Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Friday - November 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/2)-(7/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(7/2/5)-(2/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-3   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(2/5/3)-(8/6/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(8/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(8/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-5   WIN (8/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1)-(8/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/2/3)-(5/1/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-6   WIN (5/6/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2/3)-(5/6/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2/3)-(5/6/7/2/3)-(5/6/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/7/2/3)-(5/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/2/3)-(5/1/3/8)-(1/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (5/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8)-(5/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/8)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/8)-(1/4/5)-(3/5/2/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/5/2/6/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
AQU-9   WIN (3/5/2/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/6/7)-(3/5/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/6/7)-(3/5/2/6/7)-(3/5/2/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   11/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG AIR Nov07 Oct09 Sep20 Aug13 Jul14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
SAILAWAY Oct16 Sep25 Jul31 Jul16 May30 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
LOOKS FIRST Nov07 Oct16 Sep11 Aug17 Jul23 (samsundar)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
BLAME THE BANKER Nov02 Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 Jul18 (synnefias pan)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
ATARAH Sep13 Aug06 Apr17 Mar22 Feb15 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.00 32% 2.10    
HELEN'S REVENGE Oct22 Mar28 Feb09 Jan04 Dec13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 9% 9.60    
 
AQU-2   11/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($75K) Purse ($65K) 2 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINKY BRIER Oct17 Sep19 Aug16     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
CARADISE Aug21 Jul26       (friedman)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  BELLORO Oct25 Sep12 Aug16 Jul19   (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
ST. BRIGID'S CROSS Sep19 Aug21 Aug06 May22   (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
ZUBY Nov09 Sep25       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.00    
PATTY'S GIRL Oct11 Aug30       (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50    
 
AQU-3   11/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT GLIMMER May26 Mar29 Nov30 Nov09   (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
SABBY SUNSET Oct04 Aug25 Jul13 Jun14 Apr26 (terranova )RIVERA R 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
DIA POR DIA         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
STORMY CENTRAL Oct04 Aug21       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
CHARMEUSE Oct22 Sep25       (donk david)RIVERA A 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALYVIA MAVIS Oct25 Sep08 Aug01 Jul11 May30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50    
NITTARDI Oct25         (bond ke)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
AQU-4   11/21/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON DAY Jul30 Jun28 May23 Feb15 Jan25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
CERTIFIED LOVERBOY Sep25 Aug21 Jul12 Jun28 Jun07 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
DONEGAL SURGES Oct24 Dec12 Sep20 Aug18 Jun09 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 12% 7.30    
BRAMITO Oct18 Aug28 Jul12 Jun08 May08 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 123 2.50    
EMIRATES ROAD Oct18 Feb22 Jan03 Nov10 Sep21 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
TOP GUN ROCKET Oct24 Aug31 Jul12 Jun07 May23 (synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
 
AQU-5   11/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHIES LOVE         (miceli m)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
TUSCAN THUNDER Oct09 Sep28       (donk da)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 20.00    
WINSTON D Oct24         (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
SCR  TRUE ADIRONDACKER Nov09         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
WHISKEY STONES         (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 10.00    
WHISKEY RUNNER         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
SOCIABLY JOHNNY         (ryan s)LUZZI J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ESCAPE HALL Oct23 Sep14 Aug08     (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 0.80 51% 1.00    
 
AQU-6   11/21/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CURLS Oct09         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CIRCUS LIFE by MORE THAN READY)
NEVER SAY UNCLE         (terrano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MIGHT BE by POSSE)
MAJOR BOURBON         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of UNDERFUNDED by SCAT DADDY)
ABACUS         (antonucci jena)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CASH REFUND by GOLDEN HORN)
TRUE LEGEND Oct11 Sep21       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by GOLD LEGEND out of STRUCKBYLIGHTNING by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
DILIELLO Oct23 Sep26 Aug30 Aug08 Jul16 (morley t)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of A CUT AHEAD by TIZ WONDERFUL)
THIRSTED Oct11 Sep13       (nevin michelle)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by FROSTED out of DELIGHTFUL MOMENT by UNCLE MO)
TIZLAWRY         (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of NO MORE MISERY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
TAKE A STANCE         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TIZ POSSIBLE by TIZNOW)
SCR  PURE MISCHIEF Sep28         (devaux adrianne)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
  (by WAYNE'S CRANE out of BETTER THAN RUBIES by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  MISSION CRITICAL Aug29         (englehar)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of DOUBLE CAT by STORM CAT)
SCR  MACH SCHNELL         (terranova p)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of TICKLE BUNNY by SHACKLEFORD)
 
AQU-7   11/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEST IMPRESSION Oct23 Sep25 Aug29 Aug06 Jul10 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
DANNEEL Oct23 Oct03 Aug29 Aug10 Jun28 (rodriguez r)RIVERA A 116 30.00    
SASSY PRINCESS Oct26 Sep28 Sep12 Jul16 May29 (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 14% 6.30    
BROOKLYN DANTZ Oct23 Sep25 Aug31 Aug13 Jul31 (arenas marcelo)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
SIGHT TO SEE Oct23 Oct16 Sep11 Apr23 Feb15 (synnefia)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  RODEO STAR Oct23 Sep25 Aug06 Jul10 Jun28 (kantarmaci ilka)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  SHE'S COMPLICATED Oct16 Sep18 Aug01 Apr23 Apr12 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
MOONLIT WEEKEND Oct26 Oct03 Sep02 Aug10 Jul24 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
ANOTHER CLEESHAY Oct16 Aug24 Aug06 Jul11 Jun20 (sharp j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
SCR  STRESS RELIEVER Oct23 Oct08 Aug07 Jun18 Jun05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
 
AQU-8   11/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEARWATER BEACH Nov09 Oct19 Sep21 Aug23 Aug02 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 62% 0.60    
GRACEFUL ROSE Oct26 Jun28 Jun05 Apr10 Mar09 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00    
GRACE AND GRIT Oct23 Sep21 Aug21 Jul16 Jun12 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50    
CHARGE NURSE Oct30 Oct16 Sep19 Aug22 Aug01 (knudsen )SANTANA JR 123 10.00 10% 9.40    
DREAM ON CARA Sep26 Aug10 Jul10 Jun21 May26 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Oct23 Sep26 Aug29 Aug06 Jun29 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
LIKA ROLLING STONE Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug06 (arriaga)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 4.50    
CAPITAL GAL Oct23 Sep26 Aug06 Jul09 Nov01 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.50    
 
AQU-9   11/21/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KLIMT MASTER Nov13 Oct24 Oct05 Sep18 Aug20 (jones e)SIMPSON W 121 50.00    
NONNO JOE Oct26 Sep22 Jul24     (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 7% 13.50    
ORIE Oct10 Sep26 Aug13 Jul17 Jun28 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 121 5.00 35% 1.90    
STROBE LIGHT Nov13 Oct10 Jun21 May26   (ferraro )VILLA FAVINHO 121 30.00    
BLAME IT ON K J Oct26 Aug31 Aug14 Jul17   (duggan dav)RIVERA R 121 6.00 33% 2.00    
ROMEO VOID Oct26 Apr23 Mar23 Mar02 Jan26 (green j)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
PRETRIAL STATEMENT Oct26 Sep01 Aug10 Jun14 Sep22 (bartkowski )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEFORE THE WIND Oct25 Sep18 Jul17 Jun28 May11 (merryman eliz)VELAZQUEZ R 121 2.00    
SAMMY C NOTE Nov12 Oct10 Sep26     (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50    
10  POWERED BY COAL Oct26 Sep01 Aug10 Jun27 May25 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.