Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(2/1)-(7/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(7/1/5)-(6/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(6/2/4)-(3/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/8)-(4/7/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8)-(3/5/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/8)-(4/7/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/8)-(4/7/8/1)-(5/2/8/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/8/1)-(5/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAXACA Sep23 Jun26 Jun11 Jul25 Jul04 (skerrett jef)KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.00 62% 0.60    
2  FULL TIME STRUTIN Oct29 Oct09 Oct01 Sep16 Aug28 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 5.00    
3  VITAEMI Oct29 Oct08 Oct23 Oct15 Oct01 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
4  BLAZING ZENNA Oct29 Sep24 Sep08 Aug28 Aug11 (mahan )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
5  MISS SHADY Oct01 Sep24 Aug14 Jul07 May21 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 2.00    
6  DULCE VICTORIA Oct29 Sep24 Sep08 Aug14 Jun17 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   11/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICALLYELUSIVE Jun26 Nov25 Oct11 Aug30 Aug10 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  MINESTRESS Oct25 Oct02 Aug29 Jun26 Jun04 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  CITY SCENE Oct02 Sep04 Jul08 Jun09 May22 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 126 2.50    
SCR  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Oct25 Sep04 Aug14 Jun21 Jun09 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50    
5  SWEET UNIQUE Oct02 Sep04 Aug04 Jun09 May22 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 123 8.00    
6  MY GIRL KEW Oct25 Oct02 Aug29 Aug14 Jul18 (maker michael)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
 
MVR-3   11/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRD CITY Oct22 Oct07 Sep23 Sep03 Aug19 (pappada a)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
2  LAST U TURN Nov05 Sep26 Sep15 Aug26 Aug13 (atala jose)BOWEN ROCCO 124 5.00    
3  CITIZEN Oct08 Sep10 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
4  TETCHED Oct21 Oct06 Aug30 Jul31 Jul11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 122 4.00 ★    
5  Z BOSS Oct28 Oct08 Sep15 Sep02 Aug04 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ACTION MAN Nov04 Oct06 Sep15 Sep02 Aug20 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
7  COCKTAILS AT NOON Nov05 Oct04 Sep05 Aug09 Jun21 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 68% 0.50    
 
MVR-4   11/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN HERBIE WIN Oct29 Oct10 Sep19 Aug22 Jul03 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50    
2  EXCITEMENT Nov03 Oct06 Sep22 Aug14 Jul16 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
3  TRIGGER POINT Nov03 Oct14 Sep24 Sep02 Aug24 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00    
4  MINISTER FOR MAGIC Oct20 Jul16 Jun15 May10 Apr25 (meyers shane)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BIG PRANKSTER Oct07 Sep15 Aug28 Aug14 Oct18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
6  BOLD BUCKEYE Sep25 Sep03 Aug18 Jul16 Jun23 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 4.50 48% 1.10    
7  POWERFUL MOON Oct13 Sep22 Jun07 Sep19 Sep03 (ray kevin)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 20.00    
 
MVR-5   11/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STYLE IN TIME Oct28 Sep29 Apr06 Jan17 Jan03 (higham nic)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.50 ★    
2  CRACKLE (GB) Oct30 Oct09 Sep30 Sep06 Aug28 (holsapple hutch)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.50    
3  MARMARA Nov01 Oct09 Sep18 Sep04 Aug06 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
4  HUIXTLA Oct07 Sep17 Sep08 Aug23 Aug07 (cc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
5  GEEGEE'S STORY Oct25 Oct13 Sep29 Sep15 Jun29 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 16% 5.10    
6  G'DAY LADY Oct28 Sep12 Jun24 Jun04 May12 (crumley jevo)KEISER CHELSEY 124 15.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  GO JOCELYN GO Oct07 Sep24 Aug27 Aug05 Jul10 (jackson r)PARKER L 122 20.00    
8  LOOP OF HENLE Oct13 Sep16 Aug30 Aug02 Jul18 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 122 10.00    
9  STARCOURT Oct30 Sep25 Aug23 Aug02 Jul04 (roberson denni)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
SCR  MISS FOXANN Oct09 Sep24 Sep08 Aug05 Jul23 (pappada a)AVILES YAN 124 3.50    
 
MVR-6   11/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON WISDOM Sep02 Aug18 Aug07 Jun30 Jun09 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 4.00    
SCR  ONLY GET'N BETTER Oct27 Oct08 Sep26 Sep03 Aug18 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 4.50    
3  SMASH Oct30 Aug20 Aug07 Jul08 Jun17 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
4  NAPA DUDE Oct01 Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Mar27 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 124 15.00    
5  MASTER OF THE NITE Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 Sep04 Aug18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 5.00 23% 3.30    
6  POPPY'S PRIDE Nov03 Oct20 Oct03 Sep17 Sep09 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
7  TRY TRY AGAIN Oct28 Oct18 Sep19 Sep06 Aug19 (alonso fernando)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00    
8  OILER Oct30 Oct13 Sep24 Sep02 Aug20 (faulkner rodn)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  FOOD FOODIE Oct30 Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 Aug18 (sondej amy)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 15.00    
 
MVR-7   11/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWGIRLS HUMOR Nov03 Oct21 Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 (schuster r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANOTHERWINNER Nov03 Sep24 Sep05 Aug16 Jun21 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 122 15.00    
3  RIVER HUSTLER Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jun09 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 12.00    
4  REASONS WE DRINK Sep24 Sep03 Aug14 Jul07 Jun21 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
5  WATCH ME DADDY Nov03 Oct23 Sep30 Aug23 Jul17 (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 3.50    
6  MANDATED EVENT Oct21 Sep15 Aug29     (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 122 4.00    
7  DEVOUTLY Oct14 Sep22 Sep03 Aug14 Jul07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 3.00 16% 5.50    
8  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Nov03 Sep24 Sep04 Jun02 Jun26 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   11/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 Jun03 Apr11 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 124 10.00    
2  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Nov04 Sep24 Aug13 Jul15 Jun26 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 10.00 18% 4.70    
3  NOT TODAY Oct29 Sep12 Aug25 Aug13 Jun21 (ray kevin)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 10.00    
4  FAST N HAPPY Oct28 Oct18 Sep30 Aug31 Aug21 (alonso fernando)BOWEN ROCCO 126 3.50    
5  BIG GINGER Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Jul15 May26 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
6  PERFECTLY WICKED Oct27 Oct07 Sep25 Sep17 Sep02 (fletcher kevin)PARKER L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Oct23 Sep24 Aug25 Jun16 May04 (skerrett)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50    
8  MALI BALI Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Sep16 Aug26 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.