Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - September 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(1/5/6)-(10/9/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/8/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(10/9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(10/9/6/1)-(5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (10/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/6/1)-(10/9/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/6/1)-(10/9/4/6/1)-(10/9/4/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/9/6/1)-(5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (10/9/6/1)-(5/6)-(2/9/7/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(2/9/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(2/9/7/3)-(3/9/8/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-5   WIN (2/9/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/7/3)-(2/9/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/7/3)-(2/9/7/3)-(2/9/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/7/3)-(3/9/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/7/3)-(3/9/8/2)-(7/5/2/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/2)-(3/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/2)-(3/9/8/2)-(3/9/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/8/2)-(7/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/8/2)-(7/5/2/3)-(2/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/3)-(2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/3)-(2/3/8)-(3/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   09/20/2025 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISK AND REGRET Sep12 Aug27 Jul23 Jun28 Jan08 (woolley tim)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
DARK POOL Aug15 Jul16 Jun27 Jun01 Aug12 (brion keri)RUIZ JORGE 126 4.00 33% 2.00    
ARISE MY LOVE Aug20 Jul12 Jun27 Jun01 Mar28 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 122 5.00    
SLEEPWALKER Aug16 Jul09 Apr24 Mar21 Nov30 (delacour )CARRASCO R 126 3.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  POWER AND GLORY Aug31 Aug01 Jul10 Jun08 May24 (thompson gl)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 30.00    
I'M A SURE THING Aug30 Feb13 Jan10 Oct17 Apr24 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50    
PEGSTER Aug27 Jul23 Jun27 Apr27 Dec13 (hodsdon daniell)CENTENO E 122 4.50    
SCR  MY DEAR ANTONIA Sep12 Jul17 Jun06 May15 Apr18 (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 12.00    
 
LRL-2   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY LIS Aug22         (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
JUDY G Aug23         (frock charl)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 12.00    
NOBLE STATUS         (smith h)BRICENO GREGOR 122 5.00    
FIESTA LA LUNA         (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 122 3.50    
I'M A LIL WICKED         (eubanks annet)RODRIGUEZ YAN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
CURLENE'S SPIRIT         (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPIRIT OF ZION Aug30         (corrales jose)PENA PEDRO 112 15.00    
PRINCESS CHARMING Sep05         (gaudet)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50    
 
LRL-3   09/20/2025 7260ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CHUNK Aug06 Jun13 Jun15     (mcdermott sea)RODRIGUEZ YAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
THE HERO CODE Aug27 Aug08 Jun22 Jun15 May18 (trites la)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50    
MUSICAL ENTOURAGE Sep06 Jul30 Jul17 Jun12 May15 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 12.00    
PIETRELCINA Sep06 Jul26 Jun15 May26 Nov03 (hodsdon dan)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 3.50    
TATE'S WAR CRY Sep12 Aug13 Jul24 Jun13 May26 (keefe l)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
COURAGEOUS MISSION Sep05 Aug14 Jul19 Nov15 Oct25 (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
MOONLIT FROST Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun07 (dilodovico )HAMILTON WESTON 118 30.00    
DEPUTY A. P. Oct27 Sep18       (bonifac)BRICENO GREGOR 122 10.00    
GOODSON JAMESON Sep06 Mar29 Dec11     (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00 20% 3.90    
10  HOMESTEAD Jul24 Jun14 Apr27 Mar10 Feb08 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 126 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
LRL-4   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DECORUM Sep06 Aug08 Jul18 Jun29 Jun20 (ali andrew)CRUZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
SUREMEANTTOOBE Sep04 Aug08 Jun20 May24 Apr25 (trombetta mich)TORREALBA JG 119 3.50    
SCR  EL DIVINO NINO Aug31 Jul30 Jul10 Jun28 May31 (sanchez-salomon)CENTENO E 123 2.50    
WICKEDDIVINE Nov03 Oct17 Sep28     (cox kenneth )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
BOLD DIVERSION Aug20 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 May31 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 1.60 29% 2.40    
ALL THE HARDWAYS Aug31 Feb22 Feb08 Jan25 Dec20 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
 
LRL-5   09/20/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAY CHIEF Jun07 May16 Apr18 Dec15 Nov02 (mcmahon h)HERNANDEZ F 123 8.00    
AMERICAN UNITY Sep04 Aug03 Jul06 Jun26 May31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00 39% 1.50    
CLASS PHOTO Sep04 Aug15 Jul31 Jul09 Jun04 (kee wil)BRICENO GREGOR 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
CORONOVA Aug27 Aug13 Feb02 Jan08 Dec14 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 126 15.00    
TOM HAGEN Aug15 Apr25 Nov10 Oct19 Sep04 (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 5.00    
SCR  MAILMAN MONEY Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 (ward dan)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
COVERT KAT Sep07 Aug23 Aug06 Jul17 Jun04 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 8% 11.70    
GOLD FOOT Sep13 Jul19 Jun08 May11 Sep01 (jones michael)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
BRING ME A CHECK Aug31 Aug23 Aug06 Jun08 Apr26 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  KBCYA LATER Sep10 Aug23 Aug14 Jul30 Jul03 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 123 20.00    
11  LIKEBELIVINGNMAGIC Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May17 Apr30 (woodit jose)HAMILTON WESTON 119 30.00    
 
LRL-6   09/20/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILLY GIRL Jun29         (smith hamilton )CENTENO E 122 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of JUDY LEGEND by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
OVER MY CENTS Sep11 Nov03 Oct13     (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of OVER THE HILLARY by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
FASHION VICTIM Aug07 Oct31 Sep27     (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.80 34% 1.90    
  (by TAPIT out of LASKARINA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
LOVE YOU MORE Jul26 Jul05 Jan23 Dec08   (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of KEEN MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
CROSS OF VALOR Aug15 Jul09 May31 May09 Apr18 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 30.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of SWEET VALOR by NO ARMISTICE)
SCR  BELLA ITALIA Aug02         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of S S PINAFORE by STREET SENSE)
PERSIAN Sep13 Nov03 Oct12 Sep21   (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 122 15.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of KIM'S PET by PETIONVILLE)
DESTINATION Aug23 Jul11 Apr06 Feb23 Feb03 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 4.00 15% 5.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CAUGHT DREAM'N by BLAME)
SHOUT TO THE LORD Jan25         (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by CURLIN out of INTENTIONAL CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
LRL-7   09/20/2025 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAX A NATION Jul26 Jun21 May25 Apr26 Nov30 (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00    
COILED Sep03 Apr23 Mar05 Dec20 Oct05 (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
ZEVON Sep14 Jul23 May31 May22 Oct14 (hodsdon danie)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
OWHATANITE Sep13 Jul31 Jul24 Jun27 Jun07 (stettinius suz)TORREALBA JG 123 20.00    
JHIRSCH Aug23 Aug03 Jul06 Oct11 Sep14 (george lair)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 8.00 30% 2.30    
WHISKEYINTHEJARO Jun13 May31 May03 Mar08 Feb15 (keefe l)RUIZ JORGE 123 12.00    
LAZLO Sep01 Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 Jan20 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 2.50 44% 1.20    
SCR  THE JACKAL Aug31 Aug07 Oct10 Sep01 Jul20 (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 123 2.00    
SCR  MEG Aug30 Jul19 Jun20 May24 May10 (keefe l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
 
LRL-8   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Weather Vane Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAFE TRUST Jul17 Jun15 Apr19 Apr12 Mar22 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 30.00    
  (by MOSLER out of ANNIE TRUST by SUPER NINETY NINE)
MAIDA Aug09 Jun22 May15     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of EVE GISELLE by FIVE STAR DAY)
G W'S GIRL Aug09 May16 Apr06 Feb24 Jan04 (compton gre)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ESSENCE OF AUDRE by EXCHANGE RATE)
CONQUERTHOSEWECAN Aug28 Jul12 Jun21 Nov03 Oct04 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of AMERICAN VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
BURNER ACCOUNT Aug19 Jul24 Jul07 Apr27 Mar22 (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WIN MONEY MY HONEY by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  VOLLEYBALLPRINCESS Aug22 Jun29 May16 Apr06 Mar01 (linder jr)NO RIDER 124 3.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of PROM DRESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  ENDORSE Aug31 Aug02 Jul10 Jun06   (pletcher t)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00    
  (by CURLIN out of OUT POST by SILVER DEPUTY)
SOCIAL FORTRESS Oct05 Aug24 Jul13     (preciado guadalu)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of COLD HEARTED PEARL by PARADING)
 
LRL-9   09/20/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNAR LIGHTNING Sep03 Aug07       (trombetta micha)CENTENO E 122 4.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LUNAR RILLE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
MONTERREY Sep07 Jun21       (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of MEXICAN HAT by STREET CRY (IRE))
JURIS DOCTOR Aug13         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.20 46% 1.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ROMANTICISM by GONE WEST)
RICHARD FEYNMAN Jun14 May22 Apr26 Mar15   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FAUFILER by GALILEO)
SEVER         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TONALIST out of SHEZA CHARM by ELUSIVE WARNING)
MCRAVIN         (toner jam)CARRASCO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PHOTOGRAPH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SE THAR BARR Sep03 Aug07 Jul25     (cooney susa)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of EMBARR by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.