Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - October 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(5/4/3/1)-(2/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-4   WIN (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/1)-(2/6/5)-(1/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-5   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/5/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ARP-6   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(1/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ARP-7   WIN (1/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/9)-(1/5/9/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/9)-(1/5/9/2/3)-(1/5/9/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   10/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN COIN Oct03 Oct18       (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00    
  (by CO FERMENT out of QUEEN LILLY KAY by INDY KING)
2  GRACEFULLYBROKE Sep28 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21   (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by APACHE PARK out of BROKEANLOVINGIT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  BIG JIMMY Oct03 Aug03 Jul19     (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 2.50    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of BROOKTON by TRUST N LUCK)
4  KING OF SWING Sep28 Sep12 Nov17 Oct26 Sep29 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SHE'S GIFTED by FLATTER)
5  EASYSTAR Aug29 Aug16 Aug02 Jul06   (quezada zach)CARILLO DANIEL 120 15.00    
  (by BRONZE STAR out of EASY GOES BY by BENCHMARK)
6  MA KONA KII Sep27 Aug16 Jul19 Jun08 May26 (crump anthony)RAMEY CASH 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of WINGS OF IRIS by GRAND MINSTREL)
 
ARP-4   10/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY SUNSET Sep20 Aug29 Jul27 Jun15 May17 (dillenbeck bruce)CARRENO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ANNIE FOX Oct05 Sep21 Aug03 Jul03 Jun14 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
3  SATIN HEART Aug29 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 Oct26 (scudder jr)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
4  JOYFUL JOSEPHINE Oct11 Sep12 Aug17 Jul14 Jun27 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 19% 4.10    
5  CELEE'S LAST TE Sep27 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May31 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  GUARDING ELK CAMP Sep06 Sep01 Aug16 Jul27 Jul20 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 12.00    
7  OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Oct03 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Jun29 (villamar candelar)DELORME L 124 8.00    
 
ARP-5   10/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDISUR Oct12 Sep28 Sep20 Sep06 Aug30 (ibanez alberto)BAEZ M 124 8.00    
2  THREE GOLD PIECES Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 Jun29 Jun14 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
3  HARBOR THUNDER Sep27 Sep12 Aug09 May25 May18 (lavanway )IRONEYES R 124 4.50    
4  TAP THE BRAKES Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Jul25 Jul03 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
5  BRANNIGAN Oct03 Sep06 Aug30 Aug09 Aug02 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 6.00 11% 8.30    
6  DANGEROUS GAME Aug10 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Dec01 (villamar can)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 26% 2.80    
7  PRINCE OTTO Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug30 Aug17 (esquibel mark)CARRENO J 124 8.00 ★    
8  JACHA Sep27 Sep10 Aug23 Aug10 Jul26 (scudder jr)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
 
ARP-6   10/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLO TIME Sep27 Sep12 Jul27 Nov03 Oct13 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
2  ROCKIN MARIE Sep27 Aug22 Aug09 Jul27 Jun29 (long vaughn)CARRENO J 121 3.50    
3  MISTY MOOD Oct03 Aug20 Apr17 Mar28 Feb14 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00    
4  FULL SPIRIT Oct05 Sep21 Sep01 Aug10 Jul12 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 19% 4.40    
5  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jun13 May24 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 8% 10.80    
6  VIRTUALLY Oct05 Sep10 Aug13 Jun29 Sep08 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 5.00    
 
ARP-7   10/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANCH REBEL Sep15 Aug11 Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  SWAYING LASSIE Sep27 Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 Aug03 (quezada zach)CARILLO DANIEL 124 12.00 ★    
3  ZANZORA Oct04 Sep20 Sep03 Aug21 Aug02 (graber jessica)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  ACTIN' UP Sep20 Sep08 Jul31 Jun22 May26 (gleason tyro)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 2.00    
5  MAYA D Oct04 Sep12 Jul26 Jan06 Dec19 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  SCOTTIE JO Sep27 Aug31 Jul19 Jun28 May31 (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 120 8.00    
7  PLUM CREEK Oct04 Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 (tsosie terrill)ARANA MINOR 124 12.00    
8  MARIELITA Oct04 Sep19 Jul26 Jul13 Jul05 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00    
9  ZIPPY SEASON Oct04 Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  CUNDI Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 (kemper kerry)DELORME L 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.