Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Thursday - February 12, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/4/5)-(1/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/4/2)-(2/6/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/3/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/7)-(2/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(2/3/1/4)-(2/4/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/4)-(2/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/4)-(2/4/5/7)-(7/1/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/7)-(7/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/7)-(7/1/3/2)-(1/7/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2)-(7/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/3/2)-(1/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   02/12/2026 4290ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POP GOES THE WIZ Dec12         (duggan p)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of STONETACULAR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
POPPY'S TICKET Jan10 Dec05 Nov14 May04   (englehart c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 8% 11.90    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of MY VICTORIA ROSE by GIROLAMO)
LIMO Dec28 Nov13 Oct05 Aug28 Aug10 (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 122 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FLIGHTY ALMIGHTY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
IMPLACABLE Jan02 Dec04 Oct10     (summers ch)RIVERA R 122 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of ELUSIVE COLLECTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
ROGER ROGER Jan02 Dec04 Oct03 Aug10 Jul04 (green ameli)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CAXAMBAS PASS by TIZNOW)
SEA VISTA Jan02 Nov28 Dec28 Nov23 Aug03 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SARA LOUISE by MALIBU MOON)
 
AQU-2   02/12/2026 3960ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL HOUR Jan03 Dec13 Dec05 Nov14 Oct17 (kantarmaci ilk)CIVACI SAHIN 123 4.00    
TRUST FUND Jan17 Dec13 Oct17 Aug30 Jun28 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
THIRTEEN G'S Nov02 Jun15 May24 Apr19 Mar29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
PAIR OF SOCKS Jan03 Nov27 Sep28 Jul31 May29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
SHOOT THE NICKEL Jan23 Dec10 Oct23 Sep13 Aug17 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNCLE WILLIAM Aug03 Jun27 Jun08 May16 Apr17 (summers cha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50    
 
AQU-3   02/12/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($50K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURRENT CLIMATE Nov05 Sep25 Aug17 Mar20 Mar01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Jan22 Dec26 Nov30 Sep26 Aug21 (grusmar)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 3.50 18% 4.70    
NEXT ON STAGE Jan04 Nov22 Oct26 Sep01 Aug09 (handal ra)VARGAS A 123 3.00    
READY FOR TROUBLE Jan18 Jan09 Nov28 Oct03 Aug07 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00    
SHADYSIDE Jan18 Nov28 Mar28 Jan01 Dec01 (kimmel c)CIVACI SAHIN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
KADENA Jan16 Dec26 Nov29 Sep25 Aug17 (abreu fernand)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
 
AQU-4   02/12/2026 5940ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCAT TU TAP Feb05 Nov07 Oct24 Apr26 Apr12 (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jan02 Dec05 Jul25 Jul05 Jun06 (barrera s)PENA LUIS 123 10.00 8% 11.90    
BLAME IT ON DADDY Jan22 Dec27 May08 Apr26 Apr04 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
INDY RAGS Dec28 Sep29 Sep15 Aug07 May17 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
FIRST TRUMPET Jan18 Dec27 Dec05 Nov20 Oct19 (delauro e)VARGAS A 123 8.00    
KAVANAUGH Jan16 Dec11 Nov16 Oct22 Sep01 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 123 2.00    
 
AQU-5   02/12/2026 5280ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATHEA Jan16 Dec26 Nov06     (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 13% 6.60    
  (by TACITUS out of SWEET N SALTY KISS by VERRAZANO)
ISLAND CHARM Nov15 Oct03 Sep01     (russell bri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by SILVER CHARM out of TROPICAL STEPHANIE by BOLD TROPIC (SAF))
GANDERELLA         (terrano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of NOUDHA by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
WAYWARD QUEEN Jan03 Dec26 Nov13 Oct05   (ronen assaf)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ONE MORE ACT by PATRIOT ACT)
TANK GIRL Jan03         (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00    
  (by COMBATANT out of MELA DRAMATICALLY by THEATRICAL (IRE))
KAZ FARM GIRL Jan10 Dec06 Nov22     (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of FARMAVET by ORB)
HIP HOP DANCER Dec26 Nov12 Oct20     (d'alessandr)RIVERA A 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMBATANT out of NEWYORKCITI DANCER by SOARING EMPIRE)
 
AQU-6   02/12/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELTIC LEDGER         (terranova j)RIVERA A 115 15.00 20% 4.10    
TRISTAR FURY         (ortiz alex)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
POWER OF WOMEN Jan11 Dec07 Nov06     (dutrow r)SANTANA JR 122 1.80 22% 3.50    
SO TRU Jan18 Nov22 Nov02     (terrano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FLEE Feb05 Jan18       (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00    
VELVET HAMMER Dec27         (handal raym)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
FIONA'S JOY Jan11         (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 122 15.00    
QUINNS SILENT ROAR Jan11 Dec13 Sep12 Aug20 Jul26 (begg james )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00    
 
AQU-7   02/12/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE A STANCE Jan01 Nov21       (nevin mich)RIVERA R 123 15.00    
TOP PLAYER Jan11 Dec11 Oct11 Sep13 Aug29 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 32% 2.10    
ESSENTIALLY FAST Jan22 Oct17 Aug03 Jul04   (sacco gregory )CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00    
MERCILESANIHILATOR Oct09 Jul05 Jun05 May01   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
LIAMSTER Jan22 Nov14       (morley t)SANTANA JR 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
NEVER SAY UNCLE Jan22 Dec12 Nov21     (terrano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 15.00    
INSTANT SUCCESS Jan11 Nov10 Oct06 Sep24 Sep01 (d'alessandr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   02/12/2026 5940ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($77K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OTHERPEOPLESMONEY Jan04 Dec26 Oct13 Sep29 Aug25 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
MOONLIT WEEKEND Dec12 Nov21 Oct26 Oct03 Sep02 (rodriguez r)RIVERA A 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
CAPITAL GAL Jan17 Dec13 Nov21 Oct23 Sep26 (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 121 4.50 12% 7.30    
FULL POUR Jan18 May16 Apr18 Mar08   (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50    
LONCHURA Jan17 Mar28 Feb28 Nov22 Oct20 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00    
TOWER TWENTY TWO Feb05 Dec29 Nov25 Nov07 Oct09 (ramirez silvino)RUIZ ELISEO 123 3.50    
POCKET QUEENS Jun13 Apr10 Mar15 Jan19 Dec13 (clement mig)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 32% 2.20    
 
AQU-9   02/12/2026 4620ft DIRT RC2 Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIAM'S DIVA Dec27         (clement mig)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00 50% 1.00    
TRUDA         (barrera oscar )CIVACI SAHIN 122 20.00    
SCR  MAIZEY BLUE Jan23         (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
KAY ROAD Jan23 Nov28 Nov07     (terranova j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.00 7% 13.30    
CELESTIAL BODY Dec13         (bartkows)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 17.50    
CALL ME JAL Jan23 Dec26       (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00    
IT'S CAROL'S WAY Nov29 Nov07 Oct05     (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
HOT GOSSIP Jan22 Jan01 Nov28 Nov05 Oct18 (sharp joe)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60    
BEAU HILL Jan23         (synnefias )RIVERA R 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.