Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - October 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(5/2/4)-(2/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/1/4)-(4/5/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/5/7/6)-(3/4/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/6)-(3/4/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/6)-(3/4/8/7)-(1/7/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/9/7)-(3/4/8/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/8/7)-(1/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8/7)-(1/7/4/5)-(4/1/6/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/5)-(4/1/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/5)-(4/1/6/5)-(4/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/5)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1/9)-(4/6/1/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   10/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY BETTY Aug16 Jul24       (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  HOLLY'S HOBBY Sep30         (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 122 10.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of RAGGEDY ANNIE by UNION RAGS)
3  STRIKING LADY Oct09 Sep22 Aug25 Aug14 Aug06 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 122 0.80 65% 0.50    
  (by LORD CARLOS out of MUTTAK BAY by MUTAKDDIM)
4  BOBBER'S ROCKET Sep02 Jul17       (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of ANGEL FALLS by KINGMAMBO)
5  MANDALAY SKY Oct02         (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 12.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MANDALAY BEACH by LONHRO (AUS))
6  DIVINE SILENCE         (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 122 4.50 10% 8.60    
  (by HOLY BULL out of SILENT ACCOUNT by PRIVATE ACCOUNT)
 
MVR-2   10/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Jun23 May21 Apr29 Aug14 Jul17 (romero os)MARTINEZ L 124 8.00    
2  MIZZEN THE POINT Sep23 Aug29 Aug11 Jul08 May27 (overholt paul)BRACHO A 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  CAUSE OF LOVE Oct02 Sep23 Aug27 Aug18 Jun11 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
4  LINE DANCER Aug19 Jun24 Dec04 Apr10 Mar25 (romero oscar)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HELLO SWEETS Sep23 Aug29 Aug20 Jul01 Jun07 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
6  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Oct02 Sep22 Aug29 Aug07 Jul01 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 124 3.50    
 
MVR-3   10/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALID CONNECTION Oct07 Sep23 Aug16 Jun08 Dec08 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 123 2.50 25% 3.10    
2  BOUND TO SUCCEED Sep26 Aug24 Aug04 Jun26 May03 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 32% 2.20    
3  DIXIE MAN Sep23 Sep08 Aug13 Jul10 Jun25 (schuster )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 126 10.00    
4  LEGENDARY STAR Oct07 Sep23 Jan16 Dec11 Oct28 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 20.00 14% 6.30    
5  PROBABLY Sep26 Sep02 Jul20 Jul03 Jun12 (smith larry)DIAZ I 123 1.60    
SCR  RUFUS Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Jan30 Jan13 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 123 3.00    
 
MVR-4   10/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR SHOPPING Oct13 Sep24 Sep10 Jun30 Jun17 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
2  GILLIGAN Oct14 Sep23 Sep08 Aug13 Jun10 (mahan joseph )BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
3  C J ALL THE WAY Sep22 Aug13 May26 Apr24 Mar17 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 12.00    
4  MONTEREY PENINSULA Oct02 Sep11 Aug13 Jul17 Jun12 (poole m)AVILES YAN 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
5  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Oct07 Sep28 Sep03 Aug05 Jul15 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  BAD LITTLE BEAST Oct02 Aug18 Aug10 Jul30 Jul09 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FAT DADDY Sep29 Sep08 Aug29 Jul15 Jun30 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
MVR-5   10/20/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY SKY Oct01 Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 Jul08 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 10.00    
2  BIG POPPER Oct13 Sep09 Aug07 Jul08 Jun21 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 15.00    
3  SUPPLY CHAIN Oct08 Mar03 Jan25 Jun10 May13 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
4  HARVARD Oct11 Sep06 Aug13 Jun05 Apr29 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  H C HOLIDAY Oct04 Sep14 Aug30 Aug21 Jul18 (nazario pedro)CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.00    
6  SAILOR'S CHANCE Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Aug07 Jun30 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 126 8.00    
7  CRAFTED Oct04 Aug28 Jun27 Mar11 Feb03 (short w)PARKER L 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Oct08 Sep03 Aug05 Mar22 Mar06 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 126 15.00 14% 6.20    
9  DREAM KNIGHT Oct07 Sep24 Sep10 Jun17 Jun02 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   10/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIKITRAKI Oct07 Aug27 Jul04 Jun13 May29 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  POPPY'S PRIDE Oct03 Sep17 Sep09 Jul14 Jul07 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00    
3  RHUMJAR Oct01 Sep01 Aug01 Jul19 Jul04 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.00    
4  LOGICO Oct10 Sep18 Jul17 Jul02 May08 (genovese richar)BOWEN ROCCO 124 15.00 10% 9.10    
5  COASTERTOTHEMOON Oct10 Sep18 Sep04 Aug11 Jul02 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MINISTER FOR MAGIC Jul16 Jun15 May10 Apr25 Mar29 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 124 2.50    
7  BOLDNESS Oct08 Sep25 Jul21 Jul03 Jan17 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 4.50 13% 6.60    
 
MVR-7   10/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVECLOCKSOMEWHERE Oct09 Sep13 Aug27 Aug15 Jul04 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 1.60 18% 4.70    
2  LATE NITE LIZZIE Sep26 Sep09 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
3  ELIKA Oct09 Sep29 Feb06 Jan27 Jan08 (bailey ricardo)PARKER L 124 20.00    
4  DREAMING OF AUDREY Sep26 Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  SACRED CONNECTION Sep26 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  DERBY DAY KISS Oct10 Sep24 Sep03 Aug04 Jan29 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 6.00 7% 12.70    
7  CEEBEE Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul19 Jun21 (lucas wa)HERNANDEZ N 121 8.00    
 
MVR-8   10/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOURDATESFORHOCO Apr03 Mar18 Mar03 Jan15 Dec16 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 10.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  DOUBLE AGENT Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 Aug13 Aug02 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00    
3  KOZY K Oct02 Jan09 Dec19 Nov27 Nov12 (smith larry)BRACHO A 121 8.00    
4  A VAN ON THE RUN Oct06 Sep15 Aug28 Aug08 Jun10 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 126 5.00 31% 2.30    
5  RUNAWAY POWER Sep12 Aug28 Aug07 Jul14 Jun24 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50    
6  WASABI BEACH Oct01 Aug28 Aug20     (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  BLAZING TONY Sep18 Sep05 Jul26 Jul02 Jun13 (smith larry)DIAZ I 121 6.00    
8  LEROYISALAGNIAPPE Oct02 Aug13 Sep14 Aug08 Jul23 (bennett ro)HERNANDEZ N 124 15.00    
9  KICKSTART Sep15 Jun16 May29 May12 Apr22 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 121 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.