Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(7/2)-(5/2/9/10/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/2)-(5/2/9/10/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(5/2/9/10/4)-(3/5/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/2/9/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/10/4)-(5/2/9/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/10/4)-(5/2/9/10/4)-(5/2/9/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/9/10/4)-(3/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9/10/4)-(3/5/1)-(4/1/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TDN-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/1/3)-(2/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-6   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(2/3/1)-(5/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-7   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANZING CHICK Nov19 Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 (skelton t)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
2  ROMANTIC JEWEL Sep16 Jul15 Jul06 Jun15 Jun02 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
3  DULCE VICTORIA Sep08 Aug14 Jun17 Dec03 Nov12 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  MAGICGIRL Sep08 Aug11 Jul17 Jun30 Jun09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 38% 1.60    
5  MISS SHADY Aug14 Jul07 May21 Apr11 Apr02 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 123 3.50    
SCR  JEN'S BATTLE Jul17 Jun30 Jun09 May21 May03 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 123 5.00    
7  BLAZING ZENNA Sep08 Aug28 Aug11 Jul17 May03 (mahan p)AVILES YAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  OPULENT WAYS Aug14 Jul17 Jun30 Jun17 Jul30 (severin robert)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
 
TDN-2   09/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREAMING OF AUDREY Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 May21 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
2  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Jul31 Jun19 Apr27 Mar30 Feb20 (rhoden)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YEARS AGO Jul07 May26 Nov27 Sep06 Aug17 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
4  ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Aug25 Jun16 May04 Feb02 Sep19 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 3.00    
5  BIG GINGER Sep10 Aug20 Jul15 May26 Apr23 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50    
SCR  ZIP CODE ENVY Aug25 Jun11 May28 Apr30 Mar15 (londono omar)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
7  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Aug13 Jul15 Jun26 May21 Apr29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
 
TDN-3   09/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAVETHENINETYNINE Aug26 Aug05       (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 4.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of LENA LOVE by CITY WEEKEND)
2  PONCHO JAC         (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by LEA out of JAC A by JAC'S FACT)
3  SKYTREE Aug26 Aug05 Jul03 Jun17   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
4  JOLLY MON         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE ME OUT (IRE) out of HERE'S YOUR SILVER by SILVER HAWK)
5  MOONLIGHTER Aug26 Jul18 Jul03     (gorham )PILARES P 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by GORMLEY out of DRILLIT by DRILL)
SCR  WISLEY         (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 118 12.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
7  MACHICO MADEIRA Aug05         (rone m)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of ANGELINA by RACE DAY)
8  RUN BOBBY RUN Aug26 Jul18 Jul03     (cline c)AVILES YAN 118 5.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of BESIDE STILL WATER by LEMON DROP KID)
9  ESTOICO         (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 118 8.00 9% 10.70    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
10  RICO SUAVE (IRE) Aug26         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 8.00 7% 12.50    
  (by PERSIAN BOLD (IRE) out of BALLET REVIEW (IRE) by SADLER'S WELLS)
 
TDN-4   09/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH EYE SEE Sep09 Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 Jun24 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  RED SEVEN Aug21 Aug04 Jun23 May29 Apr23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 115 3.50    
3  CREDIT CHECK Sep09 Aug21 Aug04 Jun24 Jun07 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 115 1.80 63% 0.60    
SCR  COWGIRLS HUMOR Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jun30 Jun07 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00    
5  BOLD RUBY Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jun24 May29 (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Sep04 Jun02 Jun26 Jun15 May15 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 2.50    
 
TDN-5   09/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIVAREE (GB) Sep09 Aug03 Jul21 Jun21 Jun09 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 20% 4.10    
2  DREAM KNIGHT Sep10 Jun17 Jun02 Apr29 Apr16 (vecchio )FERNANDEZ R 123 3.50    
3  STAR SHOPPING Sep10 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 Apr21 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 123 6.00 13% 6.90    
4  ANDY CANT Sep03 Aug10 Jun11 May27 Jan23 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  SAILOR'S CHANCE Sep10 Aug20 Aug07 Jun30 May20 (hurley l)FELICIANO R 123 2.50    
6  OILER Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 Jun30 May20 (faulkner rod)HALDAR J 123 10.00    
 
TDN-6   09/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KATE WINS Sep16 Sep01 Aug13 Jun26 Jun04 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
2  GREY MARKET Sep11 Aug28 Jul06 May31 Apr25 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
3  LOVEBUG Aug27 Jul16 Jun21 Jun02 May12 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 115 2.50 28% 2.50    
4  GO JOCELYN GO Aug27 Aug05 Jul10 Jun09 May02 (jackson r)RIVERA R 115 5.00    
5  THEE NEW BEGINNING Sep08 Jun04 May14 Apr12 Apr06 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 2.00    
6  SHIELDMEWITHPRAYER Sep01 Aug05 Jun10 May20 Nov13 (gorham r)FERNANDEZ R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   09/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMALL TOWN GOSSIP Jul14 Jun02 May12 Sep16 Jul22 (jackson r)RIVERA R 115 6.00 6% 15.80    
2  REASONS WE DRINK Sep03 Aug14 Jul07 Jun21   (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  HOLIDAYS ARMY BRAT Sep01 Aug21 Jul14 Jun25 Jun03 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 1.80 19% 4.20    
SCR  SMARTASSET Aug21 Jul14 Apr23 Apr11 Mar24 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  ELECTRIC MELODY Jul14 Jun25 May19 Dec27 Oct26 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 115 10.00    
6  KINGDOM TRAILS Aug29 Aug06 Jul07 Oct09   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 3.50    
 
TDN-8   09/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAME FOR REAL Jul03 Jun23 May08 Apr10 Mar31 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
2  TOASTMASTER Aug29 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MIESHA Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Jun03 Apr28 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
SCR  COLORYOUREGGS Sep03 Aug19 Jun27 Jun10 May12 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 5.00    
5  LARRY'S ANGEL Sep03 Jun21 May24 Nov13 Aug26 (cowans d)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  SHE'S WILLIE FAST Sep01 Aug11 Jun23 Jun07 Dec11 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
7  DERBY DAY KISS Sep03 Aug04 Jan29 Nov27 Nov13 (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.