-(7/9/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/8/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/1/7)-(5/8/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/1/7)-(5/8/9/1/7)-(5/8/9/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/9/1/7)-(7/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/2)-(7/9/12/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/2)-(7/9/12/2)-(7/9/12/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/27/2026 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG LOUS MESSENGER Dec19 Feb06 Dec19     (hemingway mich)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
2  UDIDN'TPAY Jan10 Apr27 Apr02 Mar14 Mar02 (ashmore m)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
3  CARAVAGGIO'S SONG Jan14 Dec19 Oct18 Sep13 Jul13 (pimental john )CASTANON L 121 4.50 ★    
4  SOUND IT OUT Jan30 Nov22 Nov02 Aug20 Aug03 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 6.00 7% 12.50    
5  FOREVER AGAIN Jan04 Dec20 Nov28 Jul05 May08 (alanis franci)PANAIJO JORGE 119 20.00    
6  LADY FROST Jan28 Jan07 Dec12 Sep22 Apr06 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
7  JERSEY JOYCE Jan28 Jan03 Sep27 Sep13 Jul20 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 123 5.00    
8  MONA L Feb15 Jan23 Jan03 Mar30 Feb08 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
9  MICHAELA Oct17 Sep20 Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 (pompay t)MARTINEZ A 119 20.00    
10  SOHO NIGHTS Nov04 Oct22 Sep15 Aug07 Jul13 (dixon)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   02/27/2026 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALBUS Nov29 Oct16       (mott riley)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.00 42% 1.40    
  (by STUDENT COUNCIL out of HELAINE'S HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
2  ARGENT HEIR         (pletcher todd )MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.60 22% 3.60    
  (by SILVER STATE out of FIRSTHAND REPORT by BLAME)
3  MO BEACH TIME Feb07 Jan18 Sep18 Aug09 Jul21 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 119 20.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
4  SEVEN RAGS Feb08 Dec16 Nov18 Nov03   (birdwell ten)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PERFECT SEVEN by SMART STRIKE)
5  WOODSTER Jan02 Nov15 Sep13     (mott i)CENTENO E 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LADY ESME by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  WORKINCLASSKID         (mckanas leon)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of LA CARA BONITA by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR  SUJO Jan16         (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SECRETARIAT HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
TAM-3   02/27/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOOPTHEREITIS Feb06 Jan11 Dec27 Dec12 Nov19 (castillo michelle)HO WESLEY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHARLIE'S BEAUTY Feb06 Jan18 Nov29 Nov07 Oct17 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00    
3  LA GATA SALVAJE Feb18 Feb01 Dec26 Dec17 Nov19 (birdwell tena)LEON A 118 15.00    
4  MT. D'ORO Feb12 Jan30 Jan11 Dec17 Oct07 (simone v)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  UNICYCLE Feb05 Jan23 Jan14 Dec17 Nov22 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 122 6.00    
6  CAPTURED DARLING Feb08 Jan25 Jan18 Jan07 Dec05 (vargas jo)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 8.00    
7  OPPOSITE THE CROWD Feb18 Jan17 Dec04 Jul17 Jun19 (baez n)COTTO L 120 1.60 56% 0.80    
 
TAM-4   02/27/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS Jul21 Jul04 May29 Apr11 Mar13 (mcburney patri)GIL CIPRIANO 120 6.00    
2  COLLECTED DREAMS Jan30 Dec19 Nov22 Sep12 Aug30 (mcgoey monica)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 15.00    
SCR  BETTER HAVE CASH Jan30 Dec03 Oct01 Sep18 Mar28 (alessi james)CASIQUE UBARDO 120 30.00    
4  ADJUST MY HALO Feb04 Jan11 May30 May03 Apr12 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 120 15.00    
SCR  MOONSCAPE Feb21 Feb08 Jan16 Sep04 Aug13 (baez n)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00    
6  MAGALA Feb08 Jan25 Jan03 Nov22 Oct26 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 124 1.40 39% 1.60    
7  SECURITYLIGHTNING Jan30 Jan02 Sep06 Jul27 Jun14 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 120 12.00 6% 16.50    
8  MAMA DRAMA Feb06 Jan09 Jul18 Jun27 Apr13 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 19% 4.20    
 
TAM-5   02/27/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANQUILA RUBY Feb15 Sep06 Aug24 Aug17 Aug04 (alanis franci)MORALES ANGEL 120 30.00    
2  NANA MOON Feb04 Jan11 Apr23 Apr05 Mar26 (ellebrac)MARTINEZ A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  FULL EXCHANGE Feb01 Jan16 May03 Mar16 Feb21 (laurin ro)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 113 8.00    
4  STARSHIP KIT KAT Feb13 Nov26 Nov17 Oct22 Oct08 (ferraro m )MEJIAS A 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  QUEEN OF SPIRITS Feb13 Feb01 Jan03 Dec20 Nov28 (goodwin g)HESS SARA 122 3.50    
6  THAT THING YOU DO Feb13 Feb04 Oct21 Oct11 Sep27 (ochoa gerard)GIL CIPRIANO 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
7  PRINCESS HONOR Feb04 Jan11 Dec27 Dec10 Sep19 (lopez rach)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  QUEENOFALLMYDREAMS Feb13 Jan31 Nov17 Nov05 Oct22 (ciaio charle)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
9  DARK WIND Feb04 Jan11 Dec19 Nov29 Sep10 (lusk r)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 10.00    
10  JENN SWEET JENN Feb01 Jan11 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
11  QUEENS DIPLOMAT Jan11 Dec19 Nov29 Oct05 Sep14 (gardea abraha)ROJAS MARTINA 122 30.00    
12  SUNNY MONDAY Feb21 Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 May03 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
SCR  MISS UPROAR Aug24 Jul30 Jul06 Jun04 May09 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00    
 
TAM-6   02/27/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNWRITTEN RULE Feb05         (proctor thomas)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
2  GO SIMPLE Jan24 Dec06 Sep09 Aug13 Jul07 (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 118 15.00    
3  BALL OF FIRE Jan24 Nov08 Oct03 Aug30   (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 8% 11.40    
4  SUPER KICK Jan24 Dec06 Oct25 Sep18 Jul21 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LEFTNATEAWALKIN Jan24 Oct13 Sep19 Aug13 Jul07 (davis sc)RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00    
6  FULMINE Feb12 Jan09 Nov29 Nov13 Oct31 (sweezey kent)LEON SONNY 118 2.50    
7  ELSTON GUNNN Jan24 Jan09 Oct12 Sep06   (birdwell ten)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 18% 4.70    
 
TAM-7   02/27/2026 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Feb14 Jan21 Jan03 Dec13 Jun09 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
2  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Feb18 Jan24 Jan16 Dec24 Nov22 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  RUSSIAN HAMMER Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Dec24 Dec10 (posadas )MARTINEZ A 122 15.00    
4  OSPREY Jan28 Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 Nov22 (arriagada ju)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 2.50 28% 2.50    
5  TIZ A BEAST Feb04 Jan25 Jan14 Jul31 Jul06 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00    
6  ESTILO MAGICO Feb14 Jan24 Jan10 Dec31 Dec03 (simone mi)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 115 6.00 6% 15.80    
7  LATIN SPICE Feb11 Jan24 Sep03 Aug05 Jul03 (poole jeffre)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
8  FEELTHEBEAT Jan30 Jan02 Dec24 Dec12 Sep20 (hernandez enri)COTTO L 122 10.00 ★    
9  ENDLESS REIGN Feb13 Jan16 Dec20 Nov29 Sep14 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00    
10  STAR KANOO Feb11 Jan28 Dec27 Dec13 Nov19 (birdwell tena)LEON A 122 15.00    
11  BELTS 'N BROOKS Jan21 Jan03 Dec13 Oct18 Oct04 (bagwandeen)MEJIAS A 115 30.00    
12  AZURE SKY Feb05 Sep20 Sep05 Aug20 Aug01 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 122 30.00    
 
TAM-8   02/27/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL STEALER Oct15 Sep26 Aug22 Aug14   (lopez rober)HESS SARA 119 10.00 7% 14.40    
2  NENAS STAR Sep12 Aug27       (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 4.00    
3  R SKYLINE Jan30 Dec06 Nov01     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
4  MONEY RULES Sep27 Sep13       (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 30.00    
5  ELSIE'S SMILE Jan30 Oct02 Sep06     (o'connell kath)COTTO L 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  GRENACHE Feb13 Jan21 Jan02 Nov21 Oct24 (arnett g)HO WESLEY 119 4.50    
7  BLACK FLY Feb06 Jan16 Dec19     (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CLOUD KISSES         (ellebracht )QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00 21% 3.80    
9  CATS GONE ESTRAY         (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
10  SISTERLITHIC Feb08 Jan18 Dec06     (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00    
11  BABY GUN Dec19         (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 20.00    
 
TAM-9   02/27/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTRIZ Jan30 Jul12       (munoz carlos)HO WESLEY 119 12.00    
2  CHOOSE YOUR WORDS Feb06         (vinson j)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS ANITA         (moysey e)HESS SARA 119 20.00    
SCR  HEYBABYYOUGOTIT Sep18         (lopez mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 4.50    
5  BUNDALAY Jan16 Dec19 Nov19 Oct18   (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00    
SCR  SHESA MISCHIEFLADY Dec19 Oct24       (bennett gera)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 10.00    
7  CAJUN HOTTIE Feb06 Jan24 Jan16     (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 59% 0.70    
8  MARDEL MARIEL Jan25 Sep05 Aug09     (laurato micha)MORALES ANGEL 119 30.00    
9  SAGCY Feb13 Jan16       (amaya gust)MEJIAS A 112 4.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  FASHION MOLL         (o'connell kat)ROJAS MARTINA 119 12.00    
11  CRIMSON RED Feb13 Jan22 Sep16 Aug25 Aug06 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00    
12  KIONA Jan30 Nov09       (narvaez carlos)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.