Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - October 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6)-(4/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/6)-(4/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/6)-(4/3/1/8)-(5/3/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/8)-(5/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/8)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/2)-(7/6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-5   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/2)-(2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/2)-(2)-(4/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2)-(4/5/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2)-(4/5/6)-(9/6/5/1/3) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
TDN-7   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(9/6/5/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TDN-8   WIN (9/6/5/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/5/1/3)-(9/6/5/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/5/1/3)-(9/6/5/1/3)-(9/6/5/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A VAN ON THE RUN Sep15 Aug28 Aug08 Jun10 Apr30 (huffman canda)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
2  BIGPICLITTLEPIC Sep15 Aug28 Aug04 Jun21 Jun06 (poole m)BRACHO A 115 3.50 21% 3.90    
3  OL' NELSON Sep15 Aug08 Oct01 Aug27 Aug12 (huffman candace )VIGIL NOEL 115 12.00    
4  AFLOAT Sep15 Nov14       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SADIE'S GHOST Sep15 Aug29 May14 Apr29 Oct28 (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 117 6.00    
6  MUSIC JEWEL Sep15 Aug29 Aug12 Jul18 Jul10 (me)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SGT YORK Sep15 Aug28 Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
8  MOR STORMY Sep15 Aug28 Aug04 Jul07 Jun24 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 4.50    
9  GRAY TORMENTOR Jun16 May29 May06 Apr03 Mar03 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   10/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG DADDY HANK         (flores chris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by ONE SIDED out of LA LUNA ROUGE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
2  KETTLE COALMINE Jul12         (faulkner rodne)SWAN KIRSTEN 123 20.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of CANARYINACOALMINE by BIRDSTONE)
3  REX SPIRED         (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 17% 4.70    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of SHARINA by ORIENTATE (GB))
4  BOLD WINDSOR         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by BOLD RED out of HELL'S A POPPIN by SLAM MY HEART)
5  GRITS N GRAVY Sep17 Aug07 Jun21     (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
  (by MANCINI (GB) out of GRITTY by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
6  LUCY'S FIRST SONG Aug29 Jul09 Jun21 May13   (langley josh)HALDAR J 123 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of EVERYBODYLUVSLUCY by DOMINUS)
7  COUPLE BEERS DEEP Sep17 Aug29 Jun03 May14 Apr29 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 119 2.00    
  (by QUICK CHANGE out of LATE LOVER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
8  GUESS IM JUST GOOD Sep17         (fl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CORFU out of LAVA FALLS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
TDN-3   10/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAITHFUL SOLUTION Sep16 Aug28 Aug11 Jul08 Jun16 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 6.00    
2  BOLD NICKY Jun30 Jun11 May08 Dec17 Dec05 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 7.00 5% 19.00    
3  OH GLORIOUS DAY Sep02 Aug22 Jul18 Oct21 Sep28 (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
4  WINGS OF HEAVEN Jun16 May06 Sep05 Aug26 Jul01 (genovese )MARTINEZ L 119 8.00    
5  COME ON ARLENE Sep09 Aug23 Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 1.60 48% 1.10    
6  MOST ADORABLE Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jun30 Jun09 (yoder d)PAUCAR E 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  C MORE PRIDE Sep08 Aug11 Jul08 May26 May07 (faulkner r)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
 
TDN-4   10/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT OBJECTION Aug21 Jul02 May17 Apr06 Mar23 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00    
2  SMOKIN' HOT Sep25 Aug26 Feb07 Jan24 Dec21 (puhl kim)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MIGHTY LES Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Aug04 Jun26 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  SIMPLY VALID Sep17 Aug28 Aug14 Jun30 Jun07 (atala jo)FERNANDEZ R 121 5.00    
5  ATKINS Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Aug03 Jul10 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
TDN-5   10/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLUM TUFF Sep17 Aug21 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 6.00    
  (by GRIZZLY out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
2  TRUTH N SOUL Sep17 Aug12 Jul09 Jun12 Apr29 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
SCR  DARK N DIRTY Sep18 Jun21 May27 Dec09   (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 116 2.50    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
4  RIVERS RUN FAST Sep17         (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANGEL SOUP by ALPHABET SOUP)
5  LUCKY JUULZ         (flick julia)AVILES YAN 123 12.00 6% 16.40    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of CRIMSON KATE by FIRST SAMURAI)
6  RICH ON THE RIVER Sep17         (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00 7% 13.40    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DOLL DREAMS by HENNY HUGHES)
7  SHADOW STRIKE Sep18 Aug29       (puhl kim)RIVERA R 119 2.00 64% 0.60    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of BOB'S DYLAN by DAVID)
8  MY FOR O ONE KAY Sep17 Aug29 Aug12 Jul09 Jun21 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 119 12.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RED DREAD by FIVE STAR DAY)
 
TDN-6   10/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KINGSBURY ROAD Oct01 Sep10 Aug16 Jul16 Jul01 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 121 1.60    
2  CAPO LUCA Sep11 Aug20 Jul10 Jun21 Jun11 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 117 2.00 5% 19.00    
3  TATANKA Sep11 Aug29 Aug20 Aug03 Jul02 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.00    
SCR  PACE Sep11 Aug19 Aug11 Jun23 May27 (winters michelle)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
SCR  MOREAU Sep11 Aug20 Aug03 Jul10 May05 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.00    
 
TDN-7   10/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Sep15 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
2  ACTION MAN Sep15 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 1.60    
3  ASK ISAAC Sep15 Aug20 Aug05 Jun12 Apr22 (jackson r)PAUCAR E 119 5.00    
4  COOL COUPLE Aug13 Jun23 May13 Apr22 Apr05 (dacosta jason)HOUGHTON D 115 2.50 67% 0.50    
5  STAR QUALITY (ARG) Sep15 Aug26 Jun03 Apr15 Nov14 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 115 3.00 8% 12.30    
6  BREEZE THE BAYOU Sep15 Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun07 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   10/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY BALL SUSIE Sep15 Aug26 Aug12 Oct23 Sep24 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRILLING Sep15 Aug26 Jul03 Jun11 May22 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 15.00    
3  Z B READY Sep15 Sep02 Jul03 Jun11 May27 (romero oscar)PEREZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY PLEASURE Sep15 Aug12       (vazquez i)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 5.00    
5  DESTINY'S TOT Sep15 Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Jun23 (romero oscar)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 12% 7.10    
6  CRACK A SMILE Aug12         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
7  SHESTHEPERFECTSONG Sep15 Aug26 Aug11 Jan06 Dec18 (pappada a)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
8  CHARDU Sep15 Aug20 Jul23     (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
9  EBONY'S SECRET Aug26 Aug12 Jul01 Jun11 May27 (radosevich)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.